14 pointsby cheshire_cat3 hours ago4 comments
  • andy99an hour ago
    Demand is internal and speculative. It’s not market driven and in some cases (AI features in existing products) is counter to clear market signals.
  • bgwalter6 minutes ago
    What "AI"? The current search situation is:

    - The forced "AI" summary is wrong.

    - If you click on "Google AI", it gives a new summary that contradicts the initial one.

    - If you check Wikipedia or the top real search result, they contradict both the above.

    Should the board intervene and fire Pichai? Does the board know something we don't, e.g., are there massive surveillance contracts with the NSA and the "AI" demand is internal?

  • austin-cheney2 hours ago
    What happens when this bubble pops? I am trying to avoid any time or financial investment in AI as I look around the corner. I am also looking back at the last big bubble. I got my first house for $129k at 2800sqft when the housing bubble popped. There were just so many empty houses available.

    So now I am wondering what will be available once the AI investment implodes. I am thinking about computer hardware, available cloud infrastructure employees for hire on the cheap, and more.

    I am also looking at the consequences for the incumbents reliant on both AI and cloud that either cannot pay their bills or who fail because their service providers no longer exist. I can’t help but see lots of opportunity on the horizon.

    • thinkingemotean hour ago
      I'm also interested in this question, am not interested in profiting just curious about the future. Other HN users gave these answers:

      "If the price of inference drops through the floor all the AI wrapper companies become instantly more valuable. Cursor's agents suck ...but their position would get much better with cheap inference." (edited)

      "Buy the application layer near winners. When computing costs shrink, usage expands."

      "massive Oracle Crypto Farm"

      So the answer seems to be: 1. look at what is being priced out now, as this will be cheaper later. 2. Assume the big players will shrink and the smaller players will grow.

      If crypto fills the gap I think we could also see a devaluation in coins?

      If the data centres stop using so much electricity, will supply of electricity increase and so the costs will decrease?

      Personally I'm looking forward to cheaper consumer GPU cards.

  • oldpersonintx22 hours ago
    [dead]