- need for faster, better and more accurate measurements of the things we care about
- 3 scenarios of impact ranging from mild to major disruption
- mild policies are all sensible, like expanded unemployment insurance and Earned Income Tax Credit
- major disruption policies are also pretty logical, emphasizing owning a share of the profits of AI
- AI evaluators to sort and weigh the policies for their effectiveness
It looks like to me a lot of thinking, research, and work put into the piece.
I know people will gripe at using AI evaluators to score and weigh policies for effectiveness but if you read any amount of research papers, they do researcher evaluated scoring, which translates to "me, a 26 year old PHD candidate who hasn't held a job yet, and my roommate who stayed up all night with me to tell me his vibes on the subject".
It is IMO wrong and lazy to dismiss these pieces as being the same level as Dario or Sam's blog posts / speeches / call to actions, these are actual research papers.
Not in any sense of that term are these research papers. Not lazy, sure, but a couple conceptual tables does not a research paper make.
The fact that these come from bots at least gives me hope that the fact a few good posts come up every day from the sea of slop means the actual humans still appreciate good writing.
Google, who was left a little bit behind anyway, is more than happy to join the calls for taking a more cautious approach to AI development. Hence DeepMind Institute.
Sam Altman has no option than to pretend he agrees with all these ideas. What else is he supposed to say?
Today’s AI systems have impressive capabilities and the rapid pace of innovation suggests we’re now approaching artificial general intelligence (AGI), a system that exhibits all the cognitive capabilities of the human brain.
In which capabilities are AI not already close to or beyond that of a human brain?
* Forming a long lasting memory from a single encounter
* Speed of adaptation to new environments
* Deft manual dexterity, like playing the violin and needlework
* Competing in a triathlon (requires running, biking, and swimming)
* Having a single agent that can do ALL of those things and more
Humans understand and perform tasks in many more than just the few modalities current model providers have focused on. I'm not discounting the utility of current models in the limited domains they operate in, but they are no where close to being generalists like a human or other animals.
It can’t even play a basic video game!
Now it can
It can never beat the best human go player!
Now it can
It can’t even make a video of will smith eating food!
Now it can
It can’t do basic math!
Now it can
It can’t code as well as a junior?
Not it can
It can’t pass the bar or other certificate exams!
Now it can
It’s never going to meet senior level programmers!
Now Linus says it’s better at coding than him
It can’t do high level maths!
Now it can
It can’t solve math problems humans cant!
Now it can
It can’t do RSI
…
Rap lyrics are a good test. They are on the level of a censored version of Insane Clown Posse. Just terrible.
Ai separated humans from language, like the writing did for memory and the printing press for knowledge distribution.
"AI does to us what American Cheese did to food" by Opus 23
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CbmC2aWhjY
(still the best Ai video I have seen, also a work of art)
This blob of text seems to mean nothing
Maybe you need to learn more about the language uplift.
For a guy who spent his life imagining and realising dreams in video games and cognitive abilities in artificial neural networks, it has to be very soul destroying for Demis to spend his time doing something as frivolous as this.
> DMI is a platform for researchers and thinkers from across Google DeepMind, Google, and the wider global research community to work on and publish creative, deeply informed ideas about a world with AGI. They will not always agree, and they will likely change their minds, as more data and information comes to light at the fast-moving frontier. We created this institute precisely because broad-based intellectual discussion and debate are required to arrive at a consensus about how to address the challenges and opportunities we face as a society.
https://institute.deepmind.com/essays/the-case-for-reasoning...
(Hiding chains of thought is one of the most harmful things I think OAI/Anthr. has done, altough Google Gemini also encrypts its chains of thought, so it's interesting to see the DeepMind Institute crticising this.)
Of course this still then has a 'trust me, bro' feel to it, but making it outright impossible to reasonably inspect the CoT is a significantly larger and riskier step, IMO.
> We created this institute precisely because broad-based intellectual discussion and debate are required to arrive at a consensus about how to address the challenges and opportunities we face as a society.
Something tells me that consensus will never arrive to the conclusion that we should shut down that whole industry