To channel The Onion: "Absolutely no way to predict this" says nation where this was predicted on day one of the ban...

(ok, EUV ban, not DUV, so they're not quite there yet)

Related:

China begins mass production of homegrown DUV chipmaking tools - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49076684 - July 2026

China Tells Telecom Carriers to Phase Out Foreign Chips by 2027 (2024) - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48767466 - July 2026 (4 comments)