this is only true for larger multi-stage funds who compete with each other, not for Seed or Series A-only funds
The AI boom is in full swing. You've got product market fit, lots of paying users, everything is gucci. So when they issue 40 million more shares to new investors, there's 50 million shares out there, you have 2/50 million, but, hey, lookit! The new valuation is $100 million. You now have $4 million of a $100 million company. Not bad! It turns out that when things are good, things are quite good!
Unfortunate, it's discovered that your product is actually the torment nexus. Users flee, the bubble pops, the entire sector goes bust, your remaining users sue you, you run out of money. Your board fires you and the new CEO takes on a new round of investors. They issue 950 million shares, at a $one million valuation.
Fuck.
For all your hard work, your blood sweat and tears. Failed personal relationships. Your 2 million shares are now 2/1000 of $1 million, or $2,000. That's right, two thousand dollars only. Do not past go, Do not collect money to FIRE, hope you can get a job running Door Dash, except that got automated away so you can't do that.
Edit: Before commenters reply, That's not possible! I have preferential rights written into my contract. They won't and can't do that! And maybe you're right. Maybe you've got a totally iron clad contract written up by a lawyer who experienced the com bust and there are provisions against the exact scenario written above isn't possible. Except you were collecting a founder's salary of $50,000 /year and don't have $200k in savings to afford a high-powered corporate lawyer to sue and get back what's left of your company. Say you do regain control, it's got a $1 million valuation for a reason. Maybe it'll be like Pebble and you win, and you can run it as a life-style business because there are enough loyal customers who like your brand of torment nexus, and you eke out $10,000 of revenue (gross, not net) per month. Not bad per se, but still not the NYSE bell ringing IPO you were hoping for. Plus you're in debt to your lawyers and it's going to take forever to pay them off.
And ultimately, if your product is the torment nexus, nobody is going to make money regardless of valuation.
FWIW, I remember the dot com bust very well.
That’s fair. It was just to get to the third act. If you can think of a way to do part two that’s equally succinct that’s more plausible, I’d love to hear your rendition.
If they led a pre-seed, they’d be happy to see someone else lead the seed round because then it’s easier to make the case within the fund that they should maintain or increase their stake.
External validation means a lot when the company is young.
Syndicates are much stronger than a sole VC leading everything. There’s just way more capital and help with a syndicate.
I also take issue with calling this angel investing:
> I angel invest primarily through my scouting relationship with the VC firm Andreesson Horowitz. They give me a budget for investing in each fund and I get a fraction of the carry.
Instead with this strategy you get a whopping 5% of profits and Andreessen gets 95% for your efforts / network.
Why not just be an actual angel? Presumably the author has the capital for it now. And if they’re confident enough to risk someone else’s capital why not risk their own?
1. You're extremely rich. 2. You see it as a learning opportunity or you enjoy helping, without thought of financial reward.
What will happen, at the slightest whiff of success, is that professional investors and VC will swoop in at a moments notice, and dilute you to pieces.
In the end, you will have paid for the company while it was small, to get it started, and then the VC:s will snatch it away by diluting you. Hence nr 1 above, but be prepared to spend!
Seems like you get just as diluted by future rounds as the professional VCs that will make up the next round, if you get the same terms?
FWIW I don't think angel investments make any financial sense but see them as a minor chance of upside and a significant way to help and connect with people.
How is Kevin Durant (pro basketball player) a strategic angel for a monitoring/observability company?
Idk why nobody's done a good feature on him.
[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kevin-durant-investment-portf...
[2] https://parlemag.com/2025/04/kevin-durant-business-ventures/
Aside: Saquon Barkley's (pro football player) portfolio is insane https://www.readtheprofile.com/p/saquon-barkley-investment-p...
KD is trying to be steve young and leverage his bay area fame to get a seat at the table
That's wild.
If he has successfully assembled a team of bankers that has been as successful as his portfolio suggests, while allowing him to be completely hands off, the man clearly has talents beyond the basketball court.
How helpful can a person who spends less than 5 hours over 5 YEARS be? How much time are they even spending learning / thinking about the company?
‘One conversation that stuck with me: I was telling Kevin how my two lead investors had both interviewed a key product hire for the company. One was positive and one was in the middle. Kevin said to always be “strong yes” or “strong no” if I could help it. I still hire according to this philosophy today.‘
Is the idea that you should ask for strictly binary yes/no feedback from interviewers, and only move forward if there’s a “strong yes” consensus from this process?
https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2006/10/25/the-guerrilla-guid...
Have you ever regretted hiring someone who you were 100% sure on?
Have you ever regretted hiring someone you weren't 100% sure on?
Definitely or no, it's that binary sometimes.
In the spirit of finding the right person through serendipity:
I’m actively looking for intros to angels who are interested in B2B lending. The tariffs have completely disrupted the US SMB lending ecosystem and automation is going to have to ramp up rapidly to close the gap.
Myself and my team have a AI automation tool, we are revenue generating, technical founding team with 2x maths PhDs
Please email me (email in profile) if relevant to someone you know
Ultimately she did exit to Postman so whatever she did was successful though of course one cannot cargo cult everything.
And sorry for opening a political can of worms, but I wouldn't touch anything that touches Andreesen with a 10 foot pole at this point. He's taken a serious heel turn and is openly endorsing Fascism.
So you skipped a friend or family member because KD is good at basketball and has lots of money? Super "field guide" /s