The 2x allowance last month was not of the goodness of their hearts. It’s pumping up the demand AND the revenue simultaneously. The squeeze before an IPO.
How many of us have looked into moving to the next tier during the last 48 hours? I know I have both professionally and for my private use. Moving 20% of $20 customers to $100 increases the revenue for the group with 1.8x.
I've cancelled my account and when it's finished in a few days I'm done with Claude. Sure, Opus has a slight edge (which might just be familiarity) but it's already clear that pi with Gemini 3.1 pro or codex 5.3 is pretty much close.
This only makes sense if openai was cutting the quotas to below the original amount, which so far as I can tell hasn't happened. Otherwise it's just a cynical take where any sort of promotion can be cynically interpreted as "Manufacturing demand. Create the problem. Solve the problem".
Now you spend 2x tokens to achieve the same result because of that.
Sure, you can tell it to "be succinct" or whatever, but the vast majority of people won't so this definitely increased token consumption overall.
Wish I could just go all out one weekend a month. I hardly code outside of work but sometimes there’s a project I have an itch for.
I'm at $6.2k over the last 30 days from my $200 codex subscription
I recently talked with a guy that’s pretty smart and is building a good product with a clear market. I understood the idea and encouraged him to ship.
Then he showed me what he considers his real work, and went off on a madman’s raving presentation of some supposedly hyper scalable revolutionary encrypted block chain dApp agentic operating system. He was building all of this using lots of agents. And I could totally see him spending $500/day on tokens. But I also couldn’t get him to explain the use case. I couldn’t imagine one myself. I’m by default suspicious of large AI bills. People usually only have a short amount of roadmap that’s well thought out and proven. Building faster means you just hit a new bottleneck in product design.
But I want to learn more and accrue more case studies of AI use in software engineering. Sometimes I hear of some really great software engineering techniques only possible thanks to AI (stuff like running 3 models in parallel optimizing a hot loop, comparing outputs with a rigorous test suite and fuzzing).
We don't hit those high numbers every day. An average day is $50-100 max.
As far as home projects. Something like write a GUI desktop or phone application from scratch. The LLM has to reference a lot of code and API docs to figure out what to do and spends a lot of time thinking while debugging. It gets expensive :/