Is there a polymarket pool where I can bet the diesel never arrives, because the artist of the deal will reveal himself and his administration to be rubes?
> Trump wrote on social media that Putin agreed in a call to “immediately supply” more than 300,000 tons of diesel to global energy markets, with another 500,000 tons promised in November. Together, the amounts — equal to 6 million barrels of diesel fuel — would cover about a day and a half worth of US demand, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
Source: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/trump-putin-russ...
He does not care at all if anything arrives or not.
After the midterms "he'll demand" (he'll be told to demand!) more sanctions on Russia,
If the FP-9 arrives on time and enters serial production, Ukraine will have a ballistic missile which can meaningfully tap Moscow's power plants. It could be a long winter for Moscow.
1. https://sydneyreviewofbooks.com/reviews/communion-of-the-sub...
There is no reason for me to think that Russia will not be the same. Ukraine could be Russia's last imperialist war. That would certainly be a good thing for the Russian people.
Would be the most Russian thing to do.