Accelerationists and doomers both assume AI means rapid change. But what if the incentives point toward stasis instead? A world frozen in place by those who got there first.

I'll buy it, but mainly because that's what modern society has been doing since the 1890s: standardizing spelling, lightbulbs, schooling, addresses, clothing sizes, heck, even house loan. We've made a single, life-long identity so as to be able to tie earnings, taxes, retirement and consequences to a person, rather than letting everyone segment risk as they see fit. Centralizing everything from RAM production to news gatekeeping to food production, monopolies of various sorts appear and grow. We've managed to unring the bell of technological process through legal threats (copyright, liability, torts) to such a degree that air travel hasn't progressed much since 1960, and we're still predominantly using a descendant of an operating system from the early-to-mid 1970s.