18 pointsby sbulaev6 hours ago5 comments
  • simulator5g5 hours ago
    You can't even read a single line of the article at this link, its just a full page ad obscured by various popups.
    • adrian_b2 hours ago
      The archive link given by another poster works for me.

      What matters is the pessimistic conclusion of the article:

      > "The uplift in prices is anticipated to persist for as long as the AI supercycle lasts. “I think we’re still in the sort of early stages [of price increases],” said Dhillon, adding that “there’s a lot more to come in the pipeline”."

  • p0w3n3d2 hours ago
    What about the cartel? Have they punished Samsung and Hynix yet?
    • RataNova2 hours ago
      Even if there is a cartel it's secondary now because Nvidia is basically vacuuming up half of Hynix's output for Blackwell and leaving the retail market to fight over the scraps
  • 2 hours ago
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  • mrheosuper4 hours ago
    I remember the HW shortage during 2020-2021, fun time.
    • bitwize3 hours ago
      This is going to last longer.

      The economics of owning your own powerful hardware make sense less and less with each passing year. Compute that's rented from the cloud gets far more utilization per dollar spent, and that's just on the hardware costs, let alone the cost of electricity to run it. What we're seeing now is the market adjusting to this new reality, as foundries reallocate capacity from consumer-oriented hardware to gear aimed at superscalers.

      • y423 hours ago
        I don't know.... With all those approaches to run AI in your own premise, people need their own hardware. It makes them independent. Of course hyperscalers and AI labs don't like that, but I argue that consumers prefer independence over some costs of operations. If this would be the case, people wouldn't own cars.
      • sirtaj2 hours ago
        server -> personal -> server -> personal... I've seen this cycle a number of times in the last 40 years. Almost none of the people making any of the software we use are purely using the cloud, they are using powerful personal computers with cloud for GPU. The ubiquity of personal computing is required if we want this industry to keep producing enthusiastic hackers.