81 pointsby 0xedb2 hours ago27 comments
  • ryanisnan2 minutes ago
    Here's Vladimir Fedorov's GitHub page, as linked to as the author of this post:

    https://imgur.com/a/zIbT0Gi

    It shows zero contributions in the past year, on this account. This is a huge, huge red flag.

    • mvdtnza few seconds ago
      Mine would look the same if you didn't have access to the private repositories I contribute to at work.
  • arn3n24 minutes ago
    Everyone suggesting that they simply charge users for commits to drive off AI-heavy users forgets that Github is owned by Microsoft, who has a big incentive to keep having developers use AI.

    I suspect that Microsoft would even prefer to have Github operate at a loss, if that loss were because all its users were using their models and paying for OpenAI subscriptions to generate the code.

    • 6 minutes ago
      undefined
  • blakesterz2 hours ago

      "Since April, monthly commits have grown from 1.4 billion to 2.9 billion. "
    
    Wow, that is some incredible growth in a really short time.
    • brookstan hour ago
      It really is. I know I've gone from tens a month to thousands a month. They have to be projecting >100B/month in the next year or two.
      • xyzsparetimexyzan hour ago
        wow. they should really institute a maximum amount of individual pushes per-month per-user.
        • xienze32 minutes ago
          Which will just increase the cries of "enshittification" and hasten the mass migration to the next free platform that surely, this time, won't ever go down.
    • toephu225 minutes ago
      Not that impressive when you realize it's mostly due to AI slop
      • seizethecheese18 minutes ago
        Impressive for whom? It's impressive for the service to have such growth at that scale, the code being slop is somewhat irrelevant. Your comment just seems like mood affiliation (AI should be dismissed, growth was from AI, therefore growth should be dismissed).
        • Aachen12 minutes ago
          How is it impressive if we all know it's autogenerated? There's no more people there than there were before. Heck, at ~2x growth that's possibly a decrease in real humans there since bots generate loads of them per person
        • shimman9 minutes ago
          Is it impressive? All it's doing is decaying the services. 15 years ago never have imagined I would go to the lengths to host a github alternative on a VPS but after doing just this (also being the last one in the my professional group to do so), GitHub is giving a master class in destroying their reputation in pursuit of advocating for hostile entities.

          Not all growth is good, especially growth that is actively hurting the company.

          There is an equilibrium in both nature and software. Purposely designing systems that mimic the effects of cancer is going to benefit who exactly?

    • mikert8915 minutes ago
      alot of distributed systems in big companies grow at this rate, its not exponential, its mundane
      • tracerbulletx8 minutes ago
        When a service that was already the primary git hosting provider for most of the world for 20 years grows at that rate its not mundane and its not comparable to any example.
      • trymas3 minutes ago
        Eh, I would be more empathic in this situation[0].

        Github isn’t small startup, where other 10x threshold is as cheap as buy bigger box in your IaaS.

        When you are already biggest player in the ecosystem and you suddenly get 10x persisted traffic, with at least 30x+ forecast “soon” - I am not surprised they have issues.

        [0] even at current MS owned github

  • jdm22122 hours ago
    > Errors in those services triggered a client-side retry loop that increased traffic during recovery.

    The worst outages I've been part of always have some version of this :(

    • k33P1Tr3aLan hour ago
      the 'ol thundering herd problem...
      • pixl97an hour ago
        Exponential backoff is your friend... too few people use it.
        • r3trohack3r28 minutes ago
          Don’t forget jitter!
          • Aachen5 minutes ago
            I always add some jitter but never actually had a problem where it would have been relevant. Recently I added it to a project where others also see it (not just a hobby thingy but something at work) and I was wondering if it would look silly, like premature optimisation. I looked on Wikipedia for how established the practice is and it barely gets a sentence... with no reference.

            Do you know of a documented instance where it would have helped?

            • christophilusa minute ago
              If you’re talking about internet clients, I think the real world provides sufficient jitter. If you’re talking about a fleet of clients on your 10gbps network, jitter might be useful.
  • sajithdilshanan hour ago
    The comments just shows how entitled people have become. Most people use GitHub and features for free and have the audacity to complain.

    The outage is due to massive load increase. In 4 months the number of commits doubled to 2.9 Billions. Anyone worked with high load systems knows that’s it’s not a normal growth and how difficult even to keep on horizontally scaling in a short time period such a complex system.

    GitHub should charge at least maybe 5$ monthly fee and most of the entitled freeloaders would leave the platform and it would free up resources

    • thesdev17 minutes ago
      > the entitled freeloaders

      Now remind me again, who trained a coding-assistant without consent on those "freeloaders" code and sold it for profit?

    • jollyllama3 minutes ago
      Meh, just needs better QoS. Let the free tier shoulder the outages.
    • ssl-315 minutes ago
      Entitlement? Please. It's not like Github is a charity that operates on kindness and goodwill.

      It's a service that is owned and operated by Microsoft Corporation, and we're the product of it.

    • lysace15 minutes ago
      "Most people use GitHub and features for free"

      Do you have a source for that factoid? (I suspect the vast majority of Github resource usage is paid. And we are upset.)

      • Aachen4 minutes ago
        That sounds unusual for a free platform (not a limited trial but an actual free tier). Isn't it usually the case that only some small percentage can be convinced to pay?
  • ivraatiems2 hours ago
    "We are committed to fixing these problems, as long as it doesn't involve buying things other than AI computers, hiring humans, or using non-Microsoft products."

    Calling Azure the solution to this problem when it is in fact the source of most of these problems is just fantastic doublespeak.

    Github is ripe for disruption and I hope it is disrupted soon.

    • dcrazy2 hours ago
      > We installed as much hardware as available power allowed in our existing data centers while accelerating our migration to Azure.

      And from the RCA [1]:

      > The immediate cause of the failure was network saturation on load balancers in Central US due to a new peak in traffic.

      [1]: https://www.githubstatus.com/incidents/zkxwbgr0cnmx

      • ivraatiems2 hours ago
        "While accelerating our migration to Azure," meaning, they will only solve problems if it helps them also use Azure more.

        It is unbelivable that aload of 2.8b commits was totally fine, and a load of 2.9b was a sitewide outage, unless they have no reporting or their tooling is completely incompetent. If things can fall apart so easily, throwing more capacity at the problem won't fix it.

        • dcrazy2 hours ago
          You’re torturing your own logic to make Azure the villain here. And it also sounds like you lack experience with capacity exhaustion. Things fail slowly, then suddenly.
          • ivraatiemsan hour ago
            No, I am calling Github disingenuous liars with poor motives, offering an unbelivable explanation. Not sure where the torture is, except in their statement.

            If it was failing slowly, why didn't they fix it then? Why didn't they notice?

            Could it be because they fired all the people who know how to monitor and identify such problems? That's what SREs are for.

            • dcrazyan hour ago
              Baseless accusation made from a position of zero information.
              • ivraatiemsan hour ago
                Opinion based on stated facts.

                Please share the information you have which contradicts the conclusions I have drawn from Github's statement.

                (And we know they're liars. They report very few of the actual incidents they have; see for example https://mrshu.github.io/github-statuses/)

                • dcrazyan hour ago
                  I don’t owe you anything, much less a separately sourced counterargument. You openly admit that your opinion is not based not on GitHub’s proffered statements but on your self-admitted assumption that GitHub is actively lying in an attempt to cover up an Azure-related root cause.
        • stackghosta minute ago
          >"While accelerating our migration to Azure," meaning, they will only solve problems if it helps them also use Azure more.

          Look, I hate Microslop as much as anyone but you'd have to purposely misinterpret TFA in order to arrive at this interpretation. C'mon.

        • rclevengan hour ago
          There's always a cliff, this part is fine. You sometimes know the cliff but often do not.
        • cyberaxan hour ago
          This absolutely can happen in large systems. If some part of the system is at capacity, then slightly increasing the load can cause it to fall behind and start accumulating a backlog.

          These backlogs can cause clients to make more retries, exacerbating the problem. Potentially further cascading through the system.

          • Kinranyan hour ago
            I believe their point is that "system is at capacity" is something they ought to start fixing before the capacity is exceeded
            • dcrazyan hour ago
              But then people like OP will claim that the capacity concerns are a lie manufactured to support an unjustified move to Azure.
            • cyberaxan hour ago
              Sure. But you might not even be realizing that something is just at the cusp if the load is spiky enough.

              The art of large system design is to identify and avoid these kinds of chokepoints. And when something happens, propagate the "backpressure" up the stack to avoid queuing.

              AWS got a fair share of similar outages, so the newer SDKs now try to not exacerbate these kinds of issues: https://docs.aws.amazon.com/sdkref/latest/guide/feature-retr...

              The original AWS EBS outage is probably the canonical example: https://aws.amazon.com/message/65648/

    • bpavukan hour ago
      I'm betting on Tangled and Codeberg. Tangled has a better press and in general is a dark horse, Codeberg has the "brand" and some network effects from projects that moved to there. (famously, Zig.) I heard that Sourcehut is having a moment as well, and I love the idea of email-based workflow and not having to have an account to contribute to someone's project hosted there, but I'm not maintaining anything worthwhile paying the $4/mo sub.
      • DANmode4 minutes ago
        What if it was $2?
    • kjellsbellsan hour ago
      Ok, but there's no universe where a major Microsoft-owned property is not being forced to run on Azure. Just like AWS pushing to get off Oracle back in the day. It would be career-destroying to suggest otherwise regardless of technical merit (and tbf, no infrastructure is bulletproof, unless you want to port GitHub to z/OS on mainframe)
    • mort962 hours ago
      If you're a big company, you can afford having one engineer spend one or two days per year to maintain your self-hosted GitLab or Forgejo. On top of better reliability than GitHub, you'll get the additional bonus that your source code won't accidentally leak through being in Copilot's training set.

      If you're a hobbyist, Codeberg is great, has a nice community and automatically shields you from slop contributions.

      • ivraatiems2 hours ago
        The issue with these systems is that they lack Github's sophistication for issue tracking, knowledge transfer, and automation. I think Gitlab is a mature product in its own space and unlikey to change, for instance, at this point.

        Codeberg also has the issue of having a political stance which means they will not accept just anyone's use of the platform. That is absolutely their right and I have no issue with it, but it's unattractive to me - as someone who agrees with most of their current politics - because the day they decide they don't like me, I'm screwed.

        • mort96an hour ago
          I never found GitHub's systems for issue tracking to be all that great. Cross-repository issues and development plans are hard to track within a git host. I've always used an external panning and issue tracking tool, mostly Linear, and it works really well. GitLab's Linear integration is excellent, FWIW.

          I've actually worked with a couple of companies who do use GitHub for their code, and they all use Linear in addition to GitHub.

          I understand the concern you're talking about wrt. Codeberg, but I wouldn't view it as a significantly bigger risk than anything else. Any platform can suddenly decide that your project is against ToS (GitHub will absolutely not accept just anyone's use of their platform either) and Codeberg introducing some rules recently doesn't, in my mind, drastically increase the risk of a dramatic ToS change in the future. But we all have to make our own risk evaluations and I won't judge yours. Luckily, moving between Git hosts isn't that difficult; setting up CI again and losing merge request history does suck but it's not the end of the world, unlike something like, say, losing your AWS/GCP/whatever account.

        • Shish2kan hour ago
          "sophistication" seems like a strange way to describe GitHub to me - I've found in every individual aspect (code browsing, issue tracking, code review, package management, etc), it's the worst out of all the systems I use regularly... But it's good _enough_ for most people, and it has all those features in one place, which is more convenient than wrangling 10-15 high quality but disconnected systems
        • rclevengan hour ago
          Gitlab has the benefit of having very little traffic, both free and paid. Their limits are still way above the current usage so less likely to be an issue
          • mh-22 minutes ago
            Worth mentioning GitLab's paid enterprise offering are more expensive than GitHub's, on a per-seat basis.

            Lots of companies moved because it was cheap, but it's not anymore. Ironic that companies might choose to migrate to them now for stability, rather than price.

        • shimman4 minutes ago
          Dude no one uses github tracking for anything serious, come on. The only thing github has over gitea/forgejo is discussions. That's the only real social "innovation" github has contributed to open source development and it's just a shitty tacked on forum.

          Also for accuracy, Codeberg has a pro-human and anti-corporation stance. Both of which are definitely en vogue at the moment.

          Much better than GitHub's pro slop sentiment, which is doing nothing but destroy their reputation.

      • unrented7977an hour ago
        Speaking from experience, it cost mW about a week or two per year to maintain GitLab for the startup I worked at.

        My personal GitLab on the other hand really does take only a day or two per year.

        That said, a week or two per year is just what it costs to maintain any one thing period. I spent about that much time maintaining PCs in the office, or my personal proxmox setup. It's not onerous at all.

        GitLab is super bloated and a little sucky to admin, but it's not too bad all things considered. I'm admin in my new job's GitHub org and it sucks a whole lot more to maintain.

    • awesome_dudean hour ago
      > Github is ripe for disruption and I hope it is disrupted soon.

      It's an expensive, low revenue generating site.

      There are, and have always been, competitors, including "host it all yourself" solutions, but nothing has really stuck.

      How is it "ripe" for disruption?

      • ivraatiemsan hour ago
        They had $1b revenue in 2023 and now probably more than $2b in revenue... do you have cost figures showing what their expenses are?
        • bluedinoan hour ago
          > We have since added more than 3 million CPU cores, 120 petabytes of high-speed storage, and significant network capacity. We installed as much hardware as available power allowed in our existing data centers while accelerating our migration to Azure.

          That can't be cheap.

          • cyberaxan hour ago
            A server box now has around 256 CPU cores. So that's about 12000 servers. If each one is $10k that's $120 million. Not a lot compared to Github's income.
            • anvuong17 minutes ago
              $10,000 is only enough for CPU cost (2x AMD EPYC 9754). The rest of the servers (mainboard, RAM, storage, power supply, network card, rack, cooling, etc.) can easily triple or quadruple the cost.
            • bluedinoan hour ago
              Does that $10k server not need RAM?
              • mh-21 minutes ago
                If parent commenter is off by an order of magnitude in their costs, their point still stands.
        • awesome_dudean hour ago
          Microsoft don't release the costs as you know, but

          Compute and Storage for Free Tiers: Hosting code for over 150 million developers and processing over 2 billion GitHub Actions (CI/CD) workflows a month requires astronomical server power and data storage. The "Free" tier is a massive cost sink that Microsoft treats as a loss-leader marketing expense

          Let me know when you understand how that's not free.

  • rclevengan hour ago
    Great read - I'm glad they realize there's work ahead but what I'm missing is: * Paid customers: we know you pay us often a ton of money, and we burn your month on actions during these outages - we'll refund you for the days we spent your money and gave you no value. * Paid customer: We know you put your trust in us, so we'll ensure we have a separate pool of capacity to ensure we can keep that trust. * Paid customer: we'll proactively refund you when we miss our SLA.

    What I read from this is: * Scaling is hard, we don't have enough capacity * We give away a shitton of compute for free * I have to talk about Azure not being a steaming pile of poop, otherwise my bonus will get tweaked downward in the next comp cycle.

    Notice there's nothing about paid customers, I'll add in what they are missing:

    Paid customers: Go F*ck yourself, you don't pays us enough to be an interesting line item compared to windows server.

  • CodeCompost34 minutes ago

       Central US data center failed to scale with it
    
    I'm in Europe and I experienced token failures as well.
  • dpweban hour ago
    Sorry to suggest this but if they charged everyone say $1/mo. it would absolutely help the massive surge from AI coding they seem to have had.

    I don't like paying for free stuff but gh certainly worth it.

    • Shish2kan hour ago
      Unfortunately time and time again, the overwhelming majority of people show that they would rather deal with an unreliable scummy company for "free" than pay $1/mo for a reliable service which treats them with respect :(
      • chrisjjan hour ago
        Surely that's the point. Shed users.
    • dcrazyan hour ago
      Pay per issue and commit. Buy 1,000 commit credits at a time.

      Might force people to review their slop before pushing it.

  • yipinwongan hour ago
    AWS CloudWatch has an option to show the trend and what it will be like after x-period.

    Doesn't Azure have such options so that engineers can predict to scale better? Seems like engineers are not ready for this per postmortem

    • jdm2212an hour ago
      The trend line does not tell you what will actually happen at scale, even if you think you're perfectly prepared for the next 10% or 20% growth. As Mike Tyson put it, "everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face".
    • 32 minutes ago
      undefined
  • iSlothan hour ago
    Has to be one of the most vague outage summaries of the year
  • rawlandan hour ago
    dang and friends, can you lock (some) threads? This is getting out of hand, it seems to me?

    GitHub outages seem to be very normal and even more emotional these days. Yet, that’s no reason to treat each other destructively. It’s sad.

    So let’s turn this energy into creating something better.

  • kvemkonan hour ago
    I fear to ask, how archive.org keeps up to catch all those events for archiving...
  • ChrisArchitectan hour ago
    Related recently:

    GitHub has alternatives, but no replacement

    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49135365

    Why developers are ditching GitHub for Codeberg and self-hosting alternatives

    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48842611

    and new entry:

    Cursor Origin Code Hosting

    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49334209

  • an hour ago
    undefined
  • bibimsz33 minutes ago
    well written
  • lenerdenator2 hours ago
    We need to have a package of FLOSsoftware that you could run on the cloud of your choice that offers most of what GitHub does (niceties on top of Git) without the centralization.

    GitLab was close last I remember but there was some sort of enterprise tier when I tried hosting stuff on a local server years ago. I want true FLOSS, not another SaaS equivalent of the coke dealer giving clients the good uncut stuff when they're just starting out only to sell crap when they're addicted.

    • cschepan hour ago
      https://forgejo.org/ promises to be this, have only lightly used it on https://codeberg.org/ but it seems nice?
      • 0x457an hour ago
        Forgejo is pretty neat. Their CI story is sad because it's based on act and it lacks features like GH Apps so service accounts are not possible (using a user account as service is barf).

        I self-host it and its pretty easy to have uptime higher than github when you have 3 users total.

        Absolutely do not recommend using GitLab.

      • 0xblinqan hour ago
        "Forgejo is a self-hosted lightweight software forge"

        That says absolutely nothing. The "What is Forgejo?" question is unanswered and instead you get a lot of words about their values, their inclusivity, etc. And the next thing in the docs is how to install it. It's ridiculous.

        I still don't know what it is or what it does.

    • denzenan hour ago
      Have you looked into Forgejo?
  • annoyingnoob2 hours ago
    Github down, no hard drives available, no memory available, thanks AI!

    Seems like we are headed for Tech Gridlock.

    • yipinwongan hour ago
      What they can implement is to slowdown the commit rate, rate limt or just queue-up messages not to overburden their downstream service.

      I don't think GH has any of those, but just keep scaling, but that scaling failed.

      Just bad architectural decisions from the postmortem.

      --

      It will only get worse due to AIs spawning massive commits, and they don't have unlimited cloud resource.

      They can scale but not scalable in terms of effort, resources, and $

      • jdm2212an hour ago
        How would any of what you're saying help with this?

        > The immediate cause of the failure was network saturation on load balancers in Central US due to a new peak in traffic. Originally this was caused by an Istio sidecar pod reaching its concurrency limits and failing to auto scale correctly because of a misconfigured policy that watched host service but not sidecar limits. One failure cascaded to more and eventually four HAProxy nodes exhausted their flow limits, degrading the gateway auth path and causing widespread authentication latency and failures. The problem was worsened by optimistic retry logic which overloaded internal load balancers. Pausing HAProxy on those nodes simultaneously produced immediate broad recovery.

        • yipinwong11 minutes ago
          load balancer failure? rate limit woudl address concurrency limits? throttle or queue up messages. auto-scale failed cause was misconfiguration policy, which i admit cannot be handled by my suggestions. The cascade? it's downstream service degradation, which I mentione should have had been prevented with queues. One of the jobs that queues/kafka solve is to prevent these downstream outages.
          • jdm22127 minutes ago
            If your LB is down, you're just kind of screwed. You can't enqueue things if requests aren't getting through at all. Same deal with authn/authz issues, which they also had. If you can't answer the question "is this message allowed to be added to the queue" you can't enqueue stuff.

            GitHub does use queueing for all kinds of stuff internally, though, because they're not morons.

    • jdm2212an hour ago
      This stuff is good! This is what a booming economy looks like. There are people out there competing with you for resources because they have cool ideas they want to implement.
      • a2ff6eeb0an hour ago
        Or at least they asked the AI to come up with cool ideas, which is even more interesting. It's exciting watching the world transition away from humanity being in the driver's seat!
  • rvz2 hours ago
    And another outage. [0] Looking forward to the subsequent post-mortem on that one.

    You might want to not go all in on GitHub anymore since it is very unstable to use. A self-hosted instance would have a far better uptime than GitHub over the years.

    6 years ahead [1] on not going all in an centralizing everything on GitHub.

    [0] https://www.githubstatus.com/incidents/bhbcjn4n3jzp

    [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22867803

  • amazingamazing2 hours ago
    Exponential growth. No company could handle that without some issues. Good luck to them. And for those who cannot tolerate this, there are many self hosted options.
  • throwaway613746a minute ago
    [dead]
  • djha-skinan hour ago
    [dead]
  • nycpig2 hours ago
    Almost 8 hours of downtime across all core workflows, and the word "sorry" or "apologize" appears nowhere in this post.

    "If you were trying to ship software that day, we let you down" is classic corporate non-apology speak.

    I’m done.

    • bibimsz29 minutes ago
      thats what i liked about it. its fact and action oriented. what does a "sorry" buy you that the "we let you down" doesn't.
    • sajithdilshanan hour ago
      Bye Felicia
  • codegeek2 hours ago
    [dead]
  • monlockandkey2 hours ago
    They should rewrite their Ruby code to a performant language.
  • addaon34 minutes ago
    > What we have done and what comes next

    "You've seen what we've done. The August 21st outage comes next. See you then!"

  • kjuulhan hour ago
    Reading this port-mortem / plan shocks me, this doesn't look like a service that has been serving high-throughput services for more than a decade. In fact it is almost like they've barely started. It seems the solution has been capacity, capacity rather than architectural or data changes.

    > Our next milestone is an architecture that scales read capacity linearly with the number of readers, enabling unlimited read operations

    How do you not have read-replicas / read caches at this scale yet? Which is what I am reading from this statement. You can of course get really far with sharding and whatnot. But at some point it might become worth it to engineer your data into a model that scales better.

    • xienze27 minutes ago
      > this doesn't look like a service that has been serving high-throughput services for more than a decade. In fact it is almost like they've barely started.

      Well that's because in comparison to the absolute flood of traffic brought on by AI, they really haven't been operating on this scale before.