I'm more interested to see how the Fed reads it, since tariffs map directly into cost-push shocks that force a dual mandate tradeoff between inflation and employment. Covered this angle recently: https://philippdubach.com/posts/dual-mandate-tensions/
It just goes on and on and on. Cutting tariffs is not going to be anywhere near enough to save the Republicans in the midterms.
Turns out that it's amazing what you can do for the economy simply by putting your cronies in charge of the numbers.
If these people tell you that 2+2=4, you should double-check with two calculators and Wolfram Alpha.
Anything that they publish should be considered untrustworthy. Anything they say should be considered unreliable.
It used to be "trust but verify", now it is "don't trust, seek a different source". It is sad, but reality now.
The whole premise of tariffs leading to US manufacturing is a blatant lie. Raising the cost of raw materials (copper, aluminum, steel, wood, electroncs) while ridding ourselves of cheap labor isn't going to encourage manufacturing in the USA. It does the opposite.
And the stats show this:
https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/democrats/2026/2...
Aside from raw materials, manufacturing in the 21st century will be about two things --- robotics and low cost energy.
Most high pay manufacturing jobs are gone like a '59 Cadillac, they ain't never coming back. Trump is pulling yet another con by claiming otherwise.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_St...
In science, the U.S. ranks 12th.
Excerpts from the 2022 PISA math scores:
#1: Singapore: 575
#10: Netherlands: 493
#20: Finland: 484
#22: Sweden: 482
OECD average: 472
#30: Italy: 471
#32: Norway: 468
#34: US: 465
...
#81: Cambodia: 336
(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_St...)