22 pointsby tcp_handshaker3 hours ago1 comment
  • dotcoma2 hours ago
    They should have said it before going to war...
    • tim-tday25 minutes ago
      They did, they even published publicly.

      Analysis have been consistent for years: Iran can close the strait of Hormuz indefinitely with minimal effort.

      Shippers and their insurers are extremely risk averse. A single dude with a shoulder mounted rocket anywhere in on the coastline is enough to keep ships out.

    • darkteflon2 hours ago
      I’m sure they did. No evidence to suggest there was an intelligence failure, afaik. The failures are, on the evidence, entirely at the, shall we say, executive level.