OTOH, given our recent track record landing lunar probes intact...yeah. Easy to see why nobody would suggest that.
So maybe: The moon does have an atmosphere, with a total mass of 10-ish tons [Wikipedia]. If we had a lunar orbiter watching that atmosphere (spectra as the moon eclipsed stars, or whatever), it seems like a meteor hit far smaller than this one would be obvious. Dunno if you could also spot traces of the deorbit and landing burns of spacecraft headed to the moon - but the prospect of that might shake funding loose from countries which felt themselves to be racing to land on the moon.