0) big companies already are very comfortable using contracts to trust other people with their data. Maybe if they're inflexible on the 30-day requirement for fable some orgs will opt out but by-and-large it's already happening and it's not a blocker.
1) Cost will be a blocker. The level of token spend is untenable and the pareto curve is flattening. Most orgs are going to default to either using a distilled model from China or a distilled model from the model companies (e.g, Sonnet 5). It'd behoove Claude/OpenAI to offer a model router before another vendor wins that area.
2) Karp is selling his book. No one knows or cares what an 'ontology' is. From what I can tell, company's product is a tool that helps governments bomb people.
Not only are your FDEs old news, but the new hotness is an order of magnitude cheaper. Tough sell.
I feel like I can have a much better model for how I can expect the cost of LLMs to change over the next few years. "Build more datacenters" reeks of "just one more lane bro" and because of Jevons paradox I'm skeptical it will bring costs down. Could ASICs and custom processors (ala Groq) move the needle here at all if the model density can't be improved?
I surprised myself by reading some content without knowing where it came from and it had a position that owning more than one home is hoarding. It dug into the relationship of landlords and buildings providing apartment homes vs single family homes. I'm not going into the whole property is theft part of it but it really struck a chord with me. I have a personal friend who constantly goes on about how great renting properties is and how much money his family makes and it really smacked me in the face how it really shouldn't "be this way".
anyways... we feel this rent seeking everyday with the death-by-a-thousand-papaer-cuts that is SaaS and subscription revenue.
i'm getting tired as i get older and i'm not sure how to make the most of the next ~half of my career and life.
No one is actually this stupid.
Often times, a stupid take is useful to manipulate people or change the discourse. We argue about how dumb the take is and get distracted about what really matters.
It’s the same strategy that causes working people to fight each other and ignore the real enemy.