Ask HN: What if no AIpocalypse, no AI bubble, what if it just keeps advancing?
5 pointsby consumer4513 hours ago3 comments
  • andsoitis2 hours ago
    > will eat all software and software-related meetings.

    Software engineering is a job. Writing code is a task. The task isn't the job.

    • i_have_an_ideaan hour ago
      copium
      • pierreb-aivaan hour ago
        Until models have taste, we still need Software Engineers to judge their output in the context of a broader goal. Not saying this will never happen, but we have yet to see evidence of models getting good at this. If anything, the lack of improvement on that axis has been quite underwhelming; the latest example of that being OpenAI offering a Lean proof of the solutions to the Navier-Stokes equations, but that proof not matching the natural language of that proof [1].

        [1] https://arxiv.org/html/2610.08144v1

      • techblueberryan hour ago
        Copium seems like the rational response to the loss of millions of job, stability, and the meaning of one’s life.

        Billions of people are going to become impoverished and your reaction is to insult someone for grieving?

        What do you think is the purpose of life? Is this how you’ll react as one by one the souls of the ones you love most go dark?

        • tripleeean hour ago
          Copium isn't a rational response - it's an emotional one, and it's putting yourself in a worse position than if you view things more clearly and can plan accordingly.
          • techblueberryan hour ago
            Against superhuman AI, people are planning accordingly for their irrelevance.
            • andsoitisan hour ago
              What’s the point of shouting and spreading pessimism?
        • clintan hour ago
          Do you honestly think writing code is the purpose of life? Do you think meaningless drudgery is the meaning of life?
  • dormento2 hours ago
    my 2c:

    IMHO, the US is already cooked. Technological superiority is one of many ways to exert influence, and foreign initiatives are closing in, fast. There's nothing the US can do do stop it, unless it can find a way to stall China's advances in the area, and this is incredibly unlikely.

    • 2 hours ago
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  • techblueberry3 hours ago
    How are you defining “AI bubble”? Via the capability trajectory of AI or as an economic analysis. How is “AI bubble” an extreme? Was dotcom bubble an extreme? In retrospect it feels like a median position. Bubbles are super normal not extreme. “AI is useless and will go away” would be the extreme position. Your third possibility could happen in the “AI bubble” world.

    I think “AI bubble” gets framed as a technological question about AI capabilities and not a financial one. The bubble may deflate slowly, but if you eat all software or eat all other Field’s something is popping. Anthropic OpenAI and SpaceX are all valued partially as if they’ll be the only ones to succeed.