2 pointsby JoseOSAFa month ago2 comments
  • Anthony76a month ago
    One pattern I’ve noticed across tech (and especially crypto) is that the hardest part to predict isn’t what will happen, but how quickly trust compounds once a narrative starts aligning with real behavior. We’ve seen this while working on long-term visibility and adoption for Web3 products at AixBoost.com — short-term spikes almost never validate predictions, but slow, consistent signals tend to confirm or kill them pretty decisively. Curious which of your predictions you personally feel most uneasy about being wrong on.
  • 7777777phila month ago
    The OpenAI platformization take feels like the safest bet here (imo it's already the consensus in most SF infra circles - my ttwo cents here: https://philippdubach.com/posts/how-ai-is-shaping-my-investm...). The medical MLLM grafting is a much higher-stakes claim. Let’s see if "regulatory-grade" ever actually happens without a full retraining—history suggests the FDA isn't a fan of modular grafts.
    • JoseOSAFa month ago
      Yeah fair point on the medical MLLM stuff. FDA and modular approaches have never been best friends. That's actually why I'm most curious to see how it plays out - the ArXiv activity around safety grafting has been picking up but whether regulators actually buy it vs demanding full retraining... we'll see. The OpenAI platformization one I'll admit feels safer. Curious though - do you think the window's already closing or is there still runway for the picks and shovels players?