In the West, decline of living standards and continued decay of institutions. Probably very few organizations actually benefit from LLMs, mostly bankers.

Elsewhere? who knows

I believe there will be a massive shift from a lot of white-collar jobs to blue-collar jobs, as these jobs will be the ones most affected by AI. I believe Western countries will be poorer than they are now, and countries in Asia and Africa will become richer as more money will flow into their manufacturing and Agricultural industries.

I predict that most predictions in this thread will be wrong. Other than that, who the heck knows?

You can predict by using one of several techniques:

1. Naive prediction: it will be similar to now

2. Linear regression: look at several parameters associated with LLM (speed, quality, accuracy, etc.) and create linear regressions from these parameters

2a. Polynomial regression: same as above, but fit a polynomial

3. Group prediction: select 20 friends, ask them to make predictions, then find the average(s)

...and many more with increasing levels of complexity

I predict that the world would be better for the Scandinavian countries. All other countries - I have no idea.

And for LLM & AI, I predict that the tech bros overestimate the pace of change, while the average joe underestimate the new capabilities.

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