I used to think the same but if the moon can affect tides, why can’t it affect humans.

I don’t know anything about astrology. But, just as a curiousity, I plugged the birth times and lat lons of my wife and I into a frontier model and asked it to generate our charts and personality profiles. Then, created 3 more from random inputs. 5 people who know us well (including us) independently guessed correctly. I’m sure there was information leakage. If anything, it was a fun game. But kind of eerie.

That explains things. "The stars told me to do it" would be a more coherent thesis than what they posted.

Hi, OP here.

I sat with this for a bit, and I was going to ignore this, but my wife's honor is on the line, so I just can't.

Frankly, whatever attempt at ad hominem here is uncalled for, and not befitting for HN.

My wife built a product over two years ago and hit a massive need after over a year of crawling over broken glass. I had recently left my previous startup and was going to take a break. But she needed my help. There was one week where ChatGPT's custom GPTs had terrible uptime, so she asked me to built an actual web app. And that's how I was recruited.

I was skeptical at first, given I don't believe in astrology, but I believe in the results. Not a week goes by that a user doesn't reach out to us to let us know that Star Path has had a massively positive impact on their life. Star Path has saved marriages, helped users gain the confidence to start the career they've always wanted, and more.

I also studied applied math and economics at Yale (where I met my wife, actually!), and have been investing and building software for 20 years, as both a founder and engineer.

Anyways, I'd love to keep the conversation and debate focused on the points I made, and not whatever preconceptions you might have re: astrology. Thanks.

If you review FOMC projections from June 17, 2026 [1], you can see that fed funds rate expectations indeed shifted upwards since March.

  Percent range |    2026    |    2027    |    2028    | Longer run
                | March June | March June | March June | March June
  --------------+------------+------------+------------+-----------
  2.13-2.37     |            |            |            |
  2.38-2.62     |            |     1      |            |
  2.63-2.87     |     1      |     1      |     2      |     2
  2.88-3.12     |     2      |     3    1 |     3    1 |     7    9
  3.13-3.37     |     2      |     6    4 |     7    6 |     4    3
  3.38-3.62     |     7    1 |     4    3 |     3    2 |     3    3
  3.63-3.87     |     7    8 |     3    2 |     3    5 |     2    2
  3.88-4.12     |          3 |     1    5 |     1    3 |     1    1
  4.13-4.37     |          5 |          2 |            |
  4.38-4.62     |          1 |          1 |            |

[1]: "Figure 3.E. Distribution of participants' judgments of the midpoint of the appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the appropriate target level for the federal funds rate, 2026–28 and over the longer run"

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20...

Yup, I learned all too late in life that it's not really about buying and selling, but about allocation. Sounds like they dramatically increased their allocation of (US) cash? I don't think that sounds like a better place to park your money right now..

Use the proceeds to open a short position in the market. And if you aren't confident enough to do that then you shouldn't have sold in the first place.

To be clear, this question is as much for myself as for anybody else, in these super turbulent times.

A bulk of my retirement (and non-retirement) account is in S&P500 index funds, along with other, tech-heavy investments (VGT, AAPL, GOOG, some NVDA, BRKB, etc). Every time I've diversified (whether on emerging markets or FTSE or elsewhere), I've "lost", so to say, compared to the S&P500 (and tech, of course).

Which is why the bigger question above ^^ is top of mind.

I dont have any great answers myself :-/ Just hoping to hear different perspectives.

Thanks

To quote Gremlins 2, "we're advising our clients to put everything they've got into canned food and shotguns."

Metals/commodities?

High inflation and and high interest rates with debt this high means that eventually the Fed will print (IMHO).

For the tiny portion of my savings that I actively manage, a good chunk is in chip stocks.

Even if fab capacity deals are canceled due to overleverage or funky accounting, I am gambling that the capacity will find a new buyer. Maybe by making DDR5 I can get as a consumer.

It looks like this article author thinks similarly.

I have been thinking of selling my S&P500 fund shares for a little while (at least a majority). The past few years have been dips followed by sharp rises seemingly fueled by news events. The US midterms are a big event and if, after the election, there is an increase of hostilities in the middle east I think that might cause a drop. Of course the S&P has mostly gone up the past few years and trying to time the market is maybe not the best strategy.

This is exactly what call options are for, right? You can write an in-the-money call option dated for next year and lock in the price now, expecting them to be called away at the exercise date.

That's been pulled a number of times in the AI stocks and surrounding companies. MS invested in OpenAI mostly in the form of compute credits, etc.

VOO and SPY aren’t the market though.

It’s totally reasonable to say “I think I am too exposed to US large cap companies, I’d rather take my gains now and diversify more to international and mid and small cap.”

He doesn’t say what he’s reinvesting in - or whether he’s still exposed to large cap companies through something like VT.

Could be re-investing. Trading slowly isn't better or worse than trading quickly, unless there are tax loopholes being missed as a result.

I do think that cash, savings accounts, and even CDs are a scam.

Did you even read the twitter post?

This is not panic selling. This is someone who has done their own analysis and determined the situation does not look sustainable and it's time to get out.

Not only that, but we don’t know for sure that this person on X actually sold their $VOO and $SPY. They just claimed they did.