Why say this? Well, of the plausible futures from here, the worst one is where AI plateus just good enough to make us all useless (or just destroy the pipeline of a critical mass of capable humans), but at a point dumb enough that we don't get human-superior AI. This might happen or not, but there's no way to predict when something that doesn't exist will, so it's one of those horrors that can keep you up at night. Some of those skeptical about RSI have likened it to the Great Filter.
They are not. Our problems are akin to cellular automata, and just the same. We can project a few steps forward but we cannot say this configuration will evolve to that configuration.
Eugenics is similar; the belief that we can measure physical chatacteristics and selectbased on the same for some desirable future configuration is just a self delusion.
Orboids in a swarm the whole does not direct the sum.
These are all basics that humans struggle against. AI will just head in adirection, and itll be as meaningless as an automata swarm. Youll recognize payterns but they wont make you sure of the next step.
We are going to be stuck in a few years of delusion, but there will be some entertainment as a side effect. AI executives and researchers are going to delve even deeper into AI psychosis thinking that the equivalent of psychedelic trip-looking school buses at 4000x zoom of an orange cat's ass, except in the form of text, is actually something intelligent and we just don't have the capacity to understand the "super intelligence's thoughts", all the while pouring another few trillions.
Asking where is the intelligence explosion suffers the same issue as the Gorman Paradox[1] - the question proceeded the explosion by six months. Timing explosions is like timing the market - infinitely harder than predicting eventual existence.
1. https://codemanship.wordpress.com/2025/12/14/the-gorman-para...