I see way more crash compilations from Waymo than Tesla (despite having something like 300k FSD subscribers and over 1M permanent purchasers).
Sure LIDAR can fill like 5% of gaps, but let's not pretend it's the underlying AI model that does the grunt work. Which begs the question why Waymo hasn't scaled nationwide and why cybercab hasn't ramped up yet. Both aren't doing that amazing.
Waymos are in the exact opposite situation. They only run in busy cities so there are lots of bystanders to take a video of the situation, including the passenger, who has no incentive to hide the issue. Waymos can't revert to a driver in the car when things get tough; they call back to their monitoring center and come to a halt, which draws further attention and mockery.
You cannot assume that online algorithms are giving you a unbiased, neutral view of the world. They are specifically tuned against that.
Often "cannot". FSD will refuse to engage in those situations, often.
But Elon will trot out "so much safer", omitting "for some conditions, on some road, in some weather", versus "all drivers, all conditions, all road, all weather".
"You see, we win the vast majority of games when we just don't play the ones we thought we might lose!"
Claiming there are no Tesla's in busy cities is ridiculous.
Given all the scrutiny Tesla gets (good, it made them unstoppable) you'd expect all sort of activists driving to Austin and literally crashing into robotaxis.
Tesla FSD is really in a pointless middle ground where the steep $99/month they ask for it is just not worth it.
It does basically nothing for you on the highway to alleviate fatigue above and beyond a standard adaptive cruise control system you can find in a Volkswagen Jetta.
The FSD on city streets is not autonomous enough to take away supervision so for the 10-20 minutes people typically spend driving in city traffic situations before reaching their destination it’s not saving a whole lot of effort to just…drive yourself.
I would think if I owned a car that wasn’t an old ass beater like I have I would mainly benefit from adaptive cruise control on long trips and perhaps some convenience stuff like automatic parking.
Tesla stans will say "well, just because it doesn't visualize the train properly doesn't mean it doesn't know it's a train", but shit like this today just bolsters that that's garbage.
I still want to see how Tesla does in my town where there's a fun intersection, where four lanes coming west hit a T. Drivers can turn north or south, but there's only two lanes on the north south road, so there's a sequence where the left two lanes can turn north, or south, and then the right two lanes can do it (i.e. staggered so drivers in the left two lanes turning north don't hit drivers in the right two turning south, and also don't have to try to merge 4 lanes into 2 while turning).
I guarantee FSD would absolutely shit the bed (sorry, I mean, "disengage" to preserve Elon's stats, I mean "your safety") on this intersection.
It's not ready for primetime. And it's still not close.
That being said, if I were first in line at a railroad crossing I think I’d disengage FSD to be safe. If I were in a Waymo I’d be very nervous. LiDAR or not, an error can be catastrophic.
The principal difference that comes to mind is that in the latter case it would be catastrophic to others as opposed to yourself: you are the train in that situation, except pedestrians have no airbags and without the railroad gate equivalent they are not made aware of taking this risk.
Maybe I'm not sleuthing hard enough. Most reporting I can find on it is from today.
https://www.facebook.com/wildduce22/posts/pfbid0reXge89aqZGa...
April 10 at 3:34 AM