If the other areas "went wrong", more wrong than some of them did, a whole lot of people would have died. We might be looking at a recovery similar to what followed WW I w/o the roaring 20's. Worst case, we'd have tested Sagan's models.
Much of the 20th century was a hot mess. I'm very disappointed that more people don't know this and wish to recreate it in the 21st century. Not a positive commentary on human nature I guess.