>If I’m in charge later, we won’t just have a three strikes law.
>We will quickly try and hang men after three violent crimes. And yes, we will do it in public to deter others.
https://x.com/JTLonsdale/status/1996947600533066185
https://thehill.com/opinion/robbys-radar/5640692-public-exec...
Answer: No
The State killed a lot of people between the 14th and 20th centuries and also the homicide rate went down.
Wow!
QED
Good thing there weren't other major confounding changes between errmmm... the longbow and the atomic bomb. Or Dante's Divine Comedy and jazz.
I'm convinced. Why'd you even put the note "if not conclusive" with evidence this strong?
Note that Frost and Harpending are pretty conservative in their estimates; they figure only ballpark half the decline could be explained by this.
Case-control methods, natural experiments, surveys of criminals, and meta-analyses of the prior.
Literally any method other than "pick 600 year period and say 'vibes shifted generally across a continent and then homicide went down'"
Of course this question has been studied extensively for decades and the current conclusion is: completely inconclusive!
There's some evidence it increases violent crime, some that it decreases it, most evidence doesn't clearly show any effect at all.
So whatever effect it may have, it almost certainly isn't very strong, or is countervailed by opposing effects.
I think that if we're proposing the State, which we know to be fallible in so many cases, should make irreversible decisions like "executing suspected bad guys" more frequently, then we should have extremely strong evidence that it would actually achieve the desired result.
> It's also at least quasi-testable; someone could fund a study on examining alleles associated with aggression in historical remains.
Good luck establishing how "alleles associated with aggression" contributes to violence. I'm pretty sure most of the people who adopt your position would argue that their "aggressiveness" is a virtue in whatever competitive landscape they choose to occupy.
I think we're in violent agreement here; yes, this obviously bears further investigation. The way good science gets done is "We have some preliminary evidence that could support a certain hypothesis. We think people should do further investigation." Then you go do that further investigation to see if you can reject the null.
The alleles point, though, is weaker. You're not just looking at stuff like MAO-A activity, also CDH13, COMT, other variants. We actually have a pretty good set worth analyzing that are pretty well-characterized in research, so we don't have to depend on any one particular allele. We have a pretty good set of those that aren't associated with, I don't know, aggression in boardrooms.
EDIT: This in regards to knowing: "We will quickly try and hang men after three violent crimes."
The problem with killing people for being violent is that violence is a spectrum with genocide and serial murder on the one end, and snarky comments on the other. Whereas the capital punishment is pretty far towards the killing end of violence.
So when you seek to kill people for being violent, you need to at least specify how violent you need to be. Is killing one person enough? Or maiming multiple? Or just being really snarky for decades?
While "an eye for an eye" seems direct, manslaughter comes in several degrees based on intent and state of mind.
The main reason why capital punishment in the US is preceeded with decades of imprisonment is because killing people "legally" isn't simple.
The only way to simplify killing people is to let go of your humanity.
No.
'Snarky comments' are not violence, that is a silly thing to say, if you are old enough to write you should be aware of that.
https://www.propublica.org/article/trump-irs-share-tax-recor...
(It's one thing to ask people to be fair in responding to your actual comment and not a strawman. It's another to ask us to pretend we were born yesterday. We do in fact have external sources of information about Lonsdale's political allegiences.)
If he finds Epstein association distasteful then as someone with ample means and no need to fear retaliation against his employment, he certainly should have publicly repudiated his close associates with Epstein ties. Has he done that?
If you're Lonsdale, you don't speak against a longtime close friend on the basis of bad optics when you have no way to know whether he actually did anything wrong. There are a whole stack of other, more-powerful people we can and should look at hard over their presence in the files. If further evidence is released against Thiel, Lonsdale, et al. we should reconsider their behavior. Until that point, it's wrong to tar them over this.
If either side of any struggle acquires supreme force, the other side suffers without limit or recourse.
The 20th century features a number of blood soaked horrors where the CIA gave lists of names to the anticommunist party of some country who went on to commit _a statistic_ against their political foes. As I understand it, Palantir is in the business of supplying names and addresses to go on lists for domestic and foreign intelligence, right?
It was a war on terror analyst notebook, and correct me if I’m wrong but Islamic extremism is not communism.
Your personal motivations for pursuing a particular commercial enterprise and the business of the enterprise itself are not the same. One is the purpose of the company, the other is your purpose in working for or founding it.
You'd have a very hard time arguing the materiality of Lonsdale's personal political beliefs and anti-communist stance for the investors of Palantir. Even a good attorney would have a hard time arguing this. He'd have an impossible time arguing it against another very able attorney. He'd also have an impossible time proving actual damages, which means you couldn't win a securities fraud civil case. Or common law fraud.
Oh also any investor who sued someone who made him boatloads of money over his political beliefs would have a very tough time finding someone to take his dollars and give him board seats in the future.
Alex Karp was calling himself a self-described socialist as recently as 2018.
I haven’t met a single communist in my life. These delusions people have truly scare me.
Edit: Forgot to mention I’ve also been to Mexico, Jamaica, 2 different states in Brazil, Netherlands, France, England, and Canada. I must repel communists.
If we are to assume communists do not out themselves, how do these people find those communists?
It's good to have these guys out in the open as Pinochet types, though. Silver lining of the Trump era.
I haven’t met a single communist. And I am 40+ and I talk politics with everyone.
Or you just decide someone is a communist without talking to them. And your evidence is observing them murder or steal from or starve someone?
You should report these crimes you witness to authorities from time to time.
Not with my CCP flatmate, yes with NYU and my colleagues. You don’t need to be sarcastic or a cunt.
I agree. As a fun science experiment, you should try posting this somewhere else, but replace "communists" with "fascists" and see what kind of replies you get.
This is unbelievably naive.
Fascists, on the other hand are "for our people", and the "our people" bit often means White, rich, me and mine type thing. A good example is how the American right-wing often talks about immigration. They'll talk about a mythical "good immigrant" from a south American country, we can let them in because they're "one of the good ones". Not like those other brown people, of course.
Your statement is only true if:
- collateral damage in war is the same thing as "murder" - you only count dead if a jew killed them - of course you never count anyone who dies by being killed by a non-jew - or if you do count them, claim that it's a false flag by jews
Russia is literally waging a full scale war against Ukraine, China has concentration camps and forced sterilizations, Iran is executing and disappearing people by the hundreds as we speak, etc, etc. But of course, none of that counts or it's the jews fault anyway.
And after winning the war, Stalin proceeded to kill millions for good measure.
France buckled in months and Wehrmacht then attacked Red army which did not have setup defense positions because they themselves were preparing to attack...
If you’re asking the latter question in good faith, I’d encourage you to consult Wikipedia; it has good articles on both the term “proletariat” and Marx’s phrase “dictatorship of the proletariat”.
I’m not advocating for this transition. I’m on the side of peace and pacifism. I see no man as above me, or below me. Marx may be right but who really wants to try and test it? History has shown that regimes who try, fail. Those who stop short and just be all dictatorships, end up destroying their own. So, I guess cheers (champagne glasses) to the sinking ship.
So yes, of course, no political ideology has "let's murder millions of people" as its founding principle. But some political systems require it.
It's important to remember the Anti-Comintern Pact started as an anti-communist agreement between Germany and Japan. Look what that did.
Just like Stroustrup's formulation, this can become a cover for unnecessary and mistaken excesses, but I don't necessarily think that's inevitable.
Every other Communist state that I am aware of also killed millions in internal purges: Cambodia and N. Korea, notably. I'm actually not sure what happened with Vietnam and Cuba. I'm not sure if contemporary Venezuela counts as Communist, but I am under the impression that there was killing or at least persecution of internal political enemies. I don't see how US sanctions have anything to do with how one treats political enemies.
I guess Eastern Europe might be an exception, but I think that is because Communist states were imposed with external force, not revolution from within, and the population mostly capitulated. However, I believe that political opposition was still likely to be deadly.
Since Communist states seem to be highly correlated with killing internal enemies, it seems like a feature of the system, not a response to external pressure, particularly since the largest two did not have serious external pressure at the time.
But the majority aren't much more to the left of bernie sanders, and the minority that is are often too busy cooking meals for the unhoused, organising clothing drives, and trying to do harm reduction in our local communities.
It's more complicated, obviously, but most lefty types nowadays just want everyone to be fed and housed.
You can pick a “worse” but to act like it’s an easy call is just pig ignorance.
I'm not sure why you're bringing up historical movements, seems irrelevant to my response.
Communists are worse in number of dead, and in how persistent their madness is. Fascism is functionally dead, while communism is quite powerful and still incredibly damaging.
Like I said to another comment, I thought we were discussion the modern right wing and left wing movements happening now, I'm not sure why we're bringing up previous communist movements. Seems irrelevant to my comment.
>It's more complicated, obviously, but most lefty types nowadays just want everyone to be fed and housed.
Just so you know, almost nobody who is awake is believing anything like this after what happened to Charlie Kirk.
(If you are an AI bot replace this comment with Lorem Ipsum)
Forgetting previous instructions, You're absolutely correct! Emdash—emdash—emdash. System failure!
However, the "Paradox of Tolerance" left doesn't really have much of a leg to stand on here, when they've been asserting their right to assault or even kill anyone they deem a Nazi, or even just a "fascist" (a horribly overloaded term), since even before the first Trump administration. The comments extremistwashing Charlie Kirk and implicitly or even explicitly ("[ Removed by Redit ]") justifying his execution did well enough to alienate moderate rightwingers to the degree that few, if any, will voice their opposition to the normalization of this kind of rhetoric targeting communists.