3 pointsby keepamovin4 hours ago6 comments
  • FrankWilhoit3 hours ago
    Zero. We cannot possibly be alone, but confirmation depends upon our ability to imagine the unimaginable.

    Life, yes. Intelligent life, yes. Intelligent life whose manifestations we can recognize, no.

    • keepamovin2 hours ago
      Excellent point and intellectually honest. There’s no guarantee that EXO intelligence would be anything we could fathom.

      That said we could probably recognize it via traces and I’m sure we’re about to confirm it’s existence.

  • andsoitis3 hours ago
    0% - assuming you're referring to intelligent alien species
    • keepamovin3 hours ago
      Yes, and noted with thanks.
      • andsoitis3 hours ago
        You're welcome. I see you're more optimistic :-)

        I will add that "not alone" also implies we are able to be aware of "them" as they currently are, not billions of years ago.

        Put differently, if we discover signs of a civilization OR even traces of something akin to life, but we cannot validate they still exist, we are still alone.

        • keepamovin2 hours ago
          Fair enough and that’s an interesting situation nonetheless.

          In some ways emotionally, I’d prefer the archaeological previous advanced civilization discovery that both confirms: We’re not alone in the extent of time, but we don’t really have anything else to consider in the present, so we can study and learn from something static.

          Though I feel, optimistically, I guess, that the reality is more dynamic than that.

  • JohnFen2 hours ago
    Infinitesimally close to zero.
    • keepamovinan hour ago
      Discard as Chinese propaganda.
  • PaulHoule3 hours ago
    0.5%
    • keepamovin3 hours ago
      Respectably non-zero. 1 in 200. I think I'm at 1 in 30 rationally. But 61.8% emotionally. Intuitively, I'd say 86-87%.
  • borderprepperan hour ago
    [dead]
  • NedF2 hours ago
    [dead]