Fascinating to see so much Clauswitz these days, it's been a major Baader-Meinhof phenomenon for me this year.

One of the strongest points of evidence that Putin is the center of gravity, at least according to Putin, is that he focuses so heavily on trying to make unconstitutional elections happen in Ukraine. It must be a form of projection of Putin's perception of his current situation: Putin thinks that if Zelenskyy is gone then Ukrainians will no longer resist destruction of their identity, language, and state. That's why we see Trump trying so hard to force elections on Ukraine, that's why we see internet commenters suggest that Ukraine should do unconstitutional elections, because they falsely believe that Ukraine's center of gravity is also their primary leader.

Putin is wrong about Ukraine, the center of gravity is a civic identity that's gotten incredibly strong ever since Maidan and the initial invasion. But I have a feeling that Putin understands Russia far more than he understands Ukraine, nad that Putin is completely right about Russia's center of gravity.