Of course it won't be gentle. Just look who is saying it will be gentle and what their economic incentives may be. You don't get 12 figure funding rounds by admitting that your product might destabilize the world labor market.

> What I’m more confident in asserting is that the notion of a gentle singularity is bullshit.

No change is gentle and this change will be one of the biggest. Even if the size of the change is going to be huge, it won't happen fully end-to-end in 1 year or even 5. It will take some time for the effects propagate in the physical world and while the consequences will be immense, humanity will adapt, even if not all humans do, or even 1/3 of humans.

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'Jack Clark has put it more vividly: “People don’t take guillotines seriously. But historically, when a tiny group gains a huge amount of power and makes life-altering decisions for a vast number of people, the minority gets actually, for real, killed.”'

And Nate is a statistics guy, so statistically speaking, the guillotines are coming for Silicon Valley.