Provably unmasking malicious behavior through execution traces(arxiv.org)

36 pointsby PaulHoule9 hours ago3 comments

thethirdone6 hours ago
Based on Table 1: This method is actually worse than generating a random number (0-100% independent of the program) and testing if it is less than 98.8%. That would achieve a better detection rate without increasing the false positive rate.
It doesn't seem worth it to try to follow the math to see if there is something interesting.
causalmodels8 hours ago
Interesting direction but the 98.8% FPR in Table 1 seems like a dealbreaker. Anyone understand what's going on with the contradictory results between the text and tables?
- godelski32 minutes ago
  > Anyone understand what's going on with the contradictory results between the text and tables?
  Well Figure 1 would also disagree. It shows a FPR of 47.5%.
  From Sec 3, end of second to last paragraph
  | The protocol is deterministic given fixed RNG seeds, caches model outputs
  by program hash, and *bounds false positives via the chosen percentile and gap parameters.*
  I believe this is a choice, though I think it is suspect that the FPR is pushed this high to get the TP results.
  Disclaimer: I only gave this a very cursory skim so don't rely on me too much
- dwattttt8 hours ago
  > Empirically, CTVP attains very good detection rates with reliable false positives
  A novel use of the word "reliable"? Jokes aside, either they mean the FPR as the opposite of what you'd expect, the table is not representative of their approach, or they're just... really optimistic?
Joel_Mckay3 hours ago
"'Forbidden' AI Technique" (Computerphile)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xx4Tpsk_fnM
"The Hard Problem of Controlling Powerful AI Systems" (Computerphile)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAcwtV_bFp4
Attempting to guide statistical salience of LLM reasoning model procedures, usually just created an evasive interface facade in the output. =3