Well, yea, sort of the magic of the regular expression <-> NFA equality theorem. Any regex can be converted to a state machine. And since you can combine regexes (and NFAs!) procedurally, this is not a surprising result.
> I ran it against the first service: ~40% waste. Another: ~60%. Another: ~30%. On average, ~40% waste.
I'm surprised it's only 40%. Observability seems to be treated like fire suppression systems: all important in a crisis, but looks like waste during normal operations.
> The AI can't find the signal because there's too much garbage in the way.
There's surprisingly simple techniques to filter out much of the garbage: compare logs from known good to known bad, and look for the stuff thats' strongly associated with bad. The precise techniques seem bayesian in nature, as the more evidence (logs) you get the more strongly associated it will appear.
More sophisticated techniques will do dimensional analysis -- are these failed requests associated with a specific pod, availability zone, locale, software version, query string, or customer? etc. But you'd have to do so much pre-analysis, prompting and tool calls that the LLM that comprise today's AI won't provide any actual value.
> I'm surprised it's only 40%.
Oh, it's worse. I'm being conservative in the post. That number represents "pure" waste without sampling. You can see how we classify it: https://docs.usetero.com/data-quality/logs/malformed-data. If you get comfortable with sampling the right way (entire transactions, not individual logs), that number gets a lot bigger. The beauty of categories is you can incrementally root out waste in a way you're comfortable with.
> compare logs from known good to known bad
I think you're describing anomaly detection. Diffing normal vs abnormal states to surface what's different. That's useful for incident investigation, but it's a different problem than waste identification. Waste isn't about good vs bad, it's about value: does this data help anyone debug anything, ever? A health check log isn't anomalous, it's just not worth keeping.
You're right that the dimensional analysis and pre-processing is where the real work is. That's exactly what Tero does. It compresses logs into semantic events, understands patterns, and maps meaning before any evaluation happens.
Because it's uncomfortably easy to create catastrophic backtracking.
But just logical-ORing many patterns together isn't one of the ways to do that, at least as far as I'm aware.
Well it's in the same neighborhood. Anomaly detection tends to favor finding unique things that only happened once. I'm interested in the highest volume stuff that only happens on the abnormal state side. But I'm not sure this has a good name.
> Waste isn't about good vs bad, it's about value: does this data help anyone debug anything, ever?
I get your point but: if sorting by the most strongly associated yields root causes (or at least, maximally interesting logs), then sorting in the opposite direction should yield the toxic waste we want to eliminate?
With observability is not the volume of data, time and bandwidth used on it, is being able to understand your system and properly diagnose and solve problems when they happen. Can you do that with less? For the next problem that you don't know yet? If you can't because of lack of information or information you didn't collect, then spending so much may be was not enough.
Of course that there are more efficient (towards the end result) ways to do it than others. But having the needed information available, even if it is never used, is the real goal here.
But here's the thing: most teams aren't drowning in data because they're being thorough. They're drowning because no one knows what's valuable and what's not. Health checks firing every second aren't helping anyone debug anything. Debug logs left in production aren't insurance, they're noise.
The question isn't "can you do with less?" It's "do you even know what you have?" Most teams don't. They keep everything just in case, not because they made a deliberate choice, but because they can't answer the question.
Once you can answer it, you can make real tradeoffs. Keep the stuff that matters for debugging. Cut the stuff that doesn't.
"disk getting full" isn't useful unless you understand how/why it got full and that requires logging things that might or might matter to the problem.
You can go in a discovering path, can the data you collect explain how and why the system is running now? There are things that are just not relevant when things are normal and when they are not? Understanding the system, and all the moving parts, are a good guide for tuning what you collect, what you should not, and what are the missing pieces. And cycle with that, your understanding and your system will keep changing.
Previous start-up I worked on (jClarity, exited to Microsoft) mitigated much of this by having a model of only collecting the tiny amount of data that really mattered for a performance bottleneck investigation in a ring buffer and only processing / shipping and storing that data if a bottleneck trigger occurred (+ occasional baselines).
It allowed our product at the time (Illuminate to run at massive scale without costing our customers an arm and a leg or impacting their existing infrastructure. We charged on the value of the product reducing MTTR and not on how much data was being chucked around.
There was the constant argument against approach of always on observably or “collect all data JIC”, but with a good model (in our case something called the Java Performance Diagnostic Method) we never missed having the noise
All major vendors have a nice dashboard and sometimes alerts to understand usage (broken down by signal type or tags) ... but there's clearly a need for more advanced analysis which Tero seems to be going after.
Speaking of the elephant in room in observability: why does storing data on a vendor cost so much in the first place? With most new observability startups choosing to store store data in columar formats on cheap object storage, think this is also getting challenged in 2026. The combination of cheap storage with meaningful data could breathe some new life into the space.
Excited to see what Tero builds.
But even if storage were free, there's still a signal problem. Junk has a cost beyond the bill: infrastructure works harder, pipelines work harder, network egress adds up. And then there's noise. Engineers are inundated with it, which makes it harder to debug, understand their systems, and iterate on production. And if engineers struggle with noise and data quality, so does AI.
It's all related. Cheap storage is part of the solution, but understanding has to come first.
Also, I've ended up being responsible for infra and observability at a few startups now, and you are completely correct about the amount of waste and unnecessary cost. Looking forward to trying out Tero.
And yes, data waste in this space is absurdly bad. I don't think people realize how bad it actually is. I estimate ~40% of the data (being conservative) is waste. But now we know - and knowing is half the battle :)
However, as always, the problem is more political than technical and those are hardest problems to solve and another service with more cost IMO won't solve it. However, there is plenty of money to be made in attempting to solve it so go get that bag. :)
At end of day, it's back to DevOps mentality and it's never caught on at most companies. Devs don't care, Project Manager wants us to stop block feature velocity and we are not properly staffed since we are "massive wasteful cost center".
Tero doesn't just tell you how much is waste. It breaks down exactly what's wrong, attributes it to each service, and makes it possible for teams to finally own their data quality (and cost).
One thing I'm hoping catches on: now that we can put a number on waste, it can become an SLO, just like any other metric teams are responsible for. Data quality becomes something that heals itself.
Sure, I've kicked over what I thought was waste but told it's not or "It is but deal Ops"
https://docs.usetero.com/data-quality/logs/malformed-data
You'd be shocked how much obviously-safe waste (redundant attributes, health checks, debug logs left in production) accounts for before you even get to the nuanced stuff.
But think about this: if you had a service that was too expensive and you wanted to optimize the data, who would you ask? Probably the engineer who wrote the code, added the instrumentation, or whoever understands the service best. There's reasoning going on in their mind: failure scenarios, critical observability points, where the service sits in the dependency graph, what actually helps debug a 3am incident.
That reasoning can be captured. That's what I'm most excited about with Tero. Waste is just the most fundamental way to prove it. Each time someone tells us what's waste or not, the understanding gets stronger. Over time, Tero uses that same understanding to help engineers root cause, understand their systems, and more.
At a minimum you should be using message template [1] serialization which is trivial to implement transparently on any logging system/statement with zero code changes to the emitter itself.
Any filtering done on top of that would then just be parsing structured data which is way easier than a regex, though of course that is somewhat beside the point of the article.
For example you don't even question when you see latency going up on some service, you can see DB load going up, and you either manually, or script out another instance starting up.
Monitoring all this stuff allows you to call the DBA/app team/etc 20 minutes sooner when you see some component screw off an you have no idea why. Hopefully that person on the app team puts in a new means of showing what the problem was if it ever happens again, then it turns into the first type of problem you never thing about again (or hope was actually fixed in the application).
Occasionally I convinced them that certain charts were wrong and moved them to other stats to answer the same question, and some of those could go away.
I also wrote a little tool to extract all the stats from our group’s dashboard so we could compare used to generated and I cut I’d say about a third? Which is in line with his anecdote. I then gave it to OPs and announced it at my skip level’s staff meeting so other people could do the same.
I also think that a lot of the waste can be done away with by using application specific codecs. Yes, even gzip compresses logs and metrics by a lot, but one can go further with specialized codecs to hone in on the redundancy much quicker (than what a generic lossless compressor eventually would).
However to build these one can't have a "throw it over the 3rd party wall" mode of development.
One way to do this for stable services would be to build hi-fidelity (mathematical/statistical) models for the logs and metrics, then serialize what is non-redundant. This applies particularly well for numeric data where gzip does not do as well. What we need is the analogue of jpeg for the log type.
At my workplace there has been political buy in of the idea that if a long / metric stream has not been used in 2~3 years, then throw it away and stop collecting. This rubs me the wrong way because so many times I have wished there was some historic data for my data-science project. You never know what data you might need in the future. You, however, do know that you do not need redundant data.
It's nuts to me that after a decade of "innovation," observability still feels like a tax on engineers. Still a huge distraction. Still requires all this tedious maintenance. And I genuinely think it's rooted in vendor misalignment. The whole industry is incentivized to create more, not give you signal with less.
The post focuses on waste, but the other side of the coin is quality. Removing waste is part of that, but so is aligning on schemas, adhering to standards, catching mistakes before they ship. When data quality is high and stays high automatically, everything you're describing goes away.
That's the real goal.
That's why we break waste down into categories: https://docs.usetero.com/data-quality/categories/overview
But we don't stop there. You can go deeper with reasoning to root out the more nuanced waste. It's hard, but it's possible. That's where things get interesting.
> I'm answering the question your observability vendor won't
There was no question answered here at all. It's basically a teaser designed to attract attention and stir debate. Respectfully, it's marketing, not problem solving. At least, not yet.
They determine what events/fields are not used and then add filters to your observability provider so you dont pay to ingest them.
But I'm an engineer at heart. I wanted this post to shed light on a real problem I've seen over a decade in this space that is causing a lot of pain; not write a product walkthrough. But the solution is very much real. There's deep, hard engineering going on: building semantic understanding of telemetry, classifying waste into verifiable categories, processing it at the edge. It's not simple, and I hope that comes through in the docs.
The docs get concrete if you want to peruse: https://docs.usetero.com/introduction/how-tero-works
And besides, the value isn’t knowing that the waste rate is 40% (and your methodology isn’t sufficiently disclosed for anyone to evaluate its accuracy). The value in knowing what is or will be wasted. It’s reminiscent of that old marketing complaint: “I know that half my advertising budget is wasted; I just don’t know which half.”
Storage is actually dirt cheap. The real problem, in my view, is not that customers are wasting storage, but that storage is being used inefficiently, that the storage formats aren’t always mechanically sympathetic and cloud-spend-efficient to the ways they data is read and analyzed, and that there’s still this culturally grounded disparate (and artificial) treatment of application and infrastructure logs vs business records.
You can read more here: https://docs.usetero.com/data-quality/overview
To loosely describe our approach: it's intentionally transparent. We start with obvious categories (health checks, debug logs, redundant attributes) that you can inspect and verify. No black box.
But underneath, Tero builds a semantic understanding of your data. Each category represents a progression in reasoning, from "this is obviously waste" to "this doesn't help anyone debug anything." You start simple, verify everything, and go deeper at your own pace.
But how does it compare to an actual modern observability stack built on a columnar datastore like Honeycomb?
First of all, thanks for you (and the team’s) work on Vector. It is one of my favorite pieces of software, and I rave about it pretty much daily.
New endeavor sounds very exciting, and I definitely can relate to the problem. Are there plans to allow Teri to be used in on-premises environments and self-hosted?
Thank you and good luck!
And yes, Tero is fundamentally a control plane that hooks into your data plane (whatever that is for you: OTel Collector, Datadog Agent, Vector, etc). It can run on-prem, use your own approved AI, completely within your network, and completely private.
Somebody didn’t math right when calculating if moving off hostedgraphite and StatsD was going to save us money or boil us alive. We moved from an inordinate number of individual stats with interpolated names to much simpler names but with cardinality and then the cardinality police showed up and kept harping on me to fix it. We were the user and customer facing portion of a SaaS company and I told them to fuck off when we were 1/7 of the overall stats traffic. I’d already reduced the cardinality by 400x and we were months past the transition date and I just wanted to work on anything that wasn’t stats for a while. Like features for the other devs or for our customers.
Very frustrating process. I suspect there’s a Missing Paper out there on how to compress stat cardinality out there somewhere. I’ve done a bit of work in that area but my efforts are in the 20% range and we need an order of magnitude. My changes were more about reducing the storage for the tags and reduced string arithmetic a bit in the process.
It replaced both Filebeat and Logstash for us with a single binary that actually has sane resource usage (no more JVM nightmares). VRL turned out to be way more powerful than we could imagine - we do all our log parsing, metadata enrichment, and routing to different ClickHouse tables in one place. The agent/aggregator topology with disk buffering is pretty dope.
Genuinely one of my favorite pieces of infra software. Good luck with Tero.