46 pointsby bookofjoean hour ago11 comments
  • n0us29 minutes ago
    Growing proof that PR for autonomous car companies has aligned on a strategy of painting you as a bad person if you want to drive your own car, and therefore you should pay them money to continue being a good person.
    • bko20 minutes ago
      Growing proof that comment sections from tech forums have been overrun with unhelpful negativity unrelated to the actual posts they're commenting on.
      • entropi10 minutes ago
        You are dismissing this as "unhelpful negativity", but are not addressing in any way the obvious (and rather malicious, I would say) PR play that parent comment points out.

        This is exactly the message, and I for one welcome the anti-cool-aid sentiments being very visible in public spaces.

        • jasodea minute ago
          >the obvious (and rather malicious, I would say) PR play that parent comment points out.

          The author Lawrence Ulrich references research from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. Why would it be "obvious" that they are paid PR shills for Tesla/Waymo?

          I'm jaded and cynical but so I can accept that they may be secret PR mouthpieces but isn't it reasonable to expect a little evidence rather than just throwing out a random accusation?

        • SR2Z4 minutes ago
          Can you actually define what the kool-aid is here? Because AV companies are saying "look at this new product, it objectively drives better and safer than a human, you don't have to deal with a human driver, it works 24/7, and in our experience most people prefer it to driving."

          I have NEVER seen a single person accuse anyone of being a bad person for still preferring to drive a car manually. Not once, not even the usual one or two crazy people you can find to support almost any other crazy statement.

          Where is the kool-aid from the robotaxi side that's so visible? They're making big claims but they seem to be mostly true.

          • BoingBoomTschaka minute ago
            > I have NEVER seen a single person accuse anyone of being a bad person for still preferring to drive a car manually

            And yet your account shows you joined in 2020... just read further in this thread, will you?

      • ThrowawayTestr13 minutes ago
        This place is basically Reddit now
      • 15 minutes ago
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    • CM3017 minutes ago
      Yeah, and it should not be understated how bad only having autonomous cars would be for privacy and security conscious folk.

      A lot of the time you don't own them, so they're operating on the terms provided by the companies and government, even when it's directly against your own interests. The idea of a car that can't drive certain places, be used at a certain time or be used by certain people feels like a terrifying inevitability, and one which society should refuse at all costs.

      If you drive your own vehicle, it goes where you want it to go. If you don't drive your own vehicle, it goes where a company or government wants it to go.

      • SR2Z3 minutes ago
        So you mean to tell me that when I called a Waymo a few weeks ago at 1AM because I was drunk at a bar and wanted to go home, it was actually because my government and Google wanted me to go home?

        Woah! This conspiracy goes deeper than I thought!

    • tikhonj4 minutes ago
      If driving is dangerous and carries a bunch of negative externalities, shouldn't we expect "good people" to look for alternatives? Not self-driving cars, necessarily, but maybe transit and walking and biking.

      And, of course, to support the policy choices that reduce how much we subsidize driving and improve infrastructure for those alternatives.

    • foobarian16 minutes ago
      But.. what if it's true? It's like not wearing a seat belt, or smoking, or drinking while driving. If AV are widely available it becomes similarly opt-in high risk behavior.
      • entropia few seconds ago
        Using SUVs are definitely worse for safety as well, and it does not require a huge overhaul of the transportation infrastructure, a few new technologies to be invented, replacing ~all the existing cars, etc. etc. But no-one takes the comparatively basically free steps to remove/reduce SUVs.

        Lets not forget that its all about the profits, and if we truly want to save lives there are more cost-efficient ways than what some tech sales-people peddle.

    • dzhiurgisa few seconds ago
      Tesla did something sneaky just few days ago. They added crash avoidance even when FSD is not enabled, but purchased. So in future if they add pay-per-mile option (great for road trips) you'll likely still keep paying for monthly since it offers additional protection even if you prefer driving yourself (which is lol).
    • atleastoptimal12 minutes ago
      You cannot deny the evidence though, driverless cars are safer per-mile than human drivers on average. 1/100 deaths in the United States are due to car accidents, even shaving off 10% of those would save ~4000 people per year.
    • parapsychic20 minutes ago
      Reminds me of that scene from I Robot where Will Smith was not supposed to drive his car himself.
      • 4d4m4 minutes ago
        Didn't this just happen in an internet company's self driving car with couple kidnappings in the past month? (They were done according to the companies terms of service is what the internet company says if I remember reading correctly)
    • 4d4m8 minutes ago
      Thanks for clearly stating the danger - your point is reasonable
    • WillPostForFood14 minutes ago
      <posted from phone while driving through red light>
    • jjordan22 minutes ago
      There should be laws put in place to ensure drivers will always be able to drive their cars, if they choose, and also prevent insurance companies from skyrocketing your rates for doing so. This is IMO past due.
      • jedberg19 minutes ago
        Why? Insurance companies use detailed risk data. If they discover that letting you drive your own car is a much higher risk than an auto-drive, why should they not be allowed to account for that?

        Insurance companies aren't political -- they charge for whatever costs more.

        • jjordan11 minutes ago
          Yes, I definitely trust insurance companies to do the right thing here.
          • jedberg5 minutes ago
            Car insurance companies have their problems, but pricing risk is not one of them.

            We saw this before -- they used to charge people who lived in high crime areas more money. They had to stop because it turned out that those high crime areas also had a lot of poor people, so the government stepped in and stopped allowing pricing by zip code.

            But the insurance companies weren't wrong about the risk -- those customers cost them more. So instead they had to raise everyone's rates to account for the fact that they (rightly) could not discriminate.

            I suspect the same would happen here. That poorer people could not afford self driving, and they same anti-discrimination rules would apply.

      • intrasight16 minutes ago
        I agree with your first statement but certainly not with the second. Rates for human drivers should and will skyrocket. Individual states may try to push back with regulation but it won't succeed in the long-term
        • alecbz7 minutes ago
          In the long-long-term, self-driving will get good enough and people will be relying on it so thoroughly that allowing people to drive on their own, with barely any practice, will probably be more risky than it's worth. In say, idk, 100 years (probably sooner), I doubt people will be able to drive their own cars in the way they do today.
        • lefra11 minutes ago
          Rates for human drivers are currently at the correct level for insurance companies to pay for damage and make some profit.

          If autonomous cars result in less damage than humans, their insurance price will be cheaper than human drivers, but there's no reason to raise the human rate at the same time, their accident rate should stay the same.

        • jjordan9 minutes ago
          Why should they skyrocket? As more autonomous vehicles appear on the roads, incidents with non-autonomous vehicles will go down. Driving will become inherently safer.
      • raincole15 minutes ago
        There should be laws taxing people who insist on driving themselves. And the money should be used to subsidize people who switch to self-driving or install automatic assisted systems on their old cars. That'd partially mitigate the externality generated by human drivers.
        • bluGill4 minutes ago
          How about prison for attempted murder?

          I've lost enough friends to drivers who made a mistake. If self driving is better in just that but worse every other way in for it.

          That might be a big if above, but of true them I support it. Drive on a private track or a video game if you must. Leave the real world to safe.

      • 16 minutes ago
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      • linkregister16 minutes ago
        Incumbent rent-seekers want regulatory capture to insulate them from externalities. Dog bites man.
      • iknowstuff16 minutes ago
        No there should not. Human drivers kill a million people every year. WW1 killed 15-22M.
      • pessimizer15 minutes ago
        The law put into place would be that the people who put autonomous cars on the road would risk their freedom and safety just as much as a driver if that car causes an accident through their neglect.

        This will never happen, because the entire purpose of the corporate structure is to avoid responsibility.

      • matchbok320 minutes ago
        How selfish. Why should I, someone who wants a safer AV, subsidize those who are riskier drivers?

        Extremely selfish.

        • uuddlrlrbaba7 minutes ago
          Is this your first introduction to an insurance pool?
        • gottorf18 minutes ago
          This happens in insurance all the time. Healthy people who eat right and exercise subsidize people with poor habits.

          It appears to some degree that we as a society do not want risk priced optimally to each individual.

          • linkregister13 minutes ago
            It is understandable that you think this is the case as someone who is not above the age of 50. You will see that health and life insurance premiums rise precipitously once you reach certain milestones. Once you reach 90 years old, you will find that car insurance companies will discontinue your policy based on a single traffic ticket.

            We replaced preexisting condition coverage with age-based tiered pricing. If you doubt me it's trivial to validate this using your state's ACA marketplace.

    • vagrantJin19 minutes ago
      Thats too much of an honest assessment. An age old playbook. I'd like the tech do actually do things that are hard for me, like taking control of the car in a high stress situation. Sub-milisecond reactions to correct for a mistake. Something, anything more useful than a fancier cruise control.
      • dmurray10 minutes ago
        Your car does that already. It has a superhuman braking system that saves a lot more lives than cruise control, though not quite sub-millisecond in its reaction time.
    • matchbok321 minutes ago
      The knee-jerk conspiratorial reactions to new technology is depressing to see on HN. Do better.
      • nancyminusone9 minutes ago
        If your knee is just now jerking, you've got a problem with your reflexes. Discussions like this have been happened for 15+ years.
  • Junk_Collector33 minutes ago
    It could, but maybe not if your motto is, "Move Fast and Break Things."

    Article is short on data instead referencing a bunch of aggregated IIHS studies.

    • anon8487362821 minutes ago
      Which autonomous vehicle company has that as their motto?
      • warkdarrior15 minutes ago
        Stop asking relevant questions! I have a narrative to push and you are getting in the way.
    • bestouff30 minutes ago
      "Move fast and break things" looks obviously bad for an autonomous vehicle ...
  • dlisboa36 minutes ago
    ADAS + human driver seems enough to solve most of the shortcomings of both human and robot drivers.

    Full self-driving doesn't strike me as necessary to prevent deaths.

    • hoss1474489a few seconds ago
      I recently implemented OpenPilot for my vehicle and used it on a 9 hour road trip.

      Due to the nuances of my vehicle, the built-in hands-on-wheel nag was still active and required (small) driver wheel inputs every 10 seconds to prevent the beeps. Just keeping both hands on the wheel was enough to pacify the nag. But this forced me to keep attention on the vehicle, more than OpenPilot's face direction detector. Anecdotally I am certain this kept me more engaged than if I could have gone hands off.

      The net effect was I had more capacity to be aware of what was going on around me on the road, AND I didn't feel nearly as fatigued at the end of the drive. Keeping the car between the lines consumes a little bit of cognitive energy constantly, which compounds over a long drive. Freeing up that load allowed me to pay more attention to what was happening on the rest of the road. And the mental burden was still half as much--I felt like I had driven maybe 4-5 hours instead of 9.

      I have some ideas for how I might disable the built-in nag, but I'm pretty sure doing so would make my car less safe. The current configuration might already achieve the safety maximum for ADAS based on front-facing cameras only.

      It increases situational awareness while reducing fatigue, and I think that anything further I try to do will adversely affect one or both of those effects.

    • redwall_hp27 minutes ago
      Automatic braking alone is a huge deal: if you're a bit late in braking, you get a warning. If you go past that, brakes auto apply. When configured correctly, I don't even notice it's there 99.9% of the time...and the times I do I'm glad it's there, because the beep pulls you out of a momentary distraction.

      The only problem is not every car on the road has it yet.

      • officeplant17 minutes ago
        >Automatic braking alone is a huge deal

        Except I had to turn it off for my Ford E-Transit, because it will freak out at nothing. Sometimes it screams at me for cars that aren't even in my lane that suddenly slowed. Sometimes it misjudges a ripple in the crappy asphalt here as an obstacle I'm going to hit. There is a high chance its going to brake for no reason at all and cause an accident.

        I left the warning system on, but I will never give it control over the brakes.

        • uuddlrlrbaba3 minutes ago
          Fords seem notorious for this but usually can be fixed. Have you tried driving it to a dealership and trading it in?
        • throw12345678919 minutes ago
          Good news, everyone. Soon you won't be able to switch it off.
      • epgui23 minutes ago
        Anecdotally, the only times I've ever noticed these chimes and the auto-braking (even automatic rolling-up of windows), it was false positives, and it was mildly terrifying: for a brief and unexpected moment I was no longer in control of my vehicle. [Recent Honda Civic and Audi A3 models]
        • stephencanon18 minutes ago
          I've only had a couple weeks in rentals with automatic emergency braking, and was very nearly been rear-ended twice due to false positives. Anecdotal, and I'm sure they'll improve with time, but I would never allow the system I experienced anywhere near a car I owned. It was profoundly unsafe.
          • WalterBright8 minutes ago
            Some years ago, I was in a major crash. The traffic in front of me stopped, I braked hard and stopped in time, the truck behind me rammed me into the car in front. Nearly killed me.

            Some time later, I was on a snowy road. The cars in front of me stopped, I stopped, and checked my rearview mirror. There was a truck, who clearly wasn't going to stop. I pulled off to the side, and he hit the car in front of me.

          • Terr_13 minutes ago
            Assuming you're already stuck with such a vehicle, is there any benefit to a dashcam that captures the alert-noises to prove the that you, the driver, never chose to brake unsafely?

            I realize this relies heavily on the questionable sanity and ethics of insurance companies. Even if they agree you aren't personally at fault, they'd probably just increase the premiums for everyone with that model, rather than sue the car manufacturer.

      • dlisboa22 minutes ago
        > The only problem is not every car on the road has it yet.

        Yep. ADAS should be mandatory like seat belts and airbags. A regulatory body should be able to come up with a minimum standard for it.

    • jpcfl27 minutes ago
      There is a moral hazard with ADAS + human drivers:

      > Once drivers move from the novelty phase to the post-novelty operational phase, behavioral adaptation may begin to occur and overreliance and over-trust in the automation features potentially develop, including a greater willingness to look away from the forward road (as shown in the VCC data set). [1]

      I'm not sure if this is more dangerous than strictly human-operated vehicles, but I would wager that it is more dangerous than strictly autonomous vehicles.

      1. https://aaafoundation.org/research/understanding-the-impact-...

      • notahacker3 minutes ago
        I'm not sure why a semi autonomous system of equivalent driving capability would be more dangerous than strictly autonomous vehicles because of "over-trust" unless one assumes that the driver that overtrust the autonomous vehicles and looks away is also inclined to try to override the semiautonomous system whilst doing so. Humans overtrusting a system capable of imperfect Level 5 driving will certainly not be alert to correct all its errors, but on the other hand they should be capable of correcting more than the baseline (especially if the autonomous system is good enough at general driving under most conditions for the human driver to be restricted to "get me off this road train track or flood the system shouldn't have stopped in" and "follow instructions" type edge cases rather than misidentifying objects at high speed type edge cases.)

        If there are additional problems caused by human drivers, it's surely that they are inclined to intentionally override the system with dangerous behaviours which is a separate problem entirely, or that their driving ability has atrophied so much from not driving they are unable to handle the boundaries of Level 4...

    • MostlyStable25 minutes ago
      The problem with mostly-but-not-entirely autonomous is that humans will tend to treat it like entirely autonomous.
    • AlotOfReading23 minutes ago
      An ADAS would be L4 if it was designed to be truly autonomous. If it's not designed to be truly autonomous, you have to somehow address the attention problem. Even a good attention monitoring system isn't sufficient, because people have the ability to appear superficially attentive by all external metrics, while not engaging with the driving task mentally.

      The data to differentiate these levels is pretty limited for a variety of reasons, and the problem only worsens when you conflate AEB with ADAS as the IHS/IEEE do in this article rather than use an OEDR-based definition.

  • fierycatnet14 minutes ago
    I have a feeling that once everything goes EV and autopilot, they will start phasing out regular cars or will make it more difficult to obtain the license.
  • 32ahgf23 minutes ago
    So can 100% public transport, non-autonomous. But there is less lobbying money for award winning journalists.
  • WalterBright7 minutes ago
    I'll be sad when I'm forced to give up driving my old cars.
  • danieldevries22 minutes ago
    Of course. This seems so obvious.

    More sensors with 360 degrees. Faster reaction time. Constantly improving, be it from real world data or from a simulated environment. Zero fatigue. No emotion evolved. No drugs are alcohol in the system.

    Fyi. Long robotaxis.

  • dghlsakjg27 minutes ago
    Is there a standard that these cars have to meet?

    Really there should be an obstacle course of some kind based on the most common anomalies leading to accidents. Partially obscured road signs, worn paint markings, obscured sight lines caused by dense parking, driving on a snowed over surface, etc.

    • AlotOfReading9 minutes ago
      There's no legislated standard in the US, nor pre-sale verification that a vehicle has met most of the other automotive standards. That's just not how the US regulatory environment works.

      There's the beginnings of a standard for L2/L3 vehicles in Europe, and ongoing discussions about what L4 standards could look like, but neither addresses "adversarial" situations.

    • margalabargala25 minutes ago
      While I would like to see that just for the data, from a regulatory standpoint all we really need are the manufacturers being liable in a crash if their cars were driving. The insurance savings of their cars being safer will create the incentive they need.
    • iknowstuff14 minutes ago
      Real world data results are so much more important than an obstacle course to overfit for.
    • throwup23825 minutes ago
      If it’s anything like my San Francisco DMV driving test, they did a loop around Fell and Oak St (both one way streets with no opposing traffic).

      I passed because I didn’t kill anyone in the span of eight blocks.

  • raincole19 minutes ago
    Isn't it... quite a well known thing?
  • watwut18 minutes ago
    I was reading about autonomous cars being better then people 6 years ago ... along with cries about the cars are treated unfairly.
  • josefritzishere38 minutes ago
    [flagged]
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