293 pointsby edward7 days ago23 comments
  • righthand7 days ago
    Congestion pricing is great. I routinely end up in Manhattan on Friday and Canal Street at 5pm is running smoothly (not packed end to end with idling cars as before), the city looks like a regular city instead of the packed cars honking and spewing tire dust and exhaust. Long gone are the people that would drive into LES on Friday night with their expensive cars and blare loud music and rev their engines. It’s a different environment and everyone is loving it that I’ve talked to.
    • ericmay7 days ago
      > Long gone are the people that would drive into LES on Friday night with their expensive cars and blare loud music and rev their engines. I

      I don't live in New York, but have been following along loosely on the congestion pricing policy as someone who has some official business but also just generally curious to see how it would work out, and this is a benefit that I had not considered. Thank you for mentioning this.

      • righthand7 days ago
        Yes I imagine a handful of crime was caused by the sheer number of people on the street. Fewer people idling about looking to cause a ruckus has made a huge difference. Passive benefits are what will keep cp in place.
      • fitsumbelay7 days ago
        Same

        I would've had a hard time wrapping my head around being OK with ~$10/trip before this post

        Goes to show time is the most valuable commodity anyone'll ever own

        • 6 days ago
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    • Reason0777 days ago
      > ”Long gone are the people that would drive into LES on Friday night with their expensive cars and blare loud music and rev their engines.”

      Interestingly, in London’s case we do not get this particular benefit from the congestion charge zone, because congestion charging ends at 6pm! So all the boys eager to show off their hot, loud cars still show up on a Friday or Saturday night.

      • graemep7 days ago
        London is a pretty good city for walking around and public transport.

        When I lived in London (pre congestion charge) I used to walk for pleasure a lot simply because I enjoyed it.

        I think road design and good public transport have improved it (although reliability could be better sometimes) since then. I do not agree with all the changes over the years, but net its great.

        Lots of expensive cars but never really noticed the loud revving.

      • tim3337 days ago
        Also a lot of the flash car revving is around Harrods which is outside the zone.
    • lr19707 days ago
      Congestion pricing is only a half of the solution. The second half should be the MTA reform. MTA has been a dysfunctional mess and a bottomless money pit for as long as I remember. MTA of today will squander any amount of money you throw on it wasting all the potential gains from congestion pricing.
      • sethhochberg7 days ago
        Regrettably the only source I can find hosting this video is a reddit post, but you might find the remarks by the MTA chair interesting: https://www.reddit.com/r/nycrail/comments/1iyve4d/mta_buildi...

        In short: for decades they’ve been allergic to doing any design or project management in house, which meant brand new teams of consultants and contractors spun up for every single project. Lucrative for the consultants, not an efficient way to use funds for a big organization that is constantly doing design and construction.

        Seems like the MTA is finally starting to invest in building internal expertise again so they can stop farming everything out

        • const_cast7 days ago
          This is the story of the American public sector. Voters push them to outsource X Y Z to the private sector because clearly public organization X sucks. The private sector is greedy and a black box, so they're basically going to bleed the tax payers dry because they have no accountability to anyone. And the added complexity of hops between communication just burns money. And now the military is paying 150 dollars for a shovel.

          The American public is allergic to just considering public actors as job programs. If the MTA would just keep everything in-house that can be a real boon to the local economy. But no, we have to give those jobs to some fuck ass companies made up primarily of salespeople who are going to make big claims and then proceed to run every project overtime and over budget.

          • AnthonyMouse7 days ago
            The real problem is public corruption. People got tired of public officials getting paid off by a public sector union to create a bunch of makework jobs at taxpayer expense. The theory of privatization is that you put the contract up for bids and then every private company has the incentive to get the contract until the profit margins are low enough, and "low profit margins" are to the public's advantage.

            But then the contracting process gets corrupted to prevent most companies from bidding and direct the contracts to specific cronies.

            What you actually need is better ways to stop public officials from screwing the public for personal advantage.

            • const_cast6 days ago
              I disagree fundamentally - as more things got privatized in the US, you can clearly see the degradation of our services. For example, the NYC subway.

              The reality is we are now paying a lot of money for some of the worse public services we've ever had. In the 50s, 60s, and 70s, our public services were considerably higher quality - AND this is with increased labor. We've managed to significantly lower labor cost through technology, and yet the quality has degraded.

              We've tried the theory of privatization. In fact we keep trying it over and over. Look around you. Is it working? Yes or no? No, right? Then we should be on the same page.

              • AnthonyMouse5 days ago
                > as more things got privatized in the US, you can clearly see the degradation of our services. For example, the NYC subway.

                The question is whether this is caused by privatization or by corruption. Obviously if you constrain who can bid on the contract so that it can only go to some well-connected paymasters who overcharge and underdeliver, things are going to go poorly.

                > We've tried the theory of privatization. In fact we keep trying it over and over. Look around you. Is it working?

                In which place are we incarcerating the politicians who deliver the contracts to their cronies?

            • sensanaty6 days ago
              > The real problem is public corruption.

              So the solution is private corruption where nameless corporations and CEOs get to take public money with 0 oversight instead?

              I'm not a yank myself, but in the Netherlands the national railway (NS) is "jointly" owned but run as a private business and is a complete clusterfuck, exactly because we for some insane reason believe that running public transport should be profitable. Prices get raised every year (and we already have some of the most expensive train costs in the world), there's less trains, conductors get paid like shit and treated like garbage (hence them striking often), the trains are late more and more often, they're filthy etc. I don't want to drive, but if me and my partner decide we want to go to a different city by train, it costs us easily double what the equivalent car journey would cost. Of course, if we didn't subsidize cars as heavily as we do that'd probably be a different story, but that's venturing off-topic.

              Similarly in the UK, privatization led to nothing but chaos there, and now they're left with ludicrous prices compared to all other modes of transport, because again, things are being run as a private business and they're expecting profits to be made.

              Public transport should be a public good, and we should not expect it to be profitable. If it's possible, that's great, but we should aim for quality of service above anything else. How about we instead divert the gigantic chunk of money that goes to maintaining roads and making sure drivers have few inconveniences and instead start investing that in actual public transport instead?

              • AnthonyMouse6 days ago
                > So the solution is private corruption where nameless corporations and CEOs get to take public money with 0 oversight instead?

                Presumably the solution looks something like rounding up all of the public officials who officiated over anything that even hints a whiff of personal advantage and sticking their heads in a guillotine.

                > Public transport should be a public good, and we should not expect it to be profitable.

                Whether something is profitable or not and whether it's provided by direct government employees or not are two independent things. You could very easily pay a private company to operate a transit system while subsidizing fares with tax dollars.

                Meanwhile at some point the government is going to be buying something from the market. If they operate the trains, are they also going to design and manufacture the trains? Are they going to manufacture the steel that goes into the trains? What about the energy used to make the steel, or the trucks used to transport it?

                But as soon as you have the government buying something from anyone, you need to start lopping off the heads of the public officials whenever there is anything fishy going on with the bidding process or you get what we've got.

            • CPLX7 days ago
              There wasn’t really a “theory” behind all the privatization.

              The theory was “if we do this we can get more of the government money in our pocket” and the arguments were backwards construction from there.

              • potato37328426 days ago
                There wasn't a "theory" because this wasn't some garbage that aloof academics cooked up.

                At the time thins were privatized (50s through 80s) the misalignment of incentives was plain as day obvious fact. People looked at <shuffles cards> New York City, and said "do not want" and they attempted to break the feedback loop between public agencies and the parties they were making work for and tried to resolve it by putting more of the decisions of what work needed to be done under the umbrella of the agencies doing it. With proper competition, this can work. But people like you have spent the last 70yr erecting barriers to competition and so in an environment where things are only ever getting bid on by the same few players the costs rise and the values go down.

                • chownie6 days ago
                  Transport is often a natural monopoly, rails almost always. There's no way to run that as a private market because no one can meaningfully compete.
                  • AnthonyMouse6 days ago
                    The sane way to privatize a transit system isn't to give the private company ownership over the system, it's to have the government own all of the plant and equipment and pay various private companies to supply or operate pieces of it. Then they're not deciding what fares are (the thing with no competition), they're deciding how much they bid to provide rolling stock or train conductors and then the government chooses the company with the most attractive bid for each thing it needs to buy in any given year.

                    The government in turn sets the fares by amortizing the total cost of the system over the number of riders modulo any taxpayer subsidies it intends to provide.

                    • chownie2 days ago
                      The half-nationalised half-privatised system you're suggesting isn't that far off the UK's approach, which results in almost zero maintenance, no on-platform support for disabled people and fares so high that people fly to other places in the UK via europe because it's cheaper than taking the train.
            • bsder6 days ago
              > The real problem is public corruption

              The outsourcing push was a Republican party propaganda anti-tax shibboleth combined with pique at government departments that had the temerity to point out that "Reality Has A Well-Known Liberal Bias(tm)".

              The problem is that you switch from the government doing something possibly inefficiently to private industry who WILL take their cut no matter what which leads to even less efficiency. The contracting companies are the same but they love privatization because the government has far less recourse when they don't deliver properly.

              If you want real competition, you have to keep at least some amount of capability in house in the government or the contractors will simply wring you out knowing full well that you have no recourse.

              For the modern strain: see DOGE. And how much money got saved? Yeah, exactly like that.

              • AnthonyMouse6 days ago
                > The outsourcing push was a Republican party propaganda anti-tax shibboleth

                For that to be true it would have to be actually saving money in order to allow lower taxes at a given level of deficit spending.

                > Reality Has A Well-Known Liberal Bias(tm)

                Quoting a satirist isn't a real argument.

                > If you want real competition, you have to keep at least some amount of capability in house in the government or the contractors will simply wring you out knowing full well that you have no recourse.

                If you want real competition then you need real competition, i.e. multiple companies that can each supply the thing. And then they lose the contract to the other bidders if they mess up.

                But when the corruption is the outcome desired by the politicians, preventing competing bidders is the name of the game.

                • bsder6 days ago
                  > Quoting a satirist isn't a real argument.

                  Quoting Republican propaganda isn't a real argument, but you did it anyway.

                  The Republican point of outsourcing has always been "My goal is to cut government in half in twenty-five years, to get it down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub." (quoting Grover Norquist).

                  > And then they lose the contract to the other bidders if they mess up.

                  This only works if the government has enough competent personnel to be able to oversee and evaluate "mess up". When you outsource everything, you no longer have that. So, contractors only have to worry about being sued after the fact, if that. In reality, the failures only manifest 10 years down the road and the companies have all rolled up and disappeared with the profits.

                  • AnthonyMouse6 days ago
                    > Quoting Republican propaganda isn't a real argument, but you did it anyway.

                    I think you're missing the dichotomy:

                    > The Republican point of outsourcing has always been "My goal is to cut government in half in twenty-five years, to get it down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub." (quoting Grover Norquist).

                    One of two things has to be true. Either their purpose in doing privatization is to cut government spending in order to cut taxes, which would imply that it actually does save money. Or, their purpose is something else, like diverting the same number of tax dollars to their cronies, in which case "in order to cut taxes" is an erroneous attribution of their purpose.

                    And by the evidence it's the second one, because they don't actually cut spending and yet they still want to do privatization for some reason. Meanwhile if it was the first one as you claim then we should actually want to do it because then it's more efficient and would provide more government services per tax dollar regardless of whether or not you want to cut taxes.

                    > This only works if the government has enough competent personnel to be able to oversee and evaluate "mess up". When you outsource everything, you no longer have that.

                    This doesn't require a large number of personnel and in particular it doesn't require the likes of bus drivers or construction workers to be direct government employees, because they're not going to be tasked with making managerial decisions either way.

                    The real problem is that the people who are tasked with those decisions get paid off (revolving door etc.) to make sure the government gets locked in to some specific contractor or otherwise takes no effective recourse when they come in late and over budget.

          • dhosek7 days ago
            The other thing is that privatization is old-school patronage on steroids: if you structure it right, you get to channel government money to the recipients in a way that continues even after you lose power.
          • xnx7 days ago
            Public or private, this is what happens without competition. Even with a fixed set of tunnels and tracks, there are ways to benefit from competitive market forces.
          • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
            > Voters push them to outsource X Y Z to the private sector

            Do voters really push for this? I would have suspected it is the consultants and the unions.

          • supertrope7 days ago
            Giving displaced workers some money or offering a free public service is frowned upon so we have to launder it through dummy jobs.
        • krferriter7 days ago
          Americans have a weird thing with government agencies (or government-owned companies, e.g. Amtrak) simply hiring people to do a thing the government is tasked with doing, or buying things the government needs in order to do that thing. So instead our governments at all levels rely heavily on contracting it out to private companies to do the exact same thing but with higher cost and turnover and no long term expertise built in-house in the government agency which is now tasked with managing and overseeing all this contracting.

          The MBTA in Boston also suffered from this and is now undergoing an effort under the new management to hire more in-house staff to do routine maintenance and other work that had previously been contracted out to a variety of private firms.

          • pfannkuchen7 days ago
            I suspect the theory is that private companies with many clients besides the government are less susceptible to bloat and waste than a government agency is because they are not a singleton entity and will be outcompeted if they are sufficiently inefficient.

            A problem with this theory is that, I imagine, a lot of such companies basically only have contracts with the government. So it ends up with the same singleton problems, just outsourced.

          • 7 days ago
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      • nobodyandproud7 days ago
        Largely because a hostile state government is given control over what’s largely a NYC issue.
      • passivedonut7 days ago
        Congestion pricing is a regressive tax. It doesn’t actually ‘work.’

        As the population or inflation increases the fee will have to increase to keep enough people off the road. It doesn’t actually address the public’s transportation needs, it’s just some rich assholes way of using wealth to cut in line at the expense of the general public.

        Most of these policies that seek to inflict harm on the public to effect social change never actually produce a positive and productive end result.

        Small businesses which is the U.S. economy will be heavily impacted resulting in local cities moving revenue generation from commerce to residential property, increasing cost of living.

        If gentrification is your wheelhouse then yah Congestion Pricing sounds wonderful.

        • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
          > As the population or inflation increases the fee will have to increase to keep enough people off the road

          Most people in a car in Manhattan don’t need to be in one, and most of those that do are exempted from this charge.

          (I say this as someone who is commonly in a car in Manhattan.)

        • ethbr17 days ago
          It would be a regressive tax... if there weren't public transit alternatives.

          As is, it's a tax on people who drive.

        • CPLX7 days ago
          It’s not a regressive tax, it’s a fee. Taxes and fees are related but distinct.

          It’s possible for an overall fee based structure to be regressive, but it’s also possible for it to not be.

          For example a fee for landing private jets at public airports is not regressive.

          Given the contours of who does and doesn’t drive in Manhattan it’s almost certain that this one has a similar dynamic and is actually progressive.

        • insane_dreamer7 days ago
          it works in places that are already gentrified, like Manhattan or the City (of London). No one is suggesting congestion pricing in Queens.
          • righthand6 days ago
            “Gentrified”, no. “Romanticized” to the extreme, yes
    • tixocloud7 days ago
      Great to hear the positives about congestion pricing. It would be great to see how it can ease the congestion in Toronto. Unfortunately, I suggested congestion pricing as a possible solution as part of an academic project and was laughed off.
      • righthand6 days ago
        Car culture is strong, I’d seek local transport advocacy group interest[0] before academic interest. Your academic colleagues all probably drive to work.

        [0] in the case of NYC, for example, Transportation Alternatives https://transalt.org/

    • jgalt2127 days ago
      It remains amazing to me, time and time again, how relatively small fees can encourage large changes in behavior. At the aggregate level, people overvalue their time and undervalue their money.
      • somsak27 days ago
        i think it's the opposite right? people that didn't mind spending an hour in traffic are now unwilling to pay $9.
        • righthand7 days ago
          I think you’re agreeing with each other. GP was talking about at the aggregate level where your observation is about the individual specifically. At the aggregate level with traffic reduction you’d think individuals would weigh their money as a shortcut to regain time but they don’t. My personal guess is because Manhattan is not the actual destination, work and home are the destinations, Manhattan is just the environment. Before it was the cost of car maintenance to drive into Manhattan (in the individuals eyes “free”), now it’s car maintenance + $9/day.
      • 3eb7988a16637 days ago
        I certainly refuse to pay $0.10 / plastic grocery bag since those fees were put in place. I have been exclusively shopping with a canvas bag for years now. Likely having saved thousands of bags in that time. In fact, I am angry at the half-dozen times where circumstances have forced me to pay for one.
        • kulahan7 days ago
          I think I’m up to like 8 canvas bags, significantly thicker yet still significantly plastic, which I continue to forget at home.

          These laws have absolutely increased my carbon emissions, and I think o saw it’s like 10,000 visits to offset the carbon difference? AKA it’s more intensive initially to build things that last longer, idea being that you offset it over time

          I’d be surprised if I got 80k grocery store trips left in my LIFE!

          • Spooky237 days ago
            HN likes to equate all environmental issues with carbon. It’s one dimension but not the sole dimension. Bags were a huge litter, wildlife and quality of life issue.

            My wife was a finance commissioner for a water utility. Guess what the most common clogger of storm drains was? Shopping bags. They did hundreds of service calls annually doing service that ranged from fishing them out to using a hydro-jet to clear a pipe.

            Within 18 months of the bag fee, those calls dropped 60%. That’s easily $800k in wasted labor and dollars in this small city.

            • Karrot_Kream7 days ago
              Great example. FWIW I don't think this is just an HN issue. It's hard for most people to have a systemic view of policy. I'm pretty dialed in on these issues and I never even thought of the drainage impacts of the bags.
            • kulahan6 days ago
              That would’ve been a fantastic way to advertise this initiative to voters. Unfortunately, there were no mentions of clogged pipes, clean watersheds, or any other benefit, so I’m meeting them where they chose to meet us.
            • pfdietz7 days ago
              It's just the most important dimension, by far.
              • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
                > It's just the most important dimension, by far

                Strongly disagree.

                New Delhi’s has gotten more polluted over the last decades, to the point that it’s almost comical. (400+ AQI being normalised.) Post pandemic, it’s done a decent job in some parts at reducing the amount of trash on the roads. On the balance, I find it more pleasant now than before.

                I’d also guess that most people would prefer trading emissions for e.g. not living next to a carcinogenic or toxic-waste dump.

                • pfdietz7 days ago
                  No, it's still more important. Continued global warming would eventually render New Delhi uninhabitable.
                  • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
                    > Continued global warming would eventually render New Delhi uninhabitable

                    This is hyperbolic. It will make it more expensive. But not uninhabitable.

                    You know what would render sections of it literally uninhabitable? A Union Carbide incident [1].

                    [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhopal_disaster

                    • pfdietz7 days ago
                      Sufficiently high CO2 levels, such as existed at the end of the Permian period, can raise temperatures above that which would be survivable. Sure, people could huddle in air conditioned survival pods. This doesn't seem to be a sufficient rebuttal of the claim.

                      If you think an analogy with the P/T extinction is invalid, note that CO2 levels are rising now much faster than they did over that event.

                      • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
                        > people could huddle in air conditioned survival pods. This doesn't seem to be a sufficient rebuttal of the claim

                        I kind of think it does, particularly when we’re talking about temperatures that humans choose to live in (almost precisely as you describe) today.

                        CO2 is not going to render our inland cities uninhabitable. It will make them more deadly, more expensive and less comfortable. It will cause a continuation of the current extinction event, which is already comparable with (if not equivalent to) P/T.

                  • Spooky236 days ago
                    This is why environmental activism is ineffective and counterproductive.

                    Where I live, the campaign against natural gas and an arbitrary timeline for decarbonization, combined with accelerating the shutdown of a major nuclear plant, just triggered a 30% increase in electrical delivery cost this year and is driving migration due to cost. (to places with dirtier electric and gas production, btw)

          • mh-7 days ago
            Back when this was new, there were studies showing that the typical canvas bags sold at grocers are also breeding grounds for all sorts of nasty things that you don't want to be transporting your food in.

            So it's just purely all downsides. Like security theater, but for the environment.

            • showerst7 days ago
              Tell that to the Anacostia river in DC! They great at reducing watershed pollution. It's really noticeable how much better things have gotten since the bag fee.

              As a side effect, DC's water authority has also been able to cut maintenance budgets because clumps of bags were our main source of sewer clogs.

        • michaelmrose7 days ago
          Likewise with the canvas bags they are so much nicer but if I do end up needing an 8 or 10c bag I hardly care. If I spend 50 its 1/5 of 1% of the cost.
      • michaelmrose7 days ago
        Eg when plastic bags are free Grandma wants 5 things in 2 doubled bags but at 8 cents each she'll just stick them in the cart with no bag at all and transfer them to the back seat even if 8c for single bag to carry them in would add negligible costs to her $120 basket.
        • Ferret74463 days ago
          But grandma is also buying trash bags now because she used to use the free bags for trash. Probably net zero if not net negative plastic consumption.
      • supertrope7 days ago
        People are not perfectly rational. When there's no explicit price tag people tend to overlook costs. For example when Tesla Model S sold at $70,000 a decrease in gasoline prices was predicted to hurt sales even though a few hundred dollar swing in fuel cost for one year is not going to materially change total cost of ownership of a luxury vehicle.
      • GoatInGrey7 days ago
        I'm not sure why what is functionally a $180/month fee is considered "small". I think what we're seeing here is that public services (like roads) are more enjoyable, for those who can still use it, if the lower half of the income ladder is banned from using it.
        • hnav7 days ago
          That doesn't make much sense, driving a gas car from Jersey is gonna eat up a couple of gallons of fuel ($10x20=$200/mo), insuring it will be $200/mo, if it's not paid off it'll cost at least $500-600, parking will run easily $500 but likely more. Why is that $180 the straw that broke the camel's back?
          • Spooky237 days ago
            The Jersey thing isn’t the issue. Car commuters still commute. Most of the traffic volume are whiny Long Islanders who’d rather cut through Manhattan than navigate the belt parkway and bridges to New Jersey. Also poorly served Queens and Brooklyn residents — I grew up in Queens… my dads public transit time to Lower Manhattan or my mom’s time to Manhattan hospitals was about 2 hours — similar to taking Metro North from Dutchess county or LIRR.

            The downside of this stuff that we don’t have data on is how it affects big employers who benefit from car transit and benefit the city as a whole? How many patients are going to avoid NYU, Cornell or MSK in favor of a satellite site not in the city proper, for example?

            NYC chased most of the big industries away already in my lifetime, I wonder if this will impact commercial business in the city in the long run.

          • kevin_thibedeau7 days ago
            When I lived in the area, I used to regularly drive in to lower Manhattan after 6PM for free parking because it was cheaper, faster, and more convenient than taking the train from right in front of my NJ apartment. The congestion charge would change that equation.
            • const_cast7 days ago
              The parking should've never been free in the first place, that's always a mistake. Even a single parking spot costs many thousands of dollars a year to maintain and own.
              • Aloisius7 days ago
                > Even a single parking spot costs many thousands of dollars a year to maintain

                In what universe is this true?

                There are 3 million parking spots in NYC. If each cost $3000/year to maintain (presumably that's "many thousands"), that would be $9 billion/year - considerably more than what's spend on the entire Department of Transportation.

                I'd be shocked if a single spot cost even $100/year to maintain.

                • supertrope7 days ago
                  It's the opportunity cost of the land being used as parking.

                  Manhattan is one of the few parts of the US where we don't indirectly mandate seven parking spots per car on average. A surface lot ends up costing about $7,000/spot to pave. But at >$1,000,000 per acre garages are used instead. But then that's tens of thousands per spot in construction cost. Underground parking is the most expensive type due to excavation cost. Meanwhile the most convenient parking curbside is offered by the government for free or <$1. Is there something wrong with this picture?

                  • Aloisius7 days ago
                    What opportunity cost is there for existing city-owned curbside parking?

                    Are you going to build on something a couple feet wide on the wrong side of the sidewalk? Or tear down all the buildings then move the sidewalk first?

                    Treating curbside parking like it was exactly the same as large rectangular lots is nonsense.

                    • const_cast6 days ago
                      > Treating curbside parking like it was exactly the same as large rectangular lots is nonsense.

                      Yeah because the parking is already built. But obviously before you build the parking you have a choice - and building "free" parking is a really stupid choice you should never make. You can give that space to building or the road, either will be more productive.

                      • Aloisius6 days ago
                        That's quite a hypothetical to use as justification given how long ago lots were drawn up.

                        I prefer to value things based on what is rather than what could be if only we had a time machine.

                    • theluketaylor5 days ago
                      Opportunity cost of not having protected bike lanes or dedicated transit right of way. Especially in a place like Manhattan improving cycling safety and getting busses out of traffic would be a huge net gain for the city compared with huge amounts of space dedicated to large private vehicles.
                    • supertrope7 days ago
                      Restaurant tables.
            • ta12437 days ago
              So your land use is no longer subsidised?
          • Aloisius7 days ago
            You can buy a used car that gets 30 mpg city for $7,000. Even with a loan, that's closer to $200/month at today's (rather high) rates, not $500-600/month.

            Insurance on that will be on the order of $60/month for an adult safe driver, not $200/month.

            Driving from say, Jersey City to the East Village and back every day is going to use about 10 gallons of gas per month @ $3.20/gallon that's $32/month, not $200/month.

            Parking is bad though it depends on how long you park for, but that's because that has also been jacked up to only allow the wealthy to drive.

            So yeah, $180/month extra would in fact be a lot.

        • ta12437 days ago
          Manhattan is at least as dense as London, and land values must be about the same. The market cost of parking in London far outweighs the cost of the congestion charge, so presumably that's the same in New York.

          Seems that renting a square foot of downtown Manhattan land is about $60/year. A parking space being about 200 square foot, that's $1k a month if paying the actual rate, just for parking (let alone the road space)

          Seems that $200 a month is small when compared to the actual cost.

          • Aloisius7 days ago
            Not a fair comparison. Private owners have to pay property taxes and renters have exclusive use.

            Never mind that the land value for a curbside parking spot on the side of the road is substantially less simply because you can't build anything on it.

            • sagarm6 days ago
              Curbside parking still has opportunity costs. Why dedicate scarce publicly owned space in NYC to subsidize suburbanites, when it could benefit New Yorkers?
            • ta12436 days ago
              > is substantially less simply because you can't build anything on it.

              Why? Why can't I put a shed there?

      • yupitsme1237 days ago
        If you make it so only rich people can do a certain thing, you'll have way fewer people doing that thing. I'm curious what kind of inconveniences this has caused for people who can't afford to pay the fee though.
        • rcpt7 days ago
          Are you actually curious or were you just trying to make a gotcha against congestion pricing?

          I ask because the "only rich people" criticism of NYCs project has been beaten into the dirt and discussed at nearly every level of politics for more than a year now. If there's anything you want to know the information is readily available.

          • yupitsme1237 days ago
            I'm not curious because I already know the answer. The inconvenience is that driving through the city is $9 more expensive without any improvement in other transportation alternatives. For some people that's no big deal but obviously for a lot of people it is, hence why there's fewer people on the road. The "missing" people are the ones who simply can't afford to be there.
            • amluto7 days ago
              The OP, as well as plenty of other articles, pointed out a rather immediate improvement in alternatives: the busses are faster as a result of traffic being reduced.
              • shawn-butler6 days ago
                This is absurd. The data shows maybe a 1-4% gain.

                I know that legitimizes a bunch of activist talking points but come on.

                This is HN

                • amluto6 days ago
                  The source I found agree with 1-4% for bus routes within Manhattan, but it also said:

                  > Commutes on Hudson River and East River crossings for several express bus routes linking the boroughs with Manhattan have, on some lines, shaved more than 15 minutes off commuting times.

                  That’s a rather dramatic improvement.

              • yupitsme1237 days ago
                If you're going to massively inconvenience millions of people then you have to do better than a couple buses running faster. Better as in, using the new funds to completely revamp the whole system. If those faster bus lines don't provide an alternative to my previous route then they don't provide me an alternative to paying $9, losing my job, or picking a different city to live in.
                • sagarm6 days ago
                  If ~$200/mo is enough for you to quit your job in Manhattan, it's clear you weren't happy in the first place. Congestion pricing has done you a service.
            • gambiting7 days ago
              >>The "missing" people are the ones who simply can't afford to be there.

              I don't believe that for a second. They could afford to drive a car, insure it, maintain it, buy fuel, and pay for very expensive parking in NYC, but $9 is too much now?

              I'd be more than happy to be proven wrong if there's any data that suggest that this is actually true.

              • yupitsme1237 days ago
                People pay what they have to pay do get to work or get around. In that sense they could "afford" it, because the alternative is to move or get a different job.

                You're trying to make it seem like driving in NYC is simply a lifestyle decision that people could choose to do or not do. For some people it is, for many people it's simply the only viable option. Once you make it no longer viable, people have no options left.

                • gambiting7 days ago
                  >>Once you make it no longer viable, people have no options left.

                  Which implies that the people who continue driving are indeed those who have no other option, and those who do have taken it instead of paying the $9. Would you disagree?

                  And no, of course I don't imply it's a lifestyle choice - merely that some people(not all!) were driving in NYC even though they indeed had other options available, because there was no extra cost associated with it - now that there is, those people use those other options where possible.

                  Again, it's really fun to speculate why who and where is doing what, but if you have more specific data then please share.

                • boston_clone6 days ago
                  May I ask if you actually live in NYC? My understanding is that owning and regularly driving a vehicle is exceptionally expensive compared to almost any other city. Parking alone can massively eclipse the estimated monthly amount listed elsewhere in the thread.
                  • ta12434 days ago
                    "No one in New York drove, there was too much traffic"

                    -- Fry (Futurama)

              • littlestymaar7 days ago
                Why would they not be there then? How is that supposed to even work if it doesn't affect consumers' behavior?!

                This kind of argument reminds me of a French politician who defended a tax on sweet drinks as a way to fight against the obesity crisis looming (France performs better than most country in that regard, but the situation is still bad). She wanted a tax to deter the consumption of sweet drinks, but at the same time they wanted the tax to stay at “a level where it would not affect the purchasing power of people”.

                • gambiting7 days ago
                  >>Why would they not be there then?

                  Funny because I was going to use that exact example as something that absolutely works. I can easily afford the sugar tax where I live, it's been around for a few years now. But when I go to a store and a box of regular coke is more expensive than diet it makes me not pick regular even though the difference is meaningless financially to me.

                  I understand the same mechanism works with cigarettes and loads of other things - even if you can afford them the increasing price puts you off.

                  But maybe for a more relevant example - I can comfortably afford parking right in the city centre where I live. But the idea of paying what's being asked for parking puts me off so much I just park at the nearest park and ride and take the metro in.

                  • littlestymaar7 days ago
                    > But when I go to a store and a box of regular coke is more expensive than diet it makes me not pick regular even though the difference is meaningless financially to me.

                    So you're telling me that the very same people who refuse to buy non-brand Coke copies whose taste is indistinguishable from true Coke in blind tests would accept to buy Diet Coke despite it tasting like shit in a way that everyone can feel? And they would do so for a smaller gain than what it would save them to buy the cheap copy?

                    • gambiting6 days ago
                      I cannot speak for what other people would or wouldn't do - just told you how I make my purchasing decisions.
                      • littlestymaar5 days ago
                        This kind of policy is 100% about “what other people would or wouldn't do” though.
                        • gambiting4 days ago
                          Which is why I kept insisting that OP posts some factual data to back up their claims, because as much as I enjoy the guessing of who does what and how and when, it's just a bunch of strangers on the internet giving their theories so far(me included of course).
                  • yupitsme1237 days ago
                    These are all lifestyle choices. You don't need to do any of those things. Getting to work or getting around one's own city are not lifestyle options. They're necessities.

                    Using market-style policies to try to nudge people around only works if there are alternatives they can choose from. In this case for many people there are not.

                    • gambiting6 days ago
                      >>In this case for many people there are not.

                      And like I said in my other comment - those people most likely still continue driving and pay the $9 fee. It's people who have other options or who simply don't really need to be there who have now stopped.

                      This exact same scheme has played out in many other cities already, this isn't new.

                    • sagarm6 days ago
                      How is where to work and live not a lifestyle choice?
                      • littlestymaar6 days ago
                        You cannot chose to live in Manhattan unless you have the money to do so. Most people can barely chose their employer as well.
                        • sagarm5 days ago
                          People working _in Manhattan_ can't choose their employer and where to live? Come on. People commuting in from NJ just prefer to live in the suburbs.
                          • littlestymaar3 days ago
                            > People working _in Manhattan_ can't choose their employer and where to live

                            None of the blue collar workers in Manhattan (the janitors, the restaurant waiters and cook, etc. the massive working class that is needed for white collar work to be able to operate) can live in Manhattan.

                  • sokoloff7 days ago
                    I can also afford the parking in the city center, but mostly choose to patronize businesses in the suburbs where the parking is free (and usually plentiful). That I think is what city business owners are worried about.
            • theluketaylor5 days ago
              The money is being piped to the MTA for exactly the transportation improvements you’re looking for.
        • beowulfey7 days ago
          $9 is basically an hour of parking or whatever so really it's likely to be saving people a lot of money since transit costs a lot less
          • yupitsme1237 days ago
            If transit is an option for those peiple and if all other things (transit time, safety, etc) are equal, then yes.
            • const_cast7 days ago
              It is, the subway is a few orders of magnitude safer and cheaper. Sometimes it can take more time... now. Because of congestion pricing. Before, it was often faster to just walk next to the cars than be in one of the cars.
        • righthand7 days ago
          $2.95 + planning time or you can walk for free

          Literally no one has stepped forward and said “I can’t afford $9 or $2.95 or the deep discount commuter tickets.”

          • yupitsme1237 days ago
            I assume you're referring to just taking the metro instead. Not everyone who drives lives near a metro. Not every destination is accessible via the metro. Many people commute from more affordable areas far from the city where public transportation isn't always a viable option. Driving gets $9 more expensive but public transit doesn't suddenly get better for the people who can't pay $9.
            • overflow8977 days ago
              There are very very few places in nyc not accessible via some combo of bus, metro and ferry. It's not as reliable as say Japan but the public transit network is pretty extensive.
              • yupitsme1237 days ago
                Not everyone who drives through NYC lives in NYC. Even if it were, those transit hops add time. Now you're forcing people to choose between paying money they don't have or spending time they don't have.
                • righthand6 days ago
                  If you're driving through NYC you probably have enough money for gas and $9 and all the other tolls on the road. No one is driving around on their last drop of gas going "gosh I could just get out of Nyc to Long Island if I just had that $9 for gas".

                  The poor car owner who can't afford $9 stories are all made up nonsense. "Not everyone has $9 to spend to drive their tens of thousands of dollars car."

                • 6 days ago
                  undefined
        • cortesoft7 days ago
          Poor people were taking public transit already
        • wat100007 days ago
          If you want the government to help poor people, there are much better ways to do it than giving away access to one specific kind of public resource to everyone.
          • yupitsme1237 days ago
            Would you be in favor if they also wanted stop "giving away" access to the sidewalk and fresh air?
            • supertrope7 days ago
              Sidewalks can fit an order of magnitude more people than roads can fit cars. Especially if one car lane was re-allocated to make sidewalks wider. Less traffic means less air pollution.

              It's almost never needed to faregate sidewalks. Tourist districts can organize a special improvement district tax on stores to fund sidewalk upgrades, trash collection, shuttles, security, parking, and planting flowers. This makes the zone more even more attractive to tourists.

              • yupitsme1237 days ago
                This analogy pretty much gets at the heart of what makes these policies distasteful. Me walking or driving through my own city or neighborhood, where I live, pay taxes, and vote, is not the same as me taking a trip to Disney. I don't do it just for fun. I do it because living requires me to occasionally move from place to place.

                Auctioning off to the highest bidder the right to move around is cruel because you make it so that some people simply can't afford to exist in public spaces, and because you're telling people that their own city or neighborhood doesn't even belong to them.

                The correct analogy here would be access to healthcare, water, or electricity.

                • supertrope7 days ago
                  Are people entitled to drive through an area? Or are people entitled to travel through an area? When you live in a car dependent society the two seem to be the same. But they're not the same. Only 22% of Manhattan residents own a car!

                  Look at a school. Many make the front driveway bus only. Because parents dropping off kids one at a time was very low capacity and causing a line of cars to form every morning backing up into the road. There's just not enough space for everyone to drive single occupancy cars to the same destination within the same half hour time slot. Favoring school buses in the school driveway is not an attack on drivers. It's acknowledging the limits of geometry and time, and choosing to get the most out of our common space.

                • wat100007 days ago
                  Does this imply that the government should buy everyone a car? Or is driving not actually necessary for existing in this space and it's enough to let people walk for free?

                  Keep in mind that we're not talking about some suburb where you have to drive two miles to get to the store, but rather about the most walkable place of its size in the US.

            • wat100007 days ago
              Air isn't created or owned by the government. Sidewalks are not capacity-limited in real-world usage and so there would be no point.
        • littlestymaar7 days ago
          The theory is that the price signal helps people make their own arbitrage between time and money and it would maximize society utility, but the reality is since people have a very different amount of money, it just do what you say: the rich pay without second thoughts and enjoy the higher quality of life when the less rich see a degradation of their own: they will either pay with money they don't have in excess and have to stop other consumption, or take public transports which is less convenient for them (since it's cheaper than car commute, they would be doing it if they didn't like it better).
          • yupitsme1237 days ago
            Yeah, and I'm guessing the opinions of those people don't get taken into account by folks who are studying or manufacturing consent for these policies.
            • michaelmrose7 days ago
              We have finite space for roads and an expanding population. Doing nothing means people spend as much time on congested roads as they would taking public transportation. Objectively the worst of both worlds and people having invested in a car and being used to it will continue living in it as it gets worse and worse.

              Providing additional impetus to make a change seems virtuous.

              • yupitsme1237 days ago
                If there's an overall plan to revamp transit and public spaces to accommodate all people then I'm in favor of it. That's how functioning cities do it. This is clearly just a money grab by a corrupt city.
                • michaelmrose7 days ago
                  If slack capacity exists in public transportation and roads are way over what's needed immediately is for people to switch over. Making it more expensive to drive instead of subsidizing it is a way to achieve this.
              • littlestymaar6 days ago
                I'm convinced that having individual cars as default mean of transportation sucks, don't get me wrong.

                But it's not because “doing nothing” is bad that any decision is good.

                This kind of decisions that reduces the freedom of movement of the majority but spare the rich is exactly how people like Trump reach power.

                You want to solve the urban planning problem that is car congestion, then the solution is a urban planning one, not a new tax.

                Or at least if you want to leverage economic incentives, you have to give everyone working in Manhattan and not living there $200 a month so that their overall purchasing power isn't impacted (the marginal price of taking the car stays the same, and so does the incentive).

                • michaelmrose6 days ago
                  The situation as described on the ground seems to be fewer people driving so it seems like it is already working. It doesn't decrease freedom of movement by making people use public transit.

                  Trump got power because we are a garbage people with neither merit nor intelligence.

                  • littlestymaar6 days ago
                    > It doesn't decrease freedom of movement by making people use public transit.

                    It is making people who weren't willingly using public transit use it, so surely it is affecting their freedom somehow.

                    > Trump got power because we are a garbage people with neither merit nor intelligence.

                    I don't think this kind of essentialism helps in any way.

    • xvedejas7 days ago
      Surely the reduction in vehicle count is more than enough to cancel this out, but a moving vehicle does emit more exhaust and tire dust per unit of time than does a vehicle idling. For the environmental improvements it's more about the reduction in the number of cars than about the better traffic flow.
      • mumbisChungo7 days ago
        The better traffic flow reduces the amount of time they’re operating for as well (assuming start/end of planned route is independent of travel speed)
        • astine7 days ago
          Right. Presumably a car idling for ten minutes produces less pollution than a car being driven for ten minutes, but a car that is driven for ten minutes and idled for an additional ten produces more pollution than either of them. Any pollution produced by cars idling in bad traffic is superadded to the pollution produced in transit so improving the flow of traffic should reduce pollution even if the total number of cars remains steady.
          • marcosdumay7 days ago
            It's worse than that.

            If the trip costed 10 minutes moving, yes the comparison would be between a car moving for 10 minutes and one that idles for some time and then moves for 10 minutes. But congestion makes the cars move slower, and at congestion speeds the amount of pollution increases very quickly with reduced speeds.

      • wat100007 days ago
        Pollution per time doesn’t make any sense as a metric. A trip that includes a lot of idling will pollute more than a trip that doesn’t.
        • sokoloff7 days ago
          I think that depends on the motivations of the driver. You (and I) are probably thinking of a trip that is motivated solely by getting from A to B (or A to B to C to A). In that case, any pollution from idling is strictly additive.

          But a taxicab working an 8 or 12 hour shift is about the only case where I think GP's math/logic applies. (And to be fair, there are a damn lot of yellow cabs in Manhattan.)

      • mystified50167 days ago
        The stop and start conditions of highly congested traffic produce more brake and tire dust
        • SoftTalker7 days ago
          And more emissions. Idling is pretty efficent, as is driving at a constant speed. Repeatedly stopping or slowing, then accelerating is not. This is also an unintended consequence of "traffic calming" devices e.g. speed bumps or chicanes. People slow down, then hit the gas again which is awful for emissions.
          • Smoosh6 days ago
            I’ve sometimes pondered if a traffic calming device could be made which would allow vehicles to pass unimpeded if they are at or below the speed limit, but subject to an increasingly large bump if they exceed it. The problem, I suppose is that it must be extremely robust which would make it expensive and potentially more complex than a simple passive bump on the road.
      • toomuchtuna7 days ago
        Won't those idling vehicles also end up moving?
      • eddd-ddde7 days ago
        A moving car from point a to point b will always emit such "moving vehicle" pollution. The idle pollution is just extra.
    • AnthonyMouse7 days ago
      > Long gone are the people that would drive into LES on Friday night with their expensive cars and blare loud music and rev their engines.

      The people who blare loud music and rev their engines are the people with expensive cars? The people who can afford expensive cars are the ones being deterred by congestion pricing?

      • 7jjjjjjj7 days ago
        >The people who blare loud music and rev their engines are the people with expensive cars?

        Yes, this has been my experience as well.

        >The people who can afford expensive cars are the ones being deterred by congestion pricing?

        Who says they could afford it? Getting an insane car loan for a vehicle you can't afford is an American tradition.

        • AnthonyMouse7 days ago
          > Yes, this has been my experience as well.

          Are you adequately distinguishing between expensive cars and formerly expensive cars?

          A brand new Rolls-Royce or Mercedes comes with an engine purposely designed to be audibly subdued and doesn't come with a sound system suitable for projecting a racket onto the opposite side of the city. A 10 year old Acura or BMW with a modified exhaust and a trunk full of aftermarket subwoofers, on the other hand... but that's available at a different price point.

          > Who says they could afford it? Getting an insane car loan for a vehicle you can't afford is an American tradition.

          The implication of the question was to point out that the purported advantage of congestion pricing is really in pricing out the riffraff, because "we've succeeded at keeping the poor people out of the borough" isn't a very sympathetic goal and is what "expensive cars" was presumably intended to deflect consideration away from. What other relevance does it have if the cars are expensive?

          If you're admitting that the people being priced out are in fact poor regardless of the price of their cars, I guess that's kind of my point.

    • dcchuck7 days ago
      Really? I must admit I have not noticed it. I've had nightmare trips trying to get into the city still during traditional heavy traffic times. Frankly I've thought more "the pandemic is finally over" than I did "congestion pricing is working" over the past few months.

      I'll be curious what happens come winter time. Midtown becomes gridlock in the evenings. I do not expect that to change.

      All that being said - probably my own biases skewing things. I will keep my eyes peeled!

  • taeric7 days ago
    Are there any measures that show any downside to this? I confess a bit of bewilderment at how many people will assert there must be something bad every time this comes up. I don't think a single measured outcome has gone poorly from this.
    • TulliusCicero7 days ago
      It reminds me of what happens nearly every time car parking on a busy retail street is removed for bike lanes/bus lanes/better walking.

      Business owners universally oppose the change and predict catastrophe, the change goes through, and business/foot traffic goes way up instead.

      It seems that business owners' ability to "know their customers" is rather limited; that, or they're just biased by their own need for car/delivery parking.

      • acdha7 days ago
        > It seems that business owners' ability to "know their customers" is rather limited; that, or they're just biased by their own need for car/delivery parking.

        I think the latter is often the case. In many case, I don’t even think it’s conscious: many business owners, especially people who started / inherited successful small businesses in city neighborhoods, moved out to the suburbs for bigger houses/schools/etc. and are thus completely car dependent. It’s very human to assume other people live similarly to you in the absence of evidence otherwise and someone who bikes or walks looks just like someone who drove unless they’re carrying a helmet or something. If you’re in most suburbs, there isn’t a great transit/bike option to get to the shop and so they aren’t even in the habit of thinking about alternatives.

        There’s an especially funny thing which comes up all of the time when local advocates actually monitor spots: small shops often only have one or two street spots so the person who works there has a completely different view of the convenience because they almost always get a space when they show up at 7:30am but nobody else thinks of it as easy because the spots is taken and so actual customers would spend longer finding another spot and walking to the store than it takes to walk/bike from within the neighborhood.

        • timr7 days ago
          > In many case, I don’t even think it’s conscious: many business owners, especially people who started / inherited successful small businesses in city neighborhoods, moved out to the suburbs for bigger houses/schools/etc. and are thus completely car dependent.

          I don't know if you live in Manhattan, but there's a far more parsimonious explanation than "business owners are suburban car people": in order to operate most kinds of businesses in the city, you need easy access to deliveries, which means easy parking.

          Anyone who has ever tried to arrange logistics for any kind of delivery in NYC knows what a nightmare it is. You routinely see cars and trucks double-parked, because there's no alternative. Trucks park illegally, because the risk of the occasional ticket is cheaper than circling the block for hours.

          I can easily see how this would be a subject of top-of-mind importance to any business owner in the city.

          • acdha7 days ago
            > I don't know if you live in Manhattan, but there's a far more parsimonious explanation than "business owners are suburban car people": in order to operate most kinds of businesses in the city, you need easy access to deliveries, which means easy parking.

            Maybe, but wouldn’t they say deliveries if that’s what they meant? If I had a shop with no rear access, I’d be asking the city to create and enforce a dedicated short term delivery zone because unrestricted parking is going to full of private cars when the delivery driver arrives. It’d be totally reasonable to ask for that but it’s really rare compared to assertions that most customers drive which are obviously false because they need more than 1-2 customers per hour.

            This keeps coming up in every area: discouraging private vehicle use in a dense area makes everything better for everyone. It’s safer, healthier with less pollution, more pleasant with less noise, easier for people who need accessibility accommodations, easier for delivery drivers and contractors who actually need trucks, and reduces congestion. Once you stop pretending there’s any way to make one car per person work in a city, there actually is enough space for everyone else.

          • cco7 days ago
            Then the owner should prioritize things like congestion charges and removal of parking.

            To your point trucks already double park so both changes would be a positive for deliveries.

      • timeinput7 days ago
        I think the businesses do kind of know their customers.

        This is an exaggeration of what (I think) happens: all of their current customers only ever drive there and park in front of their shop. They say oh with no parking I won't come any more. Then they stop coming. They lost all their customers! Everyone who can now safely walk to the shop (who couldn't / wouldn't before for multiple reasons) starts walking there. There are a lot more people who can now safely walk to and patronize the shop, and they do. The shops foot traffic went up by 10x. They still lost all their customers.

        I think it's probably good that it's easy for people to walk / bike / bus to this shop, and the shop owner probably does to, but they still may have lost a lot of old customers.

        • SoftTalker7 days ago
          I think this is basically hitting the nail on the head. My town has closed a lot of street parking in the downtown, and as a result I rarely do shopping or dining there now because I don't want to park in a garage 3-4 blocks away when I used to be able to park on the same block if not right in front of the business. In other words, I had no other reason to be downtown, so making it inconvenient is going to make me less likely to go there.

          But I'm sure there are people who are downtown anyway (work there, etc.) and who now don't want to walk back to the garage to get their car and drive somewhere for lunch, so they just walk to someplace close by.

          So businesses probably lose some old customers, and gain some new. It might be a net positive for them.

          • tzs7 days ago
            > But I'm sure there are people who are downtown anyway (work there, etc.) and who now don't want to walk back to the garage to get their car and drive somewhere for lunch, so they just walk to someplace close by.

            This raises a question: why didn't those people walk to someplace close by before your town closed downtown street parking? Even when their cars were conveniently nearby a short walk to a nearby lunch place should be faster and more convenient than a drive to some distant place.

            One explanation that seems plausible is that they did not know of the nearby places. When they are at home and decide to go out for lunch they go to some national or regional chain like Subway or Wendy's or Denny's. There's one of those a reasonable drive from work and so they go there. When the parking change made that a hassle they started paying more attention to non-chain options and noticed the local places.

            It would be interesting to try to reintroduce street parking in some form that will again draw in people like you but that would still discourage people who work downtown from just hopping in their cars and driving to a chain restaurant for lunch.

            • yesfitz7 days ago
              Another possible answer: It sucks to be a pedestrian around cars, so people decide to drive.

              As a pedestrian, cars take up space and block your vision when they're parked, they're dangerous, loud, and (can be) smelly when they're moving, and even when the cars themselves aren't around, the space between buildings is dominated by their required, exclusive infrastructure of asphalt.

              Usually when parking is removed, it's replaced with planters, seating, and things for people instead of cars, which makes it more attractive to be a pedestrian.

            • TulliusCicero6 days ago
              In general, road diets that make things worse for cars typically make things better for other modes of transportation.

              People walking and biking are much more sensitive to changes in the urban environment because they're not in a climate controlled metal safety box. Lots of things can change that impact how much people are willing to walk or bike around. Having fewer/slower cars around, for example.

            • SoftTalker6 days ago
              More choices. The places within easy walking distance get boring after a while. Also because it’s cheaper (but they probably aren’t fully considering the cost of the drive)
        • sokoloff7 days ago
          > Everyone who can now safely walk to the shop (who couldn't / wouldn't before for multiple reasons) starts walking there.

          I'm struggling to imagine reasons why a significant number of people will now start walking to these businesses. What are some of these multiple reasons that have now been overcome to an extent as to cause shop traffic to increase ten-fold?

        • kulahan7 days ago
          This actually makes a lot of sense to me. My wife is disabled, so I’m probably one of those customers he would lose along with his parking, but there are probably 1.5x as many homes in my neighborhood (of condos) than there are vehicles actively parking here. It would likely be a huge boon for the places I frequent now. It might even have an effect of slightly countering market downturns as people in trouble sell/lose cars and move to public transit temporarily

          One extremely promising change I’ve been seeing a lot of lately: the most undesirable parking spaces in large lots are being ripped up and replaced with small businesses. I’ve seen a new coffee shop and gas station with 4 pumps go up in my town so far. Love it!

        • lurk27 days ago
          > Everyone who can now safely walk to the shop (who couldn't / wouldn't before for multiple reasons) starts walking there. There are a lot more people who can now safely walk to and patronize the shop, and they do.

          You’re hypothesizing that people are purposefully avoiding these streets because they have cars driving on them?

          • sensanaty7 days ago
            Yes? Cars are loud, they smell, take up a tremendous amount of space & are gigantic metal boxes that can cause serious injuries even at low speeds.

            In Amsterdam there's been countless examples of this exact thing. Businesses booming after they rip out parking and make roads forbidden for cars, and I can anecdotally say I also love whenever they rip out parking near me in the Netherlands.

            • lurk26 days ago
              > In Amsterdam there's been countless examples of this exact thing.

              Anything by way of peer reviewed empirical evidence?

      • Tiktaalik7 days ago
        The business owners are clueless.

        Vancouver did a study of how people arrived to their shopping destination and found that a small minority drove to their destination. This was in opposition to the assertions of the business owners that claimed drivers were remarkably more dominant and parking critical.

        https://slowstreets.wordpress.com/2016/10/18/new-vancouver-c...

        Every time I see a study like this it is similar results where the reality doesn't match the guesses of local business.

        • obelos7 days ago
          I think there's also a dominating bias that people who walk/bike/bus are poor and thus make bad customers. “If they had money, they'd be in a car!”
      • norir7 days ago
        Yeah, I imagine they are often projecting their own frustration over parking onto their customers. Every time a customer comes in and grumbles about parking, it triggers their confirmation bias. Conversely, new customers who only popped in because they were on foot are probably less likely to express that fact.

        Given how annoying parking is, I'll bet that there are also many business owners who would trade some profit for their own ease of parking. Especially given that they have the power to squeeze their employees rather than bear the full cost themselves.

      • ASinclair7 days ago
        I think it's often that the business owners themselves drive to their businesses and street park. They don't want to give up their own parking.
      • mcphage7 days ago
        > It seems that business owners' ability to "know their customers" is rather limited

        Movie production companies compared VCR sales to a serial killer. These were the leaders of large, successful companies, and they didn’t know shit.

      • focusgroup07 days ago
        Small business owners in SF were pretty upset after the Valencia St bike lane killed their business:

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KdYyQ8ev5yE

        • TulliusCicero7 days ago
          Yeah, this is what I'm talking about: https://sfstandard.com/2024/06/21/valencia-street-bike-lane-...

          > Valencia Street’s controversial center-running bike lane did not harm businesses, as merchants claimed, a new report finds.

          > “While businesses along Valencia Street have clearly suffered more than in other parts of the city since the pandemic, the challenges facing the corridor pre-date the construction of the bike improvements, and there is no statistical basis for linking the two,” a City Controller’s Office report published Wednesday found. The report used the city’s taxable sales database to analyze the effect of the bike lane on businesses.

          > Merchants along the corridor have waged a war against the city’s transit agency over the bike lane for almost a year. The owner of Amado’s bar, David Quinby, even blamed the lane for closing his business, despite suffering a devastating basement flood some months prior.

          > “This finding does not mean that no business was adversely affected by the bike improvements,” the city report added. “It simply means that any negative impacts on individual businesses were offset by positive impacts on others, and there is no net effect on the corridor as a whole.”

      • proee7 days ago
        Some changes, like having a highway bypass a small city, can be catastrophic to local businesses. A restaurant that might have hundreds of out-of-town cars go by, now has only local residents.
        • TulliusCicero7 days ago
          That's a completely different sort of scenario than what I'm talking about. I'm talking about changes to streets that accommodate greater population density.
      • ctkhn7 days ago
        There were some negative effects at a construction shutdown of a street recently where it temporarily did hurt some business, mostly retail shops but not the restaurants/bars which had a big boost in business. These boutique style shops were more patronized by people from suburbs or far flung parts of the city than actual locals, and their location was based on the owners wanting to live in the city vs their actual customers.
    • Herring7 days ago
      It's basically that America has a caste system, and public transit is a lower-caste thing that any respectable member of society should ideally avoid. It's a pity because public transit done well is amazing - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bNTg9EX7MLw [NotJustBikes]
      • taeric7 days ago
        I'm torn on this. It is a very appealing way to blame people in discussing why it goes this way.

        It doesn't contend with the fact that having a car is ridiculously useful. It is intensely amusing when I see people in other nations comment on how useful getting a car has been in their daily life. And I don't think people realize just how many cars Americans have.

        That is, there may be a caste system, but as this congestion pricing shows, the catch is that we have a ton of cars. And people use them because they are convenient as hell.

        • enaaem7 days ago
          It is not that cars are not useful. It's that people want to live in nice cities and too much car infrastructure ruin cities. You can't have both. You can't enjoy a nice terras next to a busy road. Or kids cannot safely cycle with their friends if there are many cars driving around.

          People should not forget that Europe has tons of car friendly towns and suburbs and many people live there. You can choose your lifestyle.

          • taeric7 days ago
            I fear it often cuts a different way. Everyone wants it so that they can have the benefits of the car, along with the benefits of nobody using a car. A friend I was talking with called it the "main character syndome."

            It is a lot like people wanting city life to look a lot like college life. Without wanting to live in dormitories where people are also raising kids.

            • supertrope7 days ago
              Car commercials always feature completely empty streets, no red lights, and no speed limits.
              • taeric7 days ago
                To be fair, videos of ideal walkable cities always have an absurd amount of active space. :)
            • austhrow7437 days ago
              Do people raise kids in college dormitories?
              • taeric7 days ago
                Not to my knowledge. My point is that that is probably closer to what is needed for a lot of the dream cities than people acknowledge.

                Granted, college dormitory is a hyperbolic. More realistic, will be your standard smaller apartment blocks.

        • trgn7 days ago
          They're only convenient in cities built for cars.
          • some_random7 days ago
            That's just not true, cars are extremely useful in every single city and people only choose to forgo them when the city makes them too expensive or difficult to keep and use. If you have a pros vs cons list, it's not a lack of pros that causes people to stop using cars it's an overabundance of cons in every single case I know of.
            • sjsdaiuasgdia7 days ago
              > people only choose to forgo them when the city makes them too expensive or difficult to keep and use

              I have friends who chose to move into cities and sold their cars in the process. The pros of the cities outweighed the pros of car ownership for them. They also don't have to spend money on car maintenance, insurance, or gas. They can move around the city fine with public transit and ride sharing. They rent cars to make long trips.

              Absolute statements rarely are absolute, particularly when the motivations and preferences of individuals are in the mix.

            • const_cast7 days ago
              I don't think this is true, cars truly only make sense in places where every single detail is built to accommodate cars. In an absolute sense, public transit is wildly more efficient.

              The reason we don't really see this is that in the US 99% of cities are built exclusively for cars. Of those that have transit, those are very obviously an afterthought.

              For NYC, it's not that having a car sucks. It's that the city isn't built for them. So you're going to be stuck in traffic.

              Prior to congestion pricing, a lot of people were driving because they're, well, stupid. Often it's faster to literally walk alongside the cars than be in them, because that's how severe the traffic was/is in lower Manhattan. But they didn't want to take the train for whatever reason, so they drove instead. And wasted time and money.

              At the end of the day, cars take up way more space, and they're wildly expensive. Many of the cost of cars are actually subsidized, not the other way around. Consider free parking - that parking spot actually costs thousands of dollars a year. But drivers aren't paying it.

              In regards to congestion, that costs money. It's not free to have thousands of cars essentially idling for hours of the day. But that's a cost everyone pays - even though most people commute by subway. That's a problem. That's going to break a lot of incentives.

            • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
              > cars are extremely useful in every single city and people only choose to forgo them when the city makes them too expensive or difficult to keep and use

              I happily take the train and ferry in New York over a car. For some journeys, e.g. into Long Island with a group, renting a car would actually be cheaper.

              If you haven’t spent any time not driving, it’s hard to imagine the luxury going car-free brings. Not the least of which is the ridiculous amount of privacy and law-enforcement interference we tolerate for drivers.

              • rafram7 days ago
                It is genuinely such a luxury to spend zero minutes of your day looking for parking, remembering where you parked, memorizing parking regulations, planning out the parking situation around a place you might want to go… All of that feels so silly when you have to go back to it after living without a car for a while.
            • vinoveritas7 days ago
              The math doesn't math when the city grows around car-centric design. All the extra space taken up to separate people from unpleasant high-speed roadways, all the huge parking lots, the extremely-wide roads, it pushes travel times up so much that between the extra distance between everything, and the time spent earning money to pay hundreds a month to have a car (insurance, depreciation, maintenance, gas) ends up significantly exceeding the benefits of car ownership.

              They're wildly nice if only a few people have them. The more do, and the more parts of a city cater to cars, the worse they get, even as they also become totally necessary (so, not having them also gets far, far worse, even untenable).

              I was introduced to this notion reading an analysis from some French social-philosopher and was initially like "that... can't be right, surely?" so ran conservative numbers on my own situation, with an average-or-better commute distance for my city, a cheap paid-off car, and nearly double median individual income for my city, and... yep, dude was right, living in a city designed around cars was costing me time, not saving it. It'd be a ton worse for people with worse commutes and lower-earning jobs. They were getting totally screwed on the deal.

              • trgn4 days ago
                > some French social-philosopher

                was it Jacques Ellul? He made a real impact on me, his analysis that people adapt to the machine rather than the other way around, even will internalize its value system. In modern society, "efficiency" remains the sole aspiration, which is a technological value, not a human one. fwiw - don't recall if he wrote a lot about cars though.

            • lurking_swe6 days ago
              i suppose cars are “extremely useful” in suburbs and rural neighborhoods. And if public transportation is lacking (if driving is faster).

              In a city, a carshare is much more practical in my opinion. No need to stress about street parking and getting tickets on days that they clean the street. Or wasting 10 minutes finding parking. Or worrying about car maintenance. Or spending a few grand annually on car insurance, maintenance, and gas.

              All this worry for what? A weekend getaway twice a month? Buying in bulk once a month?

          • sokoloff7 days ago
            And in towns, suburbs, rural areas, and pretty much everywhere except the densest city centers.
            • trgn7 days ago
              So you mean built for cars
              • badpun7 days ago
                In Europe, most of those places were built before cars existed (and certainly before they were popularized). Still, people overwhelmingly prefer to drive cars there.
                • trgn7 days ago
                  Yeah, and if you have a car in any of those city centers dating from before the car, it's inconvenient and you'll walk for little errands, it'd be insane to drive. In suburbia, car is convenient, and sure, europe has a lot of suburbia too
                  • badpun6 days ago
                    It's not just city centers. E.g. whole lot of London is pre-car. And yes, you'll walk for little errands, but you'll also drive a lot for many other things, often including commute, taking children to school etc.
                    • trgn4 days ago
                      yeah - i suppose so that the car coopted a lot of older parts too. i live in a pre-car neighborhood in the midwest, and end up driving a lot. public transport is very poor, and city center is a shell, there's nothing left to anchor the city, everything is essentially suburb, even the old parts.
        • jajko7 days ago
          They are, and should be, huge time saver outside cities. But city centers? Those should be on purpose as annoying, time consuming and costly to regular traffic as possible. It should be only necessary services, taxis, public buses and so on.

          Here is the place for a good public transport, even in US it should be trivial to make it financially self-sufficient and attractive. People always choose whats best for them (cost or time wise). European city centers work like that and everybody normal accepts that.

          • taeric7 days ago
            Right, but if you already have a car, you are likely to reach for it quite often.

            And, I can agree it is the kind of thing that can save time for anyone, but will spend time for everyone.

          • kevin_thibedeau7 days ago
            MTA is a corrupt money pit. It will never be self-sufficient.
            • sagarm6 days ago
              Neither will roads. Let's defund them!
      • conductr7 days ago
        We'd have to have an example of public transit done well to break the caste stigma you referenced. I don't think anywhere in the US is anywhere close to Amsterdam (discussed in video you linked)
        • siliconwrath7 days ago
          NYC generally doesn’t have this stigma as bad as the rest of the USA. Wealthy people and celebrities ride the MTA.

          https://www.eonline.com/photos/6722/stars-on-the-subway

          • cguess7 days ago
            NYC really doesn't have this stigma at all. The narrative is more or less pushed by groups with anti-liberal agendas who want to convince people whom have never even visited NYC that it's just as bad as where they're from, when in fact the violent crime rate per capita in NYC is much lower than most medium sized midwestern and southern cities.

            Celebrities, politicians, billionaires all ride the subway all the time. New Yorkers know to keep to themselves out of politeness not safety and honestly are more likely to step up and defend someone famous being harassed than join in. We're all just trying to get to where we're going and the subway is almost always the fastest and most convenient way (not to mention cheapest) to do that.

          • culi7 days ago
            Most of these photos are taken for their social medias. Which further proves that them taking the subway is exceptional enough to be worth posting. Not the norm; not a 9-5 commute like regular people
            • jryle707 days ago
              > Which further proves that them taking the subway is exceptional enough to be worth posting. Not the norm; not a 9-5 commute like regular people.

              According to you? Riding subway in NYC and you'd see plenty of rich people. Go to any station near the financial district, or Park Ave.

          • conductr7 days ago
            NYC is an outlier of US cities though. The long narrow island of Manhattan makes everything more efficient in terms of the subway, etc. Most other large US cities sprawl endlessly in all directions.
      • rafram7 days ago
        Not Just Bikes is such a terminal pessimist. I enjoy his videos but I think he really has trouble acknowledging the counterpoints to his doom-and-gloom rhetoric. What he says in that video just barely applies to NYC at all.
        • zahlman7 days ago
          Not just that, his approach to the politics of it is incredibly obnoxious. He comes across as everyone who disagrees with him with the same brush, railing against some sort of ideological complex that includes everything his "team" hates and insinuates that it's all somehow interrelated. Of course he doesn't say those things, but it surfaced really prominently for example in his April Fools' video where he played the role of a suburbanite obsessed with his new truck. Satire is one thing, but if you see enough of it (also content from Twitter and other social media) you get the sense that he really does take his perception of other people way too seriously.

          Which is to say: his case studies examining the details of specific cities, evaluating transit system design etc. are great. But his analysis of why the bad things are bad (especially when he starts blaming people and ascribing motivations) is utterly insufferable.

          • rafram7 days ago
            > his April Fools' video where he played the role of a suburbanite obsessed with his new truck

            Happy to say I missed that one.

            But yes, I completely agree with all of that. I'd love more of the analyses of why some systems work and less of the vitriol against everyone who isn't already totally on board.

        • 7 days ago
          undefined
        • lurk27 days ago
          Mid-40s amateur urban planner YouTube is the worst social media trend to have come out of this decade bar none. They all look, sound, and think the same. Their worldview is fundamentally conspiratorial in that they believe there is a utopian world that only they and their fellow flannel-enjoyers understand, that somehow actual urban planners, economists, and consumers have missed.

          Not Just Bikes is like the Joe Rogan of these people in that whenever I see one of his videos recommended on YouTube, I know I’ll be hearing about it from people trying to pass the ideas off as common knowledge within two weeks.

          • hotmeals7 days ago
            >They all look, sound, and think the same. Their worldview is fundamentally conspiratorial in that they believe there is a utopian world that only they and their fellow flannel-enjoyers understand, that somehow actual urban planners, economists, and consumers have missed.

            I think you are mad because they are right, and your only refuge is to recycle hipster memes of the 2010s. Just personally visiting cities and suburbs from (still car loving!) Germans v/s most US cities validates the fuckcars camp. The example my Chilean city should follow is certainly not Dallas, no matter how cringe NJB might be.

            • lurk26 days ago
              > I think you are mad because they are right, and your only refuge is to recycle hipster memes of the 2010s.

              They are a particular variety of policy wonk that conflates positive claims with normative beliefs. Normative beliefs are a matter of preference.

              Consider urban sprawl; the desire to live in a larger home farther from the city center doesn’t go away with trains, the throughput is just more efficient. The question then becomes whether the denizens of a city would prefer to travel by car or by train. Given that car-centric urban sprawl is still ongoing, Americans appear to prefer the car.

      • ch4s37 days ago
        Wealthy people use the subway in NYC, it's often the fastest way to get somewhere.
      • p_dubz7 days ago
        I created an account because of how terrible this comment is.

        A caste system? are you kidding me. CASTE. Like the system where a group of people were called untouchables??? These kinds of extreme comparisons are so utterly unhelpful to literally everyone.

        Frankly just on the face of it your claim is completely out of touch with the US cities with decent public transit options (New York, Washington DC, Boston, Chicago). Everyone that lives in NYC that can take the subway takes the subway. I know plenty of hedge funders and traders and big tech workers in NYC who take the subway every day, and plenty of big law partners who take the DC metro to the office.

        Obviously there are really big problems with how transit is implemented and treated in most cities in the USA, but you are completely incorrect. In American cities where there is good transit everyone takes it

        • bdangubic7 days ago
          EVERYTHING you wrote was going GREAT until In American cities where there is good transit everyone takes it - this cannot be further from the truth. some take it, not enough to make a dent in traffic congestion madness in any City (especially those you specifically listed, I live in one of them…)
      • anthomtb7 days ago
        In my lived experience, public transit is not actively avoided by so-called upper castes (I am not convinced you know what a caste is). Rather, it is so straightforward to take ones own automobile that you don't even consider public transit options.

        Obviously there's a significant negative feedback loop here.

      • some_random7 days ago
        First off, comparing classes in the US to a caste system is genuinely delusional. The US doesn't have a caste system (except where it has been imported by immigration) and if you think it does either you don't know what a caste system is or you are completely out of touch with American culture.

        More importantly, no C-Suite executive, Banker, Socialite, or whatever "upper caste" stand in you want to select gives a shit about sitting next to a Janitor on the train. Hell, they don't give a shit about sitting next to a normal sane person who is homeless. The reason so many people who have a choice don't chose to use public transit is because of low quality service (as always), crime, and a very small number of very visible mentally ill people having daily breakdowns in public.

        This is a good thing! NotJustBikes is a huge doomer loser, don't listen to him, there's a really straightforward route to making things better.

      • gosub1007 days ago
        Refusing direct contact with homeless people's excrement is not based on class/self-respect.
        • ceejayoz7 days ago
          A society that causes and/or permits homeless people pooping in the subway is, though.

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toilets_in_New_York_City

          > Compared to other big cities, public bathrooms in New York City are rare, as the 1,100 public restrooms result in a rate of 16 per 100,000 residents. Most public restrooms are located in parks; comparatively few other public spaces, including New York City Subway stations, have public restrooms.

          > As of 2022, the New York City Subway has 472 stations, 69 of which have public bathrooms. Several homeless people sued the New York City government and the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) in 1990, claiming that the city and MTA created a "public nuisance" by failing to provide public toilets. A report by the Legal Action Center for the Homeless, who represented the plaintiffs, noted that of 526 public comfort stations surveyed in parks, almost three-quarters were "either closed, filthy, foul-smelling or without toilet paper and soap." In 2010, there were 133 open restrooms in 81 of the system's 468 stations.

          There's a great quote on this: "A developed country is not a place where the poor have cars. It's where the rich use public transportation."

          • aerostable_slug7 days ago
            'Society' doesn't make people shoot up, turn tricks, or attempt to set up permanent shop in public toilets inside train stations. Also, they're great places to put bombs (in theory at least).

            I admit I don't have an answer for this. San Francisco's experiments with nifty self-cleaning public toilets have been expensive failures for the most part. I'm not sure where we go from here, given that the problem seems to be cultural/user-based.

            • ceejayoz7 days ago
              Society absolutely does do that.

              Housing, healthcare, mental health, public transit, unemployment, lead abatement, education - all of these policy levers impact the prevalence of the behaviors you describe.

              • rendang7 days ago
                The kind of people who destroy public spaces and public toilets will also destroy any free housing you give them. If by "mental health" you mean involuntary commitment, then yes, that will do the job
                • ceejayoz7 days ago
                  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_First

                  "Cities like Helsinki and Vienna in Europe have seen dramatic reductions in homelessness due to the adaptation of Housing First policies, as have the North American cities Columbus, Ohio, Salt Lake City, Utah, and Medicine Hat, Alberta."

                  https://www.npr.org/2015/12/10/459100751/utah-reduced-chroni...

                  "A decade ago, Utah set itself an ambitious goal: end chronic homelessness. As of 2015, the state can just about declare victory: The population of chronically homeless people has dropped by 91 percent."

                  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homelessness_in_Finland

                  "Finland has adopted a Housing First policy, whereby social services assign homeless individuals homes first, and issues like mental health and substance abuse are treated second. Since its launch in 2008, the number of homeless people in Finland has decreased by roughly 30%,[1] though other reports indicate it could be up to 50%. The number of long-term homeless people has fallen by more than 35%. "Sleeping rough", the practice of sleeping outside, has been largely eradicated in Helsinki, where only one 50-bed night shelter remains."

                  Having a stable housing situation turns out to make a whole bunch of other related social changes more feasible.

                  > If by 'mental health' you mean involuntary commitment, then yes, that will do the job

                  I mean, I'd start with therapy, addiction services, social supports, and the like. But I do think the complete removal of long-term inpatient mental health in the 50s/60s was an overshoot. Some people need that much help.

                  (I also believe there's a lot more we can do to prevent people from becoming that "kind of people" in the first place.)

            • const_cast7 days ago
              I think it does, which is why this is a problem in some societies but not others.

              I think the explanation of "some people are bad people" is a lazy explanation. The proportion of bad people to everyone else should be about the same everywhere. We have to take a closer look at incentives and systems in place.

            • echoangle7 days ago
              What makes a toilet a better place to put a bomb than a full train car?
              • sokoloff7 days ago
                IANAB, but I'd imagine the privacy inherent in a toilet makes it easier to assemble a dangerous bomb from transported-safe components than doing so in a full train car would, and to leave it long enough that the bomber can get away without getting caught.
          • lurk27 days ago
            The bathrooms become too expensive to maintain because they are being used by people who need to be institutionalized. When this is suggested the Civil Liberties people get into an uproar. You could build one wall and keep people who suffer from psychosis inside of it, or you can put them on the street and watch as everyone else finds ways to build walls of their own.
            • bluGill7 days ago
              The institutions of the past were so bad that it is more human to let those people fend for themselves than put them in one. Yes some people freeze to death now but that is better than before.

              if you can reform the system fine but I don't have conidence. Human nature doesn't deal well with the needed power imbalance.

          • gosub1006 days ago
            thats changing the topic. The topic is public transit, and I'm giving a practical example of why a rational person would choose not to use it. It's disingenuous to make it sound like people avoid the bus because "only those people ride the bus" and then refute it with "well, yeah, we gotta fix homelessness first, of course!". No we dont have to fix homelessness, I can ride my car and lock the doors, preventing it from being defiled by homeless people.
        • Karrot_Kream7 days ago
          For better or for worse a lot of US progressives view transit as a "solution of last resort" which is why so many progressives are okay with transit also acting as a homeless shelter and being tolerant of some drug use. One way to think of this is that progressives view government's role as a champion of the disenfranchised. Another is to think that the US is a class based society where transit is considered the domain of the disenfranchised, the lowest class. Which framing you choose is probably based on your experience and frustrations with your local US transit system.

          (I'm not trying to weigh in one way or the other in my comment, but as someone who rides local US transit regularly and has for over 10 years, my patience for using transit as a "solution of last resort" is wearing thin but still remains.)

          • gosub1006 days ago
            I agree with you. This is why in newer public transit systems they will use honor-systems that don't actually prevent people from entering without paying. This encourages them to ride because its a "non-violent offense" so they won't be arrested, but if you or I rode without paying, we would have a criminal charge and possibly be arrested since they can claim they solved a crime without harming "disparaged groups" or whatever. So we have 2 classes of people: those who can ride for free and those who can't.

            The system I'm referring to is San Diego's light rail. The 2nd (and last) time I rode it I saw someone get assaulted on the train (and what appeared to be homeless people riding it). The first (and last) time I rode the MARTA train in Atlanta last year, I saw a homeless man passed out sitting in a puddle of his own urine. I will never use public transit again unless there are exigent circumstances. Liberals have completely ruined yet another thing that used to be great.

        • epicureanideal7 days ago
          Exactly. It’s the cleanliness and safety issues in US public transit that makes people avoid it. Fix that and more people will use it.
    • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
      > Are there any measures that show any downside to this?

      The opposition to Manhattan’s congestion pricing has a curious tendency to be inversely correlated with how frequently that person is in Manhattan.

      At this point I think it’s just another proxy for rural voters’ rage at liberal cities.

      • taeric7 days ago
        I fully subscribe to this view. The obsession with people hating all things California is borderline insane, at this point.

        I probably too fully subscribe to this view. Seems a lot of "western" things that people love to complain about have been over indexed on. A lot are things that do need to get better, but when I hear people talk about how "actually, the US has been fascist for some time," I just... What?!

    • righthand7 days ago
      The project was studied for 10 years so the nay-sayers really don’t have a platform because they’re up against a decade of research. Most of the anti-cp has a romanticized view of driving into the city as some sort of right or NYer benefit.
    • erehweb7 days ago
      Trivially, the measure of how much it costs in dollars to drive into Manhattan along the affected routes has gone up. So there are likely some people who are worse off. It's rare to have a completely free lunch, but this one looks pretty cheap.
    • zahlman7 days ago
      >how many people will assert there must be something bad

      Some of my friends seem to be convinced that Pigouvian taxes don't work, that hoi polloi just suck up the extra cost and complain more. Also they'll say that it's regressive (i.e. the thing being taxed already represented a higher proportion of income for the lower classes).

      What I'm getting at is, I agree with you, but I don't think the objections are all that nebulous, nor based in "too good to be true" intuition.

    • navane7 days ago
      A downside could be that 2 years from now the effect has rippled away (the shock and awe of paying for it is gone), and everyone sits in the same traffic but pays more money for it.
    • hedora7 days ago
      The metrics I have seen all look cherry picked.

      Archaeology tells us that for ~ 4000 years, people have tolerated an average of a 30 minute commute.

      The usefulness of a city goes up (superlinearly!) with the number of people that can work / shop / live there.

      So, the universal metric for any city, and therefore transit system is: “How many people can regularly make use of the city?”

      A simple proxy for that is: “How many people live within a 30 minute commute of the city center?”

      So, at peak times, how many people can simultaneously get to their destination in NYC in under 30 minutes?

      Second: How many of those people can do so during non peak hours?

      If congestion pricing is a success on all metrics, then both those numbers will have increased. Those metrics have worked well for 4000 years of cities so they are as close to a natural law as exists for cities.

      It wouldn’t surprise me if the numbers went up (or down) but the lack of reporting on “is NYC’s effective population increasing or decreasing as a result of congestion pricing?” makes me skeptical.

      • ceejayoz7 days ago
        https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/05/11/upshot/conges...

        Commute times: Faster.

        Transit ridership: Up.

        Visitors: Up.

        • hedora7 days ago
          Counterpoints (could be true or false, but do not contradict the data from any article I have found):

          - average commute time is up because transit is still much slower than driving used to be (this first point is definitely true), and many drivers were forced on to the slower mode of transportation (also true, but that doesn’t imply average times went up or down).

          - Occasional visitors (that only pay once in a while) are up, but the number of people that can commute are down, hollowing out commercial office districts.

          - polls showing it is popular under-represent people that can no longer afford to travel to the city.

          The fact that the numbers being reported are so vague as to be compatible with my doomsday scenario is why I say the metrics seem cherry picked.

          I’d love to see a study that reports enough of their methodology to disprove my three bullet points. I’m generally supportive of things like congestion pricing and public transit, but sloppy studies and sloppy reporting on their actual impact doesn’t help their cause.

          • ceejayoz6 days ago
            Just to be clear, you’re contesting real data points with… imaginary ones?
    • standardUser7 days ago
      Other than Trump's seemingly knee-jerk opposition because it was implemented by, in his own oft-repeated words, radical left lunatics, I haven't really heard anything negative at all as a Manhattanite.
    • tim3337 days ago
      In London from 2020 till about 2023 congestion charging ran till 10pm and then that was moved back to 6pm. The reason was it was hurting nightlife especially west end theatre.
      • anthomtb7 days ago
        I find it surprising that theatre would be harmed by a congestion charge. It seems like the cost of paying or planning around a congestion charge would be small relative to the cost and planning required to go to a live show.
        • tim3336 days ago
          Well, that was a reason given.
    • xvedejas7 days ago
      I wonder whether pedestrian collisions will be slightly more deadly, since one effect is that traffic flows faster than before. Great for drivers but probably more dangerous for the jaywalking new yorker.
      • ceejayoz7 days ago
        https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/05/11/upshot/conges...

        > With fewer cars on the road in the congestion zone, there have been fewer car crashes — and fewer resulting injuries. Crashes in the zone that resulted in injuries are down 14 percent this year through April 22, compared with the same period last year, according to police reports detailing motor vehicle collisions. The total number of people injured in crashes (with multiple people sometimes injured in a single crash) declined 15 percent.

      • zahlman7 days ago
        What matters in a pedestrian collision is the speed of impact. Traffic flow is about the average speed over time. Cars that spend less time stopped don't become significantly more dangerous when their maximum speed is still limited to, say, 30 km/h (20 mph). Certainly not for those who are aware of a constant traffic flow.
    • prasadjoglekar7 days ago
      The biggest downside is that the reason this was done had little or nothing to do with congestion. That's a side effect. It was to fill budget holes in the MTA, which is a notorious money pit that delivers far less value than the billions if gobbles up.

      There's a real chance that future cash flows from this congestion pricing are going to be securitized for today's cash payments, similar to Chicago parking.

      https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/nyc-transit-governor-s...

      • zahlman7 days ago
        > the reason this was done had little or nothing to do with congestion. That's a side effect

        Then why, out of the countless alternatives, did they choose to raise the funds this way?

        • prasadjoglekar7 days ago
          Au contraire, there aren't countless alternatives. Raise fares, raise taxes or impose a penalty on drivers, most of whom you think will come from Long Island, NJ and CT They chose the most politically palatable option.
  • Tangurena27 days ago
    Alternative link: https://archive.ph/6qlmb
  • time4tea7 days ago
    Cycling is so much more effective than cars.. actually approx 5x more in terms of street usage. So when people move to bikes, the streets look way less busy. You'd need a 5x more bike traffic than car traffic for the two lanes to be equivalent.

    Just worth bearing mind when people talk about streets being emptier - just emptier of cars

    • michaelcampbell6 days ago
      > Cycling is so much more effective than cars

      ... for 1 person in decent weather having to transport very little.

      As it turns out, this is the majority of traffic, but let's set constraints.

      • crowbahr5 days ago
        Slight hyperbole but every single food delivery on door dash happens with cyclists in NYC. Rain or shine. Multiple orders at a time. So not for everyone and everything but cyclists are still 5x more efficient in bad weather.
    • mizzao6 days ago
      Luckily, NYC supports this so much that they've started handing out criminal misdemeanor summons for (minor) cycling offenses: https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/traffic_and_transit/2025/05...

      /s

      You can do the same things in a car and all you'll get is a traffic ticket.

  • ks20487 days ago
    It's interesting that everyone is saying it is a drastic change, when it says "Traffic is down by about 10%" (which doesn't sound like a drastic change to me).

    I guess it is near a critical point where a relatively small change in traffic results in a large change in travel times, traffic jams, etc.?

    • toast07 days ago
      Manhattan traffic was pretty much at capacity. Bumper to bumper most of the time, certainly during peak times.

      Reducing traffic to 90% of capacity makes a huge difference. A little bit of room here and there allows for much smoother flow and a lot better experience for those who didn't get priced out. And almost certainly better flow for busses, which is helpful for a lot of people.

      • bravesoul27 days ago
        Like CPU %. Or maybe memory is a better analogy.
    • carabiner7 days ago
      Yeah it's like fluid flow where once you reach choked flow or hit the sound speed, there's a discontinuous jump in resistance that fucks up everything.
    • djaychela7 days ago
      >I guess it is near a critical point where a relatively small change in traffic results in a large change in travel times, traffic jams, etc.?

      Yes, same as school traffic (certainly where I live in the UK). It's not all the traffic on the road, but the difference it makes is enormous.

  • mattlondon7 days ago
    Congestion will creep back up, just like it has in London.

    Unless they really price it to deter people, they'll just drive. In London it's cheaper to pay the £15 charge than to get two adults return tickets on the tube from the outer suburbs. Once you factor in comfort, convenience, reliability and practicality of your private car Vs London's public transport it's obvious why more and more people just pay the fee to drive.

    If they really wanted to stop congestion they'd increase the fee from £15 to something like £150-250 a day. But they won't do that because then hardly anyone would pay it and they'd lose the revenue.

    • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
      > If they really wanted to stop congestion they'd increase the fee from £15 to something like £150-250 a day. But they won't do that because then hardly anyone would pay it and they'd lose the revenue

      This is nobody-goes-there-it’s-too-crowded logic.

      If there is congestion despite a charge, you can make more money by raising the price until there is less congestion.

      • mattlondon6 days ago
        They don't raise the price to deter people. Because the reality is it is a money-making scheme so they price it just right so that most people will pay it.

        If they really cared about stopping congestion they'd raise the price. This would very very very simple for them to do. But then they lose a major source of revenue. As a result it is clear that they don't care about reducing congestion. It's basically a toll now, because it has not reduced congestion in the long term. I deeply suspect NYC will be the same once the realisation creeps in that the fee isn't really that much to pay.

        • JumpCrisscross6 days ago
          > the reality is it is a money-making scheme so they price it just right so that most people will pay it

          Not how a Laffer curve works [1].

          Demand for almost everything is non-linear and usually somewhat logistic. Increasing the tariff by 20% doesn’t reduce demand by 17%. Being congested practically guarantees one can raise revenues by raising the charge.

          The limit on raising charges isn’t revenue concerns. It’s the politics of raising a use fee.

          [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve

          • mattlondon6 days ago
            I think you are missing the point and holding the laffer curve wrong here.

            The justification for the congestion charge in London was to reduce congestion, not raise revenue. The laffer curve says that as you increase the rate, the activity of the thing you are taxing decreases and so revenue decreases with it. So therefore if they increase the fee, congestion should decrease if you believe the laffer curve applies here. If they wanted to reduce congestion, just set the fee to the far right of the laffer curve and watch as congestion decreases (even if they raise no money as a result)

            But actually they have not reduced congestion at all in the long term. Instead they've optimised the fee for the peak or the "sweet spot" (t* in your linked article) where they can get the most money out of it, not decrease congestion the most. They've raised the fee to the point where there has been no change in behaviour/congestion, and they make the most amount of money they can. If they raise the fee more they start to reduce their revenue as congestion drops due to shifting to the right of the curve.

            They could very easily increase the fee and drive down congestion based on the laffer curve if that is what they really wanted, yet they don't. From this we can make the fairly strong assumption that this is not about reducing congestion , it's about extracting the optimum amount of money. Meanwhile congestion is basically the same as it was before the congestion charge was introduced, except now TfL get £15 per car per day as a nice bonus to fund the various vanity projects.

            • rdsubhas6 days ago
              They wanted to reduce congestion. Not eliminate traffic.

              At that time. One can conclude the policy worked at it's time.

              20 years later, today is a different day. One could say congestion is there today, but they can't say how much further congestion has been avoided.

              Municipality can decide to reduce (not eliminate) it again today.

              It is the laffer curve, in 3d (time).

    • AnthonyMouse7 days ago
      > Congestion will creep back up, just like it has in London.

      This is actually a good point, because of the nature of what causes congestion.

      It's that governments don't do the things that prevent it (e.g. allowing higher density housing construction to shorten commutes or adding capacity to both mass transit and road systems), until the congestion gets really bad.

      So when you first introduce congestion pricing, congestion goes down, because of course it does -- increase the cost of something and you get less of it. But then, why do any of the other things that address congestion until it gets really bad again? So population grows over time or existing infrastructure decays and doesn't get replaced because it isn't "needed" yet. Until congestion is as bad as it ever was, but now people are living with a new mass surveillance apparatus and paying a regressive tax.

      • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
        > governments don't do the things that prevent it (e.g. allowing higher density housing construction to shorten commutes or adding capacity to both mass transit and road systems), until the congestion gets really bad

        This is Manhattan. We tax the living shit out of parking, are actively converting driving space to bike lanes, and have multiple efforts to reduce or potentially even eliminate street-side parking in the congestion zone.

    • bravesoul27 days ago
      Thinking the same thing. Sydney has a lot of tolls but not for congestion. More as an additional tax really. Doesn't stop people using cars. What probably does is pedestrian streets and less parking making it a PITA to drive vs get a bus.
  • djaychela7 days ago
    Relevant Climate Town Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DEFBn0r53uQ
  • agentultra7 days ago
    There are so many more initiatives from climate adaptation and environmental advocates and urban planning folks that will have similar, “well duh,” effects. It’s surprising how many easy, simple ideas there are that society and politicians dismiss.

    Maybe we don’t need to burn the planet to “achieve AGI,” in order to “solve climate change,” and, “make cities livable.” It’s not like that tech, even is possible, is going to stop hurricanes or take cars off the streets.

    Hope more cities in North America will follow suit. It’s sad how many have been doing the exact opposite of good ideas for so long.

  • amai6 days ago
    Why is this called congestion pricing as if the price would change dynamically based on traffic congestion? In fact it seems to be a static toll of $9. Or am I missing something?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Congestion_pricing_in_New_York...

  • tmaly7 days ago
    I am ok with congestion pricing. Most of the time I park above 60th street to avoid the tax.

    But the tolls on the tunnels are super expensive.

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  • amazingamazing7 days ago
    we need to do this with more things
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  • EasyMark6 days ago
    *for those rich enough to afford it.
  • throw77 days ago
    "Only after Donald Trump won re-election did it start."

    That makes it seem like Trump was pro-congestion pricing... he was not. I remember reading there was a threat and attempt by him to reverse it. Lest it seem like I am a Trump hater, I am very much not impressed by Hochul's delaying which was certainly because of her special interests.

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    • _fat_santa7 days ago
      The problem I see is most cities just don't have the public transportation infrastructure to pull something off like this.

      I lived in Atlanta for a while and public transport there was just not built up enough where someone could use it productively. Now I live in Denver and the situation here is even worse.

      I would LOVE to be able to not use my car for every day transportation (and I say that as a diehard gearhead), but in most places it's just such an inconvenience that it's not worth it.

      The reason this plan works in NYC is they already have all that infrastructure.

      • queenkjuul7 days ago
        Wish they'd do it here in Chicago. Put the money straight into CTA capital projects and everybody wins (except the suburbs)
        • haswell7 days ago
          With the current CTA budget problems, they’re going to need to figure something out soon. But unfortunately I don’t think they’d ever manage to implement this. It’s hard to imagine how they’d physically set this up.
      • turnsout7 days ago
        It's a chicken and egg problem, but ideally they would use the congestion revenue to fund public transit improvements. If we do nothing, Atlanta and Denver will continue to be car cities forever.
    • donmcronald7 days ago
      I think congestion pricing is popular on HN, but only because the user base skews to towards wealthy. IMO congestion pricing forces the burden of reducing usage onto poor people while letting the wealthy keep on doing whatever they want even though wealthy people already consume more per capita than poor people..

      The price will determine how poor you have to be to get forced to do without so the wealthy can benefit from an increase in quality of life. In this article, a 1h trip dropping to 15m means a certain portion of people got priced out of the market. Is is the bottom 10%, 20%, 50%?

      It's great if you're in the top percentage of income earners, but what happens when wealthy people want to cut another 5 minutes from their commute? Do they dial up the congestion pricing to push out a few more people?

      I work every day at an honest job and pay taxes, but don't make a ton of money. Why should my taxes get used to build infrastructure that's going to be subjected to congestion pricing that prices me out of using that infrastructure?

      IMO, the reality is the rich haven't been forced to pay their fair share for a half century, infrastructure has been massively underfunded, and now the solution is to force poor people to suffer the consequences for a system that's benefited the rich and increased wealth inequality to the point where it's going to break the system.

      I'm not young, but I understand why millennials and younger don't want to work. They're not getting their fair share of infrastructure and productivity gains relative to what they're contributing. Who would want to participate in a system that's set up to cheat you for your entire life?

      • mason557 days ago
        > The price will determine how poor you have to be to get forced to do without so the wealthy can benefit from an increase in quality of life.

        Doesn't that basically describe access to all scarce resources?

        If you don't like the idea of money being used as a way to allocate scarce resources then another way to look at it is forcing people to pay for negative externalities (traffic, pollution). And I don't see why poor people should have to pay less for creating the same negative externalities.

        > Why should my taxes get used to build infrastructure that's going to be subjected to congestion pricing that prices me out of using that infrastructure?

        I think the arguments here are

        1. Rich people pay a much higher percentage of the cost of the infrastructure. If you're so poor then you might not be paying for any of it anyway.

        2. You still benefit from the infrastructure - fire trucks, police cars and deliveries are all using the roads to your benefit, even if you don't even drive on them

        3. This is very similar to someone saying "why should I pay for roads when I don't own a car?"

        4. It's also similar to "why should I pay for schools when I don't have a kid?" These things better society as a whole even if you don't use them directly*

        • donmcronald7 days ago
          I can agree with a lot of that, but part of what I don't like is when I pay for luxury things I can't use. For example, if the city decides to subsidize a stadium, but I can't afford tickets to any events, how do I benefit from paying for part of that via property taxes?

          Or another example would be post-secondary education. Where I live it's partially subsidized, so my taxes go towards it even if I can't afford to attend. Sure, there's an overall benefit to having an educated population, but I'm being forced to subsidize other peoples' educations and they benefit directly in the form of increased earning potential which translates into a better standard of living.

          I don't have kids and I don't have a problem paying taxes for fully subsidized K-12 education where everyone gets access no matter what.

          • simonw7 days ago
            > For example, if the city decides to subsidize a stadium, but I can't afford tickets to any events, how do I benefit from paying for part of that via property taxes?

            I suspect the economic benefits for this kind of thing may not actually hold up, but the argument there would be that you benefit from the new stadium because it creates jobs and attracts spending in your city, which results in a bunch of benefits that you do get to appreciate (new restaurants, more tax revenue, more job opportunities etc) even if you never attend an event at the stadium.

      • ceejayoz7 days ago
        As with single-payer healthcare, this is a much better post before we have the evidence in. "Can't be done!" loses a lot of oomph when it… gets done, in large scale and with great success.

        The improvements extend to more than the high-income folks. It's making mass transit more efficient. Per the article:

        > Buses are travelling so much faster that their drivers are having to stop and wait to keep to their schedules.

        The health benefits of lower traffic (noise, pollution, etc.) should be considered here, too.

        • donmcronald7 days ago
          > It's making mass transit more efficient.

          > Buses are travelling so much faster that their drivers are having to stop and wait to keep to their schedules.

          This makes sense to me as long as that infrastructure exists and is kept up. There needs to be a balance where taking public transit is a practical option. The city I live in (in Canada) has pretty brutal public transit. It's 1-1.5h on the bus for something that takes 20-30m by car and the busses are already full because of the price of parking.

          If you introduced congestion pricing where I live, commute times for people driving cars might go down even more as people are priced out of driving, but there aren't enough buses so you would simply be left with no viable options.

          • zahlman7 days ago
            >If you introduced congestion pricing where I live, commute times for people driving cars might go down even more as people are priced out of driving, but there aren't enough buses so you would simply be left with no viable options.

            What evidence do you have that there physically aren't enough buses?

            Here in Toronto, it often happens that the buses move too slowly, because they aren't prioritized over other traffic. They keep a slow, irregular schedule which allows too many new passengers to accumulate at a bus stop in between, a positive feedback loop.

            Extra buses don't help as much in this situation as might naively be expected. The first bus gets overloaded while the second nearly tailgates behind, with far fewer passengers. The second bus should be able to overtake and pick up the passengers for the next stop (or the first one should bypass it if nobody's disembarking there), but this can be hard to arrange with cars in the way and passengers on the first bus already getting impatient.

            But if the existing service is only every half hour or something like that, then yes of course that adds quite a bit to mean transit time. And yes you probably do fix that mainly by adding more buses and carrot-and-sticking people out of their cars. The neat thing about congestion pricing is that you can use it to fund those buses.

          • bryanlarsen7 days ago
            If implemented as in NYC, the congestion charge flows into the coffers of the transit system, allowing your city to finally fix the "not enough buses" problem.
      • righthand7 days ago
        This is a myth. There have been extensive studies done for a decade. If you’re poor and can’t afford $10-15 toll then how did you get your car even close to nyc without paying higher tolls? If you’re poor you’ll use your brain and pay the $2.95 to ride the train, not die in your car waiting in traffic and spending all your money for food on cp tolls.

        You want to charge the wealthy for infrastructure, you tax their income.

        • an_guy7 days ago
          $10-15/per day adds up real quick especially for people who travels to work daily.

          > If you’re poor you’ll use your brain and pay the $2.95 to ride the train

          I hope you do understand this is only viable for people who live or travel near train stations.

          Anyone who live far from rail network would have to rely on bus/cab/ride-share to complete their journey and end up spending almost as much as one would on a car but without the flexibility.

          • JumpCrisscross7 days ago
            > this is only viable for people who live or travel near train stations

            There is plenty of parking at NJTransit, Metro-North and LIRR hubs outside the congestion zone. The people who drive private cars in Manhattan are comparably wealthy.

            • an_guy2 days ago
              > There is plenty of parking at NJTransit, Metro-North and LIRR hubs outside the congestion zone.

              Once again this assumes the destination is close to train station.

        • lolinder7 days ago
          > If you’re poor you’ll use your brain and pay the $2.95 to ride the train, not die in your car waiting in traffic and spending all your money for food on cp tolls.

          I'm pretty sure this is exactly what op is saying, isn't it? The toll forces poorer people to change their behavior while letting rich people continue to do what they've always done with a barely noticeable dent in their wealth.

          • donmcronald7 days ago
            That's right. And it's the same thing for a lot of consumption based services. Our city switched to a garbage system where you pay based on the size of your garbage can (small, medium, large). They did that in lieu of a property tax increase which is a progressive tax since rich people with big homes pay more property taxes.

            Instead it's now a consumption tax which is regressive. All the rich neighbourhoods have large bins and it costs them less than a property tax increase would have while the poor neighbourhoods all have to "budget" their trash to fit it into a small bin.

            It's all a way of forcing the poor and middle class to bear the burden of dwindling resources and infrastructure while the rich get to maintain unfairly luxurious lifestyles.

            • bryanlarsen7 days ago
              The standard mechanism for turning ensuring a flat tax into a progressive tax is to spend the proceeds of the tax a way that benefits people equally.

              For example a VAT is regressive, but is usually accompanied by a rebate that sends a cheque to everybody for an amount that a typical poor person would spend on VAT. The congestion charge goes to the MTA, which benefits everybody.

              For your example, where are the proceeds spent? If the charges are spent to improve everybody's garbage service, the rich people paying the surcharge are paying to improve the service for everybody; the rich are subsidizing the poor.

              • lolinder7 days ago
                > turning ensuring a flat tax into a progressive tax is to spend the proceeds of the tax a way that benefits people equally.

                How does the math on this work? If a regressive tax affects poor people disproportionately over rich people and you then turn around and spend the proceeds on something that benefits everyone equally, you've just done wealth redistribution from poor to rich, no?

                In order to counterbalance the effect of a regressive tax you would need to spend the proceeds on something that benefits poor people more than rich people so the disproportionate negative impact is balanced by a disproportionate positive impact.

                Arguably paying for the MTA may count as doing that, given that poorer folks are more likely to be using it than rich folks (especially now post-congestion tax). The congestion tax becomes a tax on what is now a luxury (driving a car in Manhattan) that is used to pay for a staple (public transit).

                • bryanlarsen7 days ago
                  Rich people pay more on flat taxes than poor people do. For the VAT, they buy more stuff. For the OP's example, they pay for a higher class of garbage disposal. For the congestion charge, they pay it more often.

                  But they're still regressive taxes. Poor people spend a higher percentage of their income on stuff than rich people do. It's less in absolute terms, but more in relative terms.

                  • lolinder7 days ago
                    In the cases we're discussing rich people pay more for increased access, so they're still exchanging money for something of value, not just paying more into the system for the sake of it. They get opportunities and benefits out of the toll/fee system that are not available to people who cannot afford to pay.

                    If the taxes earned from these transactions are then spent on things that also benefit the wealthy just as much as they do the poor, then the rich are double-dipping and poor people still end up net behind the wealthy. They lose access to something that previously was paid for out of property taxes in exchange for more revenue funding services that the wealthy are just as likely to use.

                    This model at least doesn't further exacerbate the regressiveness of the tax by only funding things used by the rich, but it doesn't restore balance.

                    That's why I say that the only way that you flip the tax to be progressive is if the proceeds benefit the poor disproportionately rather than benefiting everyone equally.

        • queenkjuul7 days ago
          And that $2.95 is only gonna be a better deal when all the congestion charges pay for MTA upgrades
      • turnsout7 days ago
        I hear you, but people with lower incomes who had to commute into Manhattan were far less likely to drive even before congestion pricing. Most of these folks are taking buses or trains.

        When it comes to taxes, this is just one more use tax. If you drive in the NY area, you also pay tolls on roads your taxes paid for, and there's local tax on gasoline. Congestion pricing is not an especially unusual tax.

      • paxys7 days ago
        Poor people aren't driving cars in Manhattan in the first place.
        • mc327 days ago
          If poor people aren’t driving in then it means that they are not a source of the reduction in traffic. On the other hand, if only the wealthy drive in then are we saying the wealthy are price sensitive? That seems very unlikely! Someone is not driving in as much.
          • mason557 days ago
            There's a very large lower-middle to upper-middle class that is going to be price sensitive.

            And that's the point. Maybe I'm pretty well off but $15/day is still painful for me to drive in every day. But! Occasionally I REALLY need to drive my car in to the city, so instead of driving in five times/week I just drive in once/week. That's 80% fewer trips, a huge reduction.

          • CPLX7 days ago
            The people who aren't driving as much is the large group of well-connected assholes who have been abusing the city's parking placard program for decades.

            You'd sort of have to live in NYC and observe it first hand to know this, since for curious "reasons" (like the existence of NYP plates) the NYC media doesn't cover it this way either, but it's true.

            The other group not driving as much is the people who are semi-indifferent to driving versus transit but the money tips them one way instead of the other. Which is tons of people.

            • mc327 days ago
              I think your explanation makes the most sense. getting the slack out of the system and reducing corruption plus driving some marginally middleclass to opt for commuter rail because $50/week puts them under.

              For many commuters, though, it would suck if you're used to driving in but now have to take the LIRR (and xfer at Jamaica or whatever) or now drive to the PATH station and take the commuter rail in.

          • ceejayoz7 days ago
            You've never met a stingy wealthy person?

            Diddy's 24/7 live-in assistant started at $75k in 2022 and got up to $100k in 2024... in LA, working 80-100 hours a week.

            Trump stiffs every contractor he employs.

            • mc327 days ago
              Sure, but that's because you can "squeeze" the price on people. You can't squeeze the price on something where there is no negotiation or haggling. If you can get your plumber to do the 400 job for 250, are you gonna say, nah, here man, take 500? Who would do that, only lonely people looking for some company. (pool boy/wealthy lady, waitress/guy with too much money)
              • ceejayoz7 days ago
                > You can't squeeze the price on something where there is no negotiation or haggling.

                Sure you can. In this case, that was done by pressuring Hochul and Trump to kill the thing.

                Thankfully, it failed.

      • rangestransform7 days ago
        Rich people will be able to drive anyways under “more equitable” systems like plate lottery. A family I know of in Beijing has 3 Mercedes with different number plates to be able to drive every day, for example.
        • josephcsible7 days ago
          The point is that there should be no such system at all. Everyone should be able to drive whenever and wherever they want for free.
          • ceejayoz7 days ago
            Absolutely.

            If they do it on their own roads, and keep the pollution on their own property.

            • josephcsible7 days ago
              Drivers already pay for their externalities via vehicle registration fees and gas taxes. And buses that aren't zero-emission should all be banned then, since their pollution enters my property otherwise.
              • ceejayoz7 days ago
                > Drivers already pay for their externalities via vehicle registration fees and gas taxes.

                These don't come close to covering the cost, no. Driving is heavily subsidized in the US.

                • josephcsible7 days ago
                  Other than roads themselves, which don't count since buses, etc. use them too, how is driving being subsidized exactly?
                  • bryanlarsen7 days ago
                    - roads definitely count. > 90% of traffic on roads are private cars. Without that roads would be a lot smaller, require less maintenance, et cetera. They might not cost 90% less, but would cost a substantial fraction of that 90% less.

                    - parking is a massive subsidy. 30% of a typical American city is parking. This is a multi thousand dollar per year subsidy for car owners.

                    - gasoline infrastructure is subsidized, mostly indirectly.

                    • josephcsible7 days ago
                      How is parking subsidized? Drivers pay through the nose to park in cities.

                      And aren't gasoline and diesel both from components of the same crude oil? So aren't buses and trains, which run on diesel, also getting that subsidy?

                      • bryanlarsen6 days ago
                        The true cost of parking is about $300-$500/month across the ~5 parking spots per car that cities have. If you're not paying that, you're being subsidised. It wouldn't be so bad if each car only had 1 spot, but you need parking at home, at work, and at all of the businesses and entertainment venues cars frequent.

                        Crude oil contains more kerosene and diesel than gasoline, but we use more gasoline so refineries crack the kerosene to get more gasoline out of a barrel. With less gasoline demand, diesel would be cheaper.

                        • josephcsible6 days ago
                          It's rare to find city parking that's less than $3/hour. At $3/hour, if you work full-time in the office, you'll pay $500/month just for your office parking spot. So even if the rest of the ~5 parking spots you mentioned were all free, parking still isn't subsidized.
                          • bryanlarsen6 days ago
                            And the number of people that pay city street rates for work 20+ days a month rounds to zero.
      • zahlman7 days ago
        > The price will determine how poor you have to be to get forced to do without so the wealthy can benefit from an increase in quality of life.

        Why should going without a car feel like it's being "forced" upon one?

        Why should taking public transit represent a decline in QoL?

        > but what happens when wealthy people want to cut another 5 minutes from their commute?

        Why so cynical?

        > Why should my taxes get used to build infrastructure that's going to be subjected to congestion pricing that prices me out of using that infrastructure?

        From Wikipedia:

        > The Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) estimates $15 billion in available capital will be generated by bonding revenues from the tolls, which will be available to fund repairs and improvements to the subway, bus, and commuter rail systems.

        Why would any city implement congestion pricing with the goal of funding more roads?

      • const_cast7 days ago
        The subway is universally cheaper than owning and operating a car. And it's even cheaper than using a taxi.

        Frankly, the "think about the poors" arguments are complete bunk. There's no substance behind them and we need to stop humoring it.

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    • 2OEH8eoCRo07 days ago
      I love my car though.
      • ave_b_20117 days ago
        Many people love their cars, I love my car too. I hate traffic though, everyone hates traffic. That’s the problem with everyone loving cars.

        I love busses, bikes, and trains, so I use those as well.

        • kjkjadksj7 days ago
          Feels like I am the only person patient enough to not mind traffic. “Soul crushing” who cares? I’m effectively sitting in a room with a hifi stereo unit like a lot of people do anyhow with their free time. Driving purely on subconscious autopilot. It is on you if you can’t make that work for a bit IMO.

          Crowded train is actually objectively unpleasant on the other hand. You have other peoples BO. The guy bringing in 50lbs of stuff strapped to the bike hits your knee. Another guy decides to smoke a cigarette in the train car or play with their blow torch. Everyone shoving you on the way in and out. Packed like a sardine. AC barely working. Elevators reeking of urine.

          • zahlman7 days ago
            > Crowded train is actually objectively unpleasant on the other hand. You have other peoples BO. The guy bringing in 50lbs of stuff strapped to the bike hits your knee. Another guy decides to smoke a cigarette in the train car or play with their blow torch. Everyone shoving you on the way in and out. Packed like a sardine. AC barely working. Elevators reeking of urine.

            None of this is actually inherent to transit or inevitable. (Where do you live that people would even consider lighting up in an indoor, public place? That sounds more like the 80s to me than today.)

          • ceejayoz7 days ago
            Surely that difference, therefore, is worth $9/day to you?

            Especially now that your commute is substantially shorter as a bonus?

          • 7 days ago
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      • stouset7 days ago
        Okay, keep your car. But start paying for the externalities it causes.
        • 2OEH8eoCRo07 days ago
          Yep, carbon tax on fuel. I'm for it!
          • stouset7 days ago
            Carbon taxes are for paying for the impact of carbon. The impact on everyone else from deciding to drive into Manhattan during a weekday is entirely separate.
            • 2OEH8eoCRo07 days ago
              You're right but we are also getting off topic a bit. I'm not against congestion pricing, I took offense to car culture being called a cancer is all.
      • elsjaako7 days ago
        Awesome! If you live in New York and you are a car lover, you now spend much less time standing in traffic. If you want to drive by day, every day, it will cost you $3285. But this means less standing in traffic, and more driving.

        If you live in New York, parking is probably also $300-$400 per month, so it does double that price. But if you love your car, that must be worth it. And that's only if you're driving it in New York every single day of the year.

      • 7 days ago
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      • rglullis7 days ago
        Then you pay for it and don't leave the externalities to the rest of us.
      • lokar7 days ago
        Ok, but should I have to pay for it?
      • turnsout7 days ago
        That's such a great point! Everybody: this guy loves his car, so let's not change anything about our completely unsustainable way of life!

        Hey, quick question, do you happen to like plastic bags and styrofoam cups too?

        • meroes7 days ago
          You can cut out auto foam cups without much change compared to redoing the entire country’s transportation infrastructure that was built with unprecedented federal funds.
          • stouset7 days ago
            “We built something badly but spent a lot of money doing it” is not the slam dunk argument you seem to think it is.
        • 2OEH8eoCRo07 days ago
          It's no worse a point than saying car culture is cancer. It's clearly complicated.
        • 7 days ago
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      • modeless7 days ago
        I love my car and I support congestion pricing. It makes my car nicer to drive and more useful when I can get places faster, when I need to.
      • 7 days ago
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  • newyankee7 days ago
    Another predictable success would be converting entirety of NYC into a driverless car zone, but we are probably not ready for the repercussions as a society
    • ericmay7 days ago
      Maybe, or maybe just have more street cars and trams and such. More walking, and more biking to go from A -> B.

      I'm not sure in the case of Manhattan that driverless cars are particularly valuable, and it's very much debatable whether they would be a predictable success for a few reasons.

      Inevitably you arrive at a scenario where you have a limited number of them because of course otherwise would be to defeat the purpose of the congestion zone, and then you'll only have certain operators with the right permits able to extract money from moving people. Kind of like the taxi medallion scheme all over again.

      One of the best things America could do is to be to reduce reliance and spend on cars. This applies to New York but even moreso to the rest of the country.

    • humanpotato7 days ago
      Already 90-95% get around without a car and the rest are paying. Car traffic is necessary to an extent. Compare how shipping companies offer Next Day Early AM shipping for 10x the cost of 4 day shipping. Hardly anyone uses it, but when you need it, you are glad to have that expensive option.
    • trgn7 days ago
      The future of nyc is one with electric kei cars puttering around for the one offs and trams and subways for everything else. I can see it in my minds eye and it is better in every way
      • post_break7 days ago
        Ironically NY bans kei vehicles.
        • trgn7 days ago
          Oh no!
    • TheGRS7 days ago
      Entirety seems a little extreme. Maybe gradually they could get there as society and technology changes. But yes changing large areas to pedestrian-only seems totally doable to me in NYC.
  • wakawaka287 days ago
    Since they define what success is, of course it will be.
    • ceejayoz7 days ago
      Which contrasting metrics that've gone in the negative direction would you like to highlight?
      • wakawaka286 days ago
        How about the average person's commute time, or cost of living? Disclaimer: I did not read this article. I don't need to in order to state the obvious but there is a tiny chance someone thought about the impact on people overall.
        • ceejayoz6 days ago
          But we have those metrics, and they’re good. Commute times are shorter.
          • wakawaka286 days ago
            I think the metrics are incomplete, if they suggest nothing but upside. Clearly, if people who used to drive wanted to take the subway and now take it, they could have done it before. So their quality of life must necessarily be lower, as they cannot use their preferred method of travel. And nevermind commutes. There are other activities that can be done with cars, such as moving your family around or shopping, that are objectively harder if you take the subway. Some people are probably paying more for groceries and other staples just because the cost of driving to a store is now higher.

            I also bet that people who live in the city are paying more to leave the city for recreation or visiting family, or whatever. Once you leave the city you NEED a car, and you need a car to carry luggage too. So their quality of life is reduced in this way too. I doubt that the cost of upkeep for a car is higher than renting a car for a few days a month.

      • s1artibartfast7 days ago
        There are obvious winners and losers. Of course it is one sided if you dont care about the losers.

        Those who want to drive, not pay, and not take mass transit are losing out and nobody cares.

        Im not saying anyone has to care, but I dont think it is honest to call it a free lunch.

        • zahlman7 days ago
          "The measure is failing because people are less able to do the thing that the measure was specifically implemented to reduce" doesn't seem to me like a very convincing argument.
          • wakawaka286 days ago
            The point is, there are obvious negative externalities to any intervention. It may be very effective at reducing congestion, at the cost of everyone's money and free time. If you can afford to pay all fees like nothing then it only improves your quality of life.
          • s1artibartfast7 days ago
            Who are you quoting? I didn't say failing. Those are your words, not mine.
  • EGreg7 days ago
    And keep in mind that The Economist is traditionally neoliberal.

    Yet they stay true to economics principles even when they are more lefty and collectively enforced :)

    Now imagine what else Pigovian Taxes can do to help solve collective action problems, if we had a UBI and local city currencies: https://community.intercoin.app/t/rolling-out-voluntary-basi...

    To quote: Finally, as taxes and fees are introduced in the local economy, the community can start to issue a Universal Basic Income in its own currency, without causing inflation.

    Various taxes can be organically introduced, including sales taxes, land taxes 1, and pigovian taxes 3 on things like pollution, fossil fuels, meat or cigarettes. By redistributing taxed money equally to everyone, this can align public incentives with taxing these negative externalities, and avoid them falling disproportionately on the working class, as happened with the yellow vest protests in France.

    As demand for the local currency (and thus local real estate and services) grows, so does the town’s ability to tax various transactions. The town’s citizens could be given the ability to democratically vote on the level of taxes, and thus the level of UBI, they want to receive.

    Thus the town can have both sound money and true democratic control of its fiscal and monetary policies, all the while becoming more self-sufficient and stronger. Any town will be able to introduce a local UBI to end food insecurity, improve health outcomes, reduce dependence on means-tested welfare programs, and so on.

    PS: Why all the downvotes? Why always silent with no reason?

    • PaulHoule7 days ago
      The Economist was founded in 1843 to oppose the Corn Laws

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corn_Laws

      so there is nothing "neo" about their "liberal".

      • jf227 days ago
        Doesn't it matter more about who they are today rather than who they were 180 years ago?
        • criddell7 days ago
          Not if you are trying to figure out if the prefix "neo" fits.
          • jf227 days ago
            The prefix in neo-liberalism has more to do with the ideas not whether it is "new."
        • PaulHoule7 days ago
          Still dedicated to free trade and putting markets to work to solve problems.
      • krustyburger7 days ago
        I’m not sure neoliberal and “lefty” are anywhere near synonyms either.
        • PaulHoule7 days ago
          They aren't. But I find something amusing that The Economist (which I subscribe to) is frequently considered left-leaning

          https://www.allsides.com/news-source/economist

          whereas I see it what the center-right would be if we had a healthy media/political environment.

          • tekla7 days ago
            They are classical liberal, which is impossible to place in the current US Left-Right spectrum because politics have become even dumber than previously thought possible
            • PaulHoule7 days ago
              … politics aren’t just dumb in the US. The Economist is politically homeless these days and has little faith in Labor, Tories or Lib Dems.
          • kristjansson7 days ago
            Impugns the source(s) trying to place them on the left-right axis more than anything.
          • billfor7 days ago
            Count how many times they use hard-left vs hard-right, or how many times they use hard-right vs any other kind of right.
        • turnsout7 days ago
          It's confusing, but "liberal" and "neoliberal" are in fact antonyms.
          • recursive7 days ago
            Based on this comment tree, I'm tempted to believe neither of them mean anything. Or at least very few people are aware of whatever real definition they have. But many people have opinions about it.
            • tekla7 days ago
              They do mean things, but most who toss the words around only use it to mean "thing that I don't like"
            • rsynnott7 days ago
              > Or at least very few people are aware of whatever real definition they have

              I mean, like many things, the meaning of 'liberal' has shifted over the last few centuries, and always differed somewhat between regions anyway. Words in English mean what people use them to mean.

          • PaulHoule7 days ago
            Not really. Ever seen a "liberal" liberate or a "conservative" conserve?

            The term got its current usage when FDR came in because at that time it was a matter of "burn it all down" (real socialism) vs "fix the private property system around the margins".

            See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classical_liberalism

            • gsf_emergency_25 days ago
              I think by liberal he meant the Edwardian liberal. It's the predominant meaning of that label in the US
        • rsynnott7 days ago
          They're not _that_ far off being antonyms, really; neoliberalism certainly shares distant origins with the left, but that's about as far as it goes.
      • EGreg7 days ago
        Fair enough from a pedantic point of view, but I was using the term in this sense, as it is the most recognizable modern term to describe serious economic positions of this kind:

        Neoliberalism is a political and economic philosophy that emphasizes free markets, reduced government intervention, and individual liberty. It's often associated with policies like deregulation, privatization, and free trade. Proponents believe these measures foster economic growth, efficiency, and individual prosperity. However, critics argue that neoliberal policies can lead to increased inequality, social instability, and exploitation

        And my point was here they were applauding policies involving clear government intervention.

        • tekla7 days ago
          > they were applauding policies involving clear government intervention

          Yes the Economist will do that, because they believe in classical liberal markets

        • kfajdsl7 days ago
          (neo)liberal != libertarian.

          The government has a clear role for internalizing externalities, which makes markets more efficient. Or, in this case, using price signals to allocate scarce resources when it was just a free-for-all before.

    • ahepp7 days ago
      Congestion pricing seems like a pretty liberal policy to me. Using supply and demand to set a price.

      Sure, you could crank the Friedman dial to 11 by say, privatizing the roads and letting the operators set the price based on competition.

      But the policy is liberal at its core. A “lefty, collectively enforced” policy would be something like a quota or permit system.

      A key difference being that anyone who wants to drive on the road can do so as long as they pay. It isn’t “everyone with odd license plate numbers can drive today, evens can drive tomorrow” but rather “you can drive today if it’s worth $9 to you”.

      • varispeed7 days ago
        It is classist. If it was liberal, then it would be based on % of someone's wealth (and using progressive scale).

        These policies are aimed at getting unwashed pleb off the roads so the rich can show off their cars in peace.

        • miguelxt7 days ago
          I think you and the parent comment are confusing the term "liberal". He refers to "liberal" in the classical sense: free markets, limited government, rule of law, etc. You mean "liberal" in the North American sense: lefty, social justice, etc.
          • varispeed7 days ago
            Free markets presume equal opportunity to access infrastructure, not the rich buying exclusive use of public goods.
        • queenkjuul7 days ago
          All the poor people on the buses were never gonna drive and now have faster more reliable service
          • TheGRS7 days ago
            Additionally all those emergency vehicles are going to have an easier time shuttling patients to hospitals and firefighters to fires. The whole spectrum benefits from that, not just the rich.
          • varispeed7 days ago
            Buses should serve both rich and poor. Otherwise this is a very definition of classism. The bus is the "back of the bus" now.
          • cute_boi7 days ago
            how are they going to have more reliable service?
            • TulliusCicero7 days ago
              They mean that buses are now faster/more reliable.
            • rsynnott7 days ago
              Buses work better when there's less traffic.
            • vkou7 days ago
              Buses spend less time stuck in traffic.
        • naravara7 days ago
          It’s classist to not want pedestrians in cities to die and get asthma from traffic?

          Got it.

          • varispeed7 days ago
            Amazing how pedestrian safety suddenly matters the moment it becomes a tool to justify purging the poor from city centres.
            • naravara7 days ago
              If you own a car and use it to get around in Manhattan you’re not “poor.” The poor are riding the bus.
        • Marsymars7 days ago
          Liberal and leftist are two entirely different things.
    • jowea7 days ago
      Charging for an scarce resource instead of letting the tragedy of the commons play out does sound like something obvious to come out of a neoliberal economist yes.
      • EGreg7 days ago
        What is The Economist’s position on carbon taxes?

        Update: wow you’re right: https://impact.economist.com/sustainability/net-zero-and-ene...

        • melling7 days ago
          Even Bjorn Lomborg who is against most climate change policies is for a carbon tax.

          https://lomborg.com/news/how-avoid-political-pitfalls-carbon...

        • montjoy7 days ago
          That’s an op-ed btw.

          > The views expressed in the blog are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Economist Impact or the sponsor.

          So not necessarily reflective of The Economist’s position.

          • jcranmer7 days ago
            The Economist has long been pretty outspoken over their preference for a carbon tax over cap-and-trade (see any article they write about carbon emissions).
        • vkou7 days ago
          Carbon taxes have always been a conservative/neo-liberal idea.

          Modern 'conservatives' abandoning them tells you a lot about how far their politics have shifted over the past decade.

          • wat100007 days ago
            Just like the ACA/Obamacare was very similar to a proposal that came out of the Heritage Foundation, but was universally hated by the people on that side.
      • DangitBobby7 days ago
        Flat rates are not the only way to allocate scarce resources. Generally they would be called "regressive", even.
        • jowea7 days ago
          Well it's a flat rate on car drivers in Manhattan. How regressive is it really?
    • EA-31677 days ago
      While I support congestion pricing, I will say that The Economist is most notable these days a negative oracle: whatever it predicts, the opposite will happen.
      • bryanlarsen7 days ago
        Examples? Counter-example: the Economist predicted the 2007 sub-prime crisis and housing price crash.
      • ch4s37 days ago
        They were spot on about post covid stimulus fueling inflation.
      • EGreg7 days ago
        The Jim Cramer of macroeconomics? :)
      • tekla7 days ago
        Such as?
  • timr7 days ago
    Elasticity of demand is not magic, so yeah, making something more expensive will likely reduce demand. While I have no doubt it is a success if you consider only reduced traffic, there are other considerations that override that for me:

    1) It's a regressive tax on everyone living here -- even if you never use a car. Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

    2) That same regressive tax is used to provide a lifeline for an exceptionally wasteful public organization (the MTA) that needs budget discipline, not additional funding. The MTA rivals Tammany Hall in terms of waste and fraud, and the talks of budget cuts were political crocodile tears.

    3) (more minor) By definition, the point of this tax is to make it so that only rich people can drive. As the article notes, of course this is great if you're rich enough to afford it...but the article doesn't quote the people who can't now.

    ---

    Edit: I'm just going to respond to the single point that everyone is making in one place, instead of repeating it: you don't just get to assert that the hypothesized "reduction in transit time" offsets the costs. You have to prove that argument.

    You're the one arguing in favor of a new tax. It's not my job to prove the negative.

    Ultimately, congestion was itself a cost, but it was a dynamic cost, increasing and decreasing with the amount of congestion to maximize utility of the roads. What the state has done here, effectively, is set the price of driving higher than the market at all times in order to guarantee a marginal reduction in demand.

    • rafram7 days ago
      It's a max of $21 for a truckload of goods, and that's if they deliver during the day. It probably costs the shipper more than that when the driver stops at a gas station to use the bathroom. Obviously the numbers will vary significantly depending on what the vehicle is carrying, but a truckload of groceries might go for around $100,000 retail [1]. The congestion charge is 0.02% of that.

      > By definition, the point of this tax is to make it so that only rich people can drive.

      That's not true. There's a tax credit for low-income residents and a full waiver for disabled people. The average person who drives in Manhattan makes $130,000, 40% more than the average income in the city as a whole [2], so letting them do it for free (while creating negative externalities that we all bear) is just a handout to people who don't need it.

      [1]: https://selectliquidation.com/collections/grocery-liquidatio...

      [2]: https://fiscalpolicy.org/impact-of-payroll-mobility-tax-on-n...

      • Eric_WVGG7 days ago
        — and speaking of truckloads, the truckers & delivery guys love congestion pricing.

        After being the most vocal critics for years, they’ve learned that low traffic == more, faster deliveries == more business and more coverage, or same business with fewer drivers.

        This is the real reason why I think it'll never get repealed. If anyone tries, the industry lobbies will be arguing to keep it instead.

      • timr7 days ago
        > That's not true. There's a tax credit for low-income residents and a full waiver for disabled people.

        That's a fig-leaf argument. Yes, there's some theoretical tax credit that may or may not offset the costs for particular groups of people -- and it would be insane if they didn't exempt the disabled. But if the tax weren't causing the marginal driver to stop driving, it wouldn't work, by definition.

        • rafram7 days ago
          It's not a "theoretical" tax credit. Here's the application form: https://lidp.mta.info/

          Congesting pricing has dual goals of reducing congestion and funding the MTA. Low-income drivers get a break on the charge, so they fund the MTA a little less than other drivers, but they're still less likely to drive than they were before, because it costs more now.

          • s1artibartfast7 days ago
            If nobody is inconveniences, then there would be no change.

            It is reasonable to say that it achieved its stated goals. Its not accurate to say nobody is experience higher costs or prevented from doing what they want.

          • timr7 days ago
            It's theoretical in the sense that it requires that you apply for it, and hopefully you'll get your money back someday.

            (...poor people being notorious for having lots of time for precise accounting and follow through on government bureaucracy.)

    • paulgb7 days ago
      > Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

      Congestion was already priced into all goods and services in NYC, it just came in the form of a deadweight loss (paying delivery workers / tradespeople / professionals to sit in traffic) instead of a tax that at least ostensibly will fund better transit.

      • timr7 days ago
        > Congestion was already priced into all goods and services in NYC

        I agree!

        > instead of a tax that at least ostensibly will fund better transit.

        Telling me that the money will be set on fire by a public organization with good intent doesn't convince me.

        What has happened here -- and mathematically, this has to be true, or it wouldn't work -- is that the city has taken what used to be the market cost of congestion, and set an artificial floor higher than that market. They then captured the difference as revenue.

        That's the fundamental argument against the assertion that traffic speed increases will offset the costs. It cannot be true, or people would choose to drive.

        • paulgb7 days ago
          > That's the fundamental argument against the assertion that traffic speed increases will offset the costs. It cannot be true, or people would choose to drive.

          I think the mistake you're making here is assuming that the value of driving and the cost of congestion are the same to every driver.

          For some people, driving is an elastic decision. They mode shift, or time shift to off-peak, or carpool, or combine errands in the city into one trip instead of multiple.

          For other people, driving is necessary. They'll benefit from fewer of the first type of person being on the roads during peak hours.

          • josephcsible7 days ago
            > time shift to off-peak

            One of the worst things about this congestion charge is that it applies even at off-peak times.

            • paulgb7 days ago
              It’s 75% lower off-peak though, so there’s still an incentive.
          • timr7 days ago
            No, I don't need to make assumptions about any of that. It's a complex interplay of factors (like any economic system), and everyone has their own reward function.

            I'm just saying that if the marginal driver were still choosing to drive, then the system wouldn't work at all. That seems tautological?

            The MTA has to set the price high enough above market that the reduction in demand is X%. Whether someone is driving because of speed, or comfort, or some other factor, the cost has to exceed their personally calculated benefit.

            • paulgb7 days ago
              > Whether someone is driving because of speed, or comfort, or some other factor, the cost has to exceed their personally calculated benefit.

              It's a dynamic system though; as some drivers opt not to drive, the utility of driving for those other drivers increases. Yes, the market will find an equilibrium somewhere where some people will still drive, but that's kind of the point.

              • timr7 days ago
                I think the better argument for your side is that a large number of people have a utility function that isn't rational -- or at least, not based on commute time saved.

                Yes, the market will find a new equilibrium, but if I'm right that the marginal driver is choosing to drive or not based mostly on a function of time saved, then eventually we'll see the market reaching an equilibrium where people are willing to pay up to the amount of money they save by getting somewhere faster via car (ignoring other costs for the sake of argument).

                If that is true -- if the market is efficient for time -- then this plan can only ever work by making driving more expensive than the time lost to congestion.

                (As an aside, thanks for having a serious, nuanced discussion about this. It's depressing how many people just want to fling insults and downvote/flag/censor stuff that they disagree with. I knew I was going to get ravaged for having a non-canonical opinion, but it's so hard to get people to just engage with the argument in good faith.)

        • 8note7 days ago
          > higher than that market

          i dont think thats true. the cost can also be much cheaper, but people price differentiate better when they can actually see the number than when they cant.

          you can look at 19.99 as an example, vs 20 as example of making people feel a certain way to get them to shop differently, or credit cards - which get people to pay much more for an item than they otherwise would with the interest payments, or with the klarna styled buy now pay later.

          its not a tautology that a higher price drives down cost.

          i think the government price is likely much less than the cost of congestion, especially once you price in the externalities of pollution, but drivers werent aware of how much cost they were incurring from the congestion, and now that there's a number, they can make decisions based off of it

        • 7 days ago
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    • CPLX7 days ago
      > 1) It's a regressive tax on everyone living here -- even if you never use a car. Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this.

      That's an empirical question, you're going to have to prove it. The time saved by delivery drivers or contractors, for example, has value. If they can make more deliveries, or fix more elevators in the same day those services get cheaper. If the only downside is that the assistant patrol supervisor deputy liaison that would have driven to 1 Police Plaza takes the train instead it's clearly a net savings and economic improvement and makes everything we buy and use in the city cheaper.

      > 2) That same regressive tax is used to provide a lifeline for an exceptionally wasteful public organization (the MTA) that needs budget discipline, not additional funding.

      The MTA is chronically starved for cash and unable to do large scale long term projects because of unstable funding. If this policy, which as we saw above might well have literally zero aggregate economic downside, also builds more efficient transit, it's a virtuous circle of winning.

      > 3) (more minor) By definition, the point of this tax is to make it so that only rich people can drive. As the article notes, of course this is great if you're rich enough to afford it...but the article doesn't quote the people who can't now.

      Rich people can already drive. Now those rich people give money to transit for everyone else. Working people or people who need to drive (like those with a van full of stuff that needs to be somewhere) are able to do so much more efficiently and most likely face net lower costs.

      The "downside" is midly affluent people who do have cars and regularly drive in the central area take fewer trips or take the train a few more times instead. And the other downside is that the tens of thousands of assholes who've been abusing the city parking placard process for decades have to find another way to get to work like the rest of us.

      • timr7 days ago
        [flagged]
        • rafram7 days ago
          The MTA did prove it. That's how they got approval from USDOT. Here's an 868-page report if you're actually serious about wanting proof: https://www.mta.info/document/93446
          • timr7 days ago
            [flagged]
          • timr7 days ago
            [flagged]
        • 7 days ago
          undefined
        • CPLX7 days ago
          If we're talking burden of proof then the only real one that matters is the popularity of the program. It's very clearly popular and a success, so here we are.
    • dml21357 days ago
      > Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

      Aruguable. It’s very possible that the time saved by not sitting in traffic will outweigh the congestion charge for delivery trucks (which is what I assume you’re referring to).

    • bryanlarsen7 days ago
      The MTA has massive waste in absolute terms, but divide its budget by 5 million passengers per day and those numbers become much more reasonable.

      Money spent on the MTA benefits everybody, especially the poor.

      • timr7 days ago
        "Sure, Tammany Hall was corrupt, but the corruption was only a tiny amount per capita...and what a nice courthouse!"
        • rafram7 days ago
          Pointless strawman response. If you think the MTA's waste is in any way comparable to Tammany Hall, back that up with numbers.
          • timr7 days ago
            Just for starters:

            https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/28/nyregion/new-york-subway-...

            > An accountant discovered the discrepancy while reviewing the budget for new train platforms under Grand Central Terminal in Manhattan. The budget showed that 900 workers were being paid to dig caverns for the platforms as part of a 3.5-mile tunnel connecting the historic station to the Long Island Rail Road. But the accountant could only identify about 700 jobs that needed to be done, according to three project supervisors. Officials could not find any reason for the other 200 people to be there.

            > For years, The Times found, public officials have stood by as a small group of politically connected labor unions, construction companies and consulting firms have amassed large profits.

            > Trade unions, which have closely aligned themselves with Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo and other politicians, have secured deals requiring underground construction work to be staffed by as many as four times more laborers than elsewhere in the world, documents show.

            > Construction companies, which have given millions of dollars in campaign donations in recent years, have increased their projected costs by up to 50 percent when bidding for work from the M.T.A., contractors say.

            > Consulting firms, which have hired away scores of M.T.A. employees, have persuaded the authority to spend an unusual amount on design and management, statistics indicate.

            This is literally what Tammany Hall did.

            • quickthrowman7 days ago
              Accounts know nothing about running construction projects. If you want to control costs, use fixed price or GMP contracts instead of cost plus or T&M. You also need to make sure your engineers are accurately representing the work scope in the RFP so you don’t get change ordered to death.

              That being said, there is definitely corruption in the NYC construction market that doesn’t exist in the market I operate in, and I’ve read articles specifically about sandhogs inflating contracts and so on. Their union contract could possibly specify certain positions being required that are extraneous to the work being performed that would inflate the cost of the project and line the union’s coffers.

              Net margins on a 9 to 10 figure construction contract should be around 3-5% in a competitive market.

              FWIW I am a construction management professional.

            • 8note7 days ago
              an alternative interpretation is that the union workers know more about how to safely do underground work than accountants and supervisors do.
              • chimeracoder7 days ago
                > an alternative interpretation is that the union workers know more about how to safely do underground work than accountants and supervisors do.

                As someone in New York who supports congestion pricing and public transit, I will say this: yes, there is a ton of waste and mismanagement at the MTA, and the TWU is unfortunately frequently one of the impediments to progress here. They have a history of opposing things like industry-standard safety improvements, sometimes even things which create jobs for their members, for arcane political reasons that require a deep understanding of their internal politics to comprehend. It would be nice if the TWU were a more consistent force for efficiency and progress, but they are not. You can compare to unions elsewhere in the world, or even to other unions in the US, and the TWU still winds up as an outlier in many of these areas.

                That said, OP is pointing the finger at the wrong party. The MTA is overseen by the state. The responsibility for these inefficiencies and cost overruns lie with the state legislature and the governor. Andrew Cuomo, who was the governor at the time that article was written, famously washed his hands off the MTA. He was so brazen as to even publicly claim that he had no authority over them, at the same time as he was making unilateral management decisions on their behalf, including ordering the MTA to write a check to an upstate ski resort, to bail the resort out after a low-business season.

                Fortunately, the money from congestion pricing is legally earmarked by state law and under a settlement from a federal lawsuit (the lawsuit was unrelated to congestion pricing, but the funding was offered up as a settlement term), so there's a lot less wiggle room for things to go wrong.

                Congestion pricing is a solid policy win. That doesn't mean the governor (Hochul) and the state legislature don't need to step up and do their jobs - which means real, material oversight - but criticizing congestion pricing on those grounds, when it's one of the few budget items which actually has been legally overseen and structured - is completely off-base.

              • ceejayoz7 days ago
                I think that particular theory is addressed by the "four times more laborers than elsewhere in the world" bit, if it includes the developed world. (Which I strongly suspect it does.)
      • dh20227 days ago
        These new moneys coming in will not buy one new subway car, will not fix one mile of subway track, will not fix one mile of potholes-filled-streets. Will not even paint one mile of street sign. It will all go paying some bureaucrats to create some Tableau dashboards showing how much better something (anything) is.
        • rafram7 days ago
          It already has done the former two. (Fixing streets is NYC DOT, a separate agency run by the city, not the state.)
        • const_cast7 days ago
          > These new moneys coming in will not buy one new subway car

          I think it is literally being used to buy hundreds of new subway cars as we speak.

          Y'all can't just make things up and say whatever you want. I get it, I get it, public sector evil. Unfortunately that's not an argument. Yes, you're going to actually have to try instead of being intellectually dishonest.

        • Analemma_7 days ago
          Citation needed. It drives me nuts when people treat their own Boomer Facebook-esque rants about "The System, Man" as adequate evidence in what should be empirical discussions about policy tradeoffs.
    • 8note7 days ago
      as far as i can read, your argument is that traffic jams are impossible, because congestion acts as a dynamic cost function to keep the road at its highest utility, when the throughput is highest.

      unless you disagree with the that definition of the utility of the road?

      how do you explain phenomena like shockwave traffic jams, where otherwise high utility roads get sections of nearly stopped traffic. eg. https://youtu.be/Suugn-p5C1M?feature=shared in a closed system (30s of video)

      can you spend some time showing your work, and both propose and prove what the cost function of congestion is? then, it should be clear whether the government set cost is higher or lower, and under what conditions. id especially want to see the limiting behaviour - standstill traffic. my gur sense is that the cost of congestion should be going towards infinity, but im interested in how the constant value from the government is still higher.

    • ceejayoz7 days ago
      > Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

      Significantly? Aren't those delivery trucks spending a lot less time paying drivers to idle in traffic now?

      • timr7 days ago
        I don't know, but you don't have any evidence for that argument.
        • ceejayoz7 days ago
          I'm asking for evidence of your argument.

          We do have concrete evidence the buses, at least, are moving around faster.

          • timr7 days ago
            [flagged]
            • ceejayoz7 days ago
              You are making the following unsupported affirmative assertion.

              > Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

              I'd like to see evidence of it.

              • timr7 days ago
                Every delivery truck that comes into the city is charged a tax. It's not a matter of "evidence" -- it's how the law works. This cost is passed on to consumers.

                I didn't say "gets more expensive on net relative to some hypothetical other universe", because I can't possibly know that. You're the one making the argument that this universe is cheaper than that one. Prove it.

                • ceejayoz7 days ago
                  Again, you said this:

                  > Literally everything we buy and use in the city gets more expensive because of this law.

                  If I buy a cup of coffee, and the cost of the coup goes from $0.05 to $0.10, but the cost of coffee goes down from $1.00 to $0.95, the thing I buy did not get more expensive. The components of its cost changed.

                  The hot dog delivery truck paid a few extra bucks, averaged out over tens of thousands of hot dogs, and it spent less time stuck in traffic (saving gas and labor costs). This is not a large logical leap. You are arguing that this cannot possibly be the case, which is a large logical leap.

                  • timr7 days ago
                    > If I buy a cup of coffee, and the cost of the coup goes from $0.05 to $0.10, but the cost of coffee goes down from $1.00 to $0.95, the thing I buy did not get more expensive. The components of its cost changed.

                    Great, prove it! You at least agree with me on how taxes work now, so it's up to you to prove that your convoluted tax mechanism actually makes things cheaper. Maybe you're right, and I look forward your evidence.

                    Barring affirmative evidence for that argument, we should just go with the usual models for taxation that work for everything else, and assume that they end up raising costs for consumers.

                    • ceejayoz7 days ago
                      Affirmative evidence:

                      A small truck pays $14.40/day. A large truck $21.60/day. That $20ish in fees is distributed across the entire cargo of the truck; I'm sure we agree that the average truck carries more than, say, $20 worth of goods. NYC minimum wage for the driver/delivery person is $16.50/hour.

                      https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/05/11/upshot/conges...

                      "average traffic speeds inside the zone increased by 15 percent"

                      15% faster between stops seems highly likely to save that driver an hour or so in their day. Probably some gas, engine wear and tear, etc. too.

                      And if your delivery truck gets into an accident, that's additional cost.

                      https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2025/jun/...

                      "Perhaps the most dramatic transformation has occurred outside the toll zone. In Queens, traffic crashes in Astoria and Long Island City have fallen by 27%, with injuries down 31.4%. The reason, Schwartz says, is geographical."

                      This, of course, all ignores other improvements that are tough to measure. We've seen lower car crash injury rates - what's the per-capita benefit from that? What's the per-capita benefit of less asthma? What's the per-capita benefit of less road noise? (We have concrete evidence that these things are harmful! https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20240621-how-traffic-nois...)

                      > go with the usual models for taxation that work for everything else

                      What are these magical models of taxation economists have wide consensus on? To my knowledge, tax policy remains a contentious field.

                      • timr7 days ago
                        > 15% faster between stops seems highly likely to save that driver an hour or so in their day. Probably some gas, engine wear and tear, etc. too.

                        Great. Prove it! When you use words like "probably", it indicates that you're speculating.

                        (I'll just save you some time here: you can't prove it, because no such proof exists. It's fine to just admit that you have a theory.)

                        > "Perhaps the most dramatic transformation has occurred outside the toll zone. In Queens, traffic crashes in Astoria and Long Island City have fallen by 27%, with injuries down 31.4%. The reason, Schwartz says, is geographical."

                        Non responsive. I didn't ask you for proof that other things you like might be happening. I asked you to prove that your preferred tax is actually lowering prices.

            • rafram7 days ago
              > The default is not to tax.

              No it isn't. The government pays for public transit, for the bridges and tunnels that vehicles take into the city, and for the infrastructure that they use when they're here. The government funds its spending with taxes. Either it taxes everyone (payroll/income tax) or it taxes the people who are specifically putting the highest toll on the infrastructure (congestion pricing). The MTA has tried the former — general fund, MTMCT — and it wasn't enough. Now they're trying the latter.

              • timr7 days ago
                It's clearly a new tax. It didn't exist for the entire history of the city before. So yes, the default is to justify why the change must be implemented.
                • ceejayoz7 days ago
                  > So yes, the default is to justify why the change must be implemented.

                  That was done when the plan was proposed (and reviewed/approved by city/state/Federal government).

                  We're now in the "confirming the benefits" stage. Which is the point of the article we're discussing; those benefits have, indeed, showed up in the stats. As the justifications for the change suggested they would.

                  Now's the time for opponents to support their pre-implementation allegations of doom and gloom, with concrete evidence now available because it's an actual thing.

                  • timr7 days ago
                    > We're now in the "confirming the benefits" stage. Which is the point of the article we're discussing; those benefits have, indeed, showed up in the stats. As the justifications for the change suggested they would.

                    No, now you're being slippery. The "stats" you cite have shown improvements in things that I don't care about, and you've provided no evidence to counter the argument I am making.

                    > Now's the time for opponents to support their pre-implementation allegations of doom and gloom

                    I'm not sure who you're arguing with, but I didn't have "pre-implementation allegations of doom and gloom", so, perhaps you can go find that person instead.

                    • ceejayoz7 days ago
                      > The "stats" you cite have shown improvements in things that I don't care about…

                      You implied you cared about pollution, then claimed that was whimsical when evidence became available.

                      What do you care about that has measurably worsened with the change? And can you demonstrate it with more than feefees? And will it become “whimsical” if debunked?

        • arolihas7 days ago
          We know there's less congestion, which means less time delivery trucks are idling...
    • arolihas7 days ago
      Buddy if you are going to make an argument where you make statements, people are going to ask for evidence. You are making statements in the affirmative. So you also have to give proof as well. You are arguing the tax should be removed. Do you have proof that literally everything will become cheaper without this tax?
    • maybelsyrup7 days ago
      > I'm just going to respond to the single point that everyone is making in one place, instead of repeating it: you don't just get to assert that the hypothesized "reduction in transit time" offsets the costs. You have to prove that argument. > You're the one arguing in favor of a new tax. It's not my job to prove the negative.

      You ok man? Like, respect for your passion on this issue but you’re also seething pretty hard about New York City having cleaner air and less traffic.

      • timr7 days ago
        I'm not seething, and I can assure you from the disgusting piles of city dust that accumulate in my apartment that the air is not cleaner in any way that matters to me.
        • ceejayoz7 days ago
          The difference might matter to your asthmatic neighbor. It's early to assess, but:

          https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/05/11/upshot/conges...

          > The New York City health department’s readings of PM2.5, one air quality measure, improved citywide the first three months of this year compared with the same period in 2024. The improvement was more pronounced within the congestion zone, but it’s too early to attribute that to the program, or to know if that’s a lasting pattern, experts said.

          "My apartment still gets dusty" seems like a pretty desperate anti-congestion charge argument.

  • lysace7 days ago
    It’s great for the very wealthy.

    See also: Singapore. When I first visited I was amazed at how little traffic there was. Turns out they had imposed so severe costs on car ownership that the vast majority can’t afford to own one.

    Why Driving in Singapore Is Like 'Wearing a Rolex'

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/24/world/asia/car-certificat...

    (https://archive.is/X6dpP)

    • jcranmer7 days ago
      The biggest improvement are for the very poor, who rely more heavily than other socioeconomic classes on bus transportation, which has seen the greatest efficiency improvements from congestion pricing. The merely poor or middle class, in NYC, are already reliant on mass transit (although more likely the subway rather than the bus system), which sees somewhat more indirect benefits from increased funding as a result of the congestion charge.

      The people whom congestion pricing hurts the most are those who feel that public transit is beneath them but still rely on driving in Manhattan to a degree that the congestion charge is a significant tax. Which unfortunately seems to include most of the media class in NYC, hence the incessant whining about it.

      • dh20227 days ago
        With this new moneys coming in they will not even fix one of these 50-year old subway switches. Nevermind buying some new subway cars, or improving ventilation / air conditioning during summer. This new moneys will go to waste. Meanwhile, yeah, rich investment bankers get to spend less time in traffic.
        • ceejayoz7 days ago
          > With this new moneys coming in they will not even fix one of these 50-year old subway switches. Nevermind buying some new subway cars...

          https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/29/nyregion/mta-budget.html

          "The M.T.A. expects to spend $10.9 billion to buy roughly 2,000 new rail cars, an order that will include 1,500 subway cars and more than 500 for the Metro-North and Long Island Rail Road. Some of the train fleet has not been updated since at least 1980, the year of the M.T.A.’s first capital plan. Another $3.3 billion will buy and support 2,261 new buses."

          "The plan includes $5.4 billion to modernize the subway signal system, which dates back to the Great Depression. Over the past 15 months, the antiquated system has led to an average of nearly 4,000 train delays a month, according to the M.T.A."

    • CPLX7 days ago
      That was the original criticism, or rather the cynical attempt to block it.

      It hasn't panned out that way at all however, it's just great for everyone.

      OK, actually not everyone. There's one very specific group that this sucks for, which not-coincidentally was the group that was loudly opposing it using the excuse you tried.

      That group is people who work for the city and/or are connected so they get free daily parking. That's a lot of cops and firefighters and various city functionaries at various levels and agencies that have been able to get their hands on parking placards. It's a core NYC subculture and they were the annoying loud voices that tried to stop this.

      Almost anyone who was driving into central Manhattan and paying for parking already is thrilled by this, it's only a little more expensive and in exchange they shave hours of traffic out of their commutes.

      It's the people that were gaming the system to get free parking that are suddenly screwed. Fuck them.

      • timr7 days ago
        > It hasn't panned out that way at all however, it's just great for everyone.

        Oh, come now. Try a little bit harder to see the other side.

        Live here, don't have a car -- haven't had one for 20 years. Ride the subway every day.

        I freely acknowledge that the roads feel less crowded, but it makes no practical difference to me. As far as I am concerned, the entire thing is a small net loss, in that it's another tax, and on the rare occasions I do actually need a car or a service that requires a car (plumber, mover, etc.) it costs me more.

        I look at congestion pricing purely as a question of "do I consent to another tax for the MTA?", and when framed in that way, the answer is emphatically "No."

        • CPLX7 days ago
          > on the rare occasions I do actually need a car or a service that requires a car (plumber, mover, etc.) it costs me more.

          That's the part you have to prove. I bet your statement is factually incorrect.

          • timr7 days ago
            It's literally added on a as service fee. You want receipts or something? This is standard stuff -- go ride in a taxi and you'll see the same thing.

            I encourage you to adopt this level of skepticism to claims on both sides of this debate, and not just things that violate your pre-conceptions of the world.

            Edit: not that I use FreshDirect, but it took me about 30 seconds of searching to find this obvious example.

            https://nypost.com/2025/01/09/business/freshdirect-quietly-s...

            • CPLX7 days ago
              Well yes if you are in a car on the congestion pricing area it costs money. Of course it does, that the point.

              Your argument is that there are indirect costs. That’s the part that has to be proven.

              Some company using it as an excuse to add a junk fee is anecdotal but hardly conclusive. It’s about as much evidence as a hotel saying they didn’t bring me new towels because they care about the environment.

              • timr7 days ago
                > Some company using it as an excuse to add a junk fee is anecdotal but hardly conclusive. It’s about as much evidence as a hotel saying they didn’t bring me new towels because they care about the environment.

                Got it. I show you an example of exactly what you ask for, from one of the most common delivery services in NYC, and you dismiss it as a "junk fee".

                Confirmation bias is a hell of a drug.

                • CPLX7 days ago
                  I mean my bias is that we started with crippling traffic congestion and not enough money for transit and now we have instantly obvious improvements in congestion and more money for transit. And no visible downsides whatsoever.

                  You having to pay fifty cents more for FreshDirect is not a persuasive counter argument. Especially since that’s not actually an indirect cost at all.

                  Your order is quite literally causing more traffic congestion, directly, as the car pulls up in front of your apartment and double parks while some guy hand delivers your yogurt or whatever.

                  • timr7 days ago
                    > Your order is quite literally causing more traffic congestion, directly, as the car pulls up in front of your apartment and double parks while some guy hand delivers your yogurt or whatever.

                    I told you that I don't use FreshDirect. You asked for an example of companies passing through the cost, and I provided one.

      • 7 days ago
        undefined
      • wang_li7 days ago
        It's a bit absurd though. The roads are paid by tax payers from the general fund of the city, but they discriminate on how much it costs to use those roads based on where you live. If everyone entering the zone paid the same then it would be one thing. But they have exemptions and deductions based on residency and income. If they are going to charge people who don't live in the area and not charge the people who do live in the area, then the people in the area should have to buy all the roads and pay for the upkeep.
        • rozab7 days ago
          To someone who can't afford to drive it might seem absurd to be paying for roads with their taxes in the first place. Driving has been generally subsidized for so long that it's easy to forget it's subsidized at all. The backlash to proposals for free public transport demonstrates this.
        • CPLX7 days ago
          > It's a bit absurd though. The roads are paid by tax payers from the general fund of the city, but they discriminate on how much it costs to use those roads based on where you live. If everyone entering the zone paid the same then it would be one thing. But they have exemptions and deductions based on residency and income. If they are going to charge people who don't live in the area and not charge the people who do live in the area, then the people in the area should have to buy all the roads and pay for the upkeep.

          These aren't deep moral questions. You're trying to draw some sort of universal fairness doctrine around this that doesn't apply. It's just public policy. The people who live in the area are buying all the roads, through various taxes and fees.

          Roads don't work the way you describe. Are you aware that there's literally no way to drive to Long Island without going through New York City? Or that driving from Princeton New Jersey to Providence Rhode Island requires going through New York City or driving about 40-50 miles out of the way? Why is all this solely the problem of people who live in Manhattan below Central Park again?

    • lokar7 days ago
      Driving into manhattan and paying for parking is something only the fairly wealthy could afford anyway.
      • decafninja7 days ago
        Driving into Manhattan every day? Yes.

        Occasionally? Tons of middle class people do it.

        The majority of my social circle consists of middle and upper middle class Newjerseyans. Many commute daily into Manhattan via public transit. But if they’re going in for anything other than work, it’s always the car.

        Which congestion price is perfectly fine for if you’re only going in occasionally.

        • the_mitsuhiko7 days ago
          > Occasionally? Tons of middle class people do it.

          I would not be surprised if occasionally driving into Manhattan is cheaper now. Surely the excessive prices on parking should be going down.

          • lokar7 days ago
            It should be cheaper already if you place a non-zero value on your time.
            • mc327 days ago
              Do people put a value on time when not doing value added stuff? When they go for a walk, do they instead run? Do they try to only meet up with friends who can return an investment on their time? Do these people not shoot the shit? Are they busy beavers at all times maximizing wealth?
              • kfajdsl7 days ago
                These are all things that people find value in. Most people don't assign any value to sitting in traffic.
              • recursive7 days ago
                Shooting the shit could be precisely what they do instead of idling in traffic. Most people would prefer it.
                • mc327 days ago
                  I dunno, man, It's rumored they have this thing called cellular telephony technology allowing just such a thing while in traffic --I could be wrong though, thems being wealthy and shit.
                  • recursive7 days ago
                    The rumors are true, but you seem to have missed my point. Some people might prefer to communicate in person. You might not be one of them.
            • SoftTalker7 days ago
              Most normal people put a very low value on their time, because they don't have any practical way to monitize an extra hour. It's just "free" time.
          • echelon7 days ago
            The supply demand curve might mean prices temporarily drop with demand, but that might put pressure on some parking to convert to other uses, which will then lower supply.
        • lokar7 days ago
          I agree. Also, the money from the fee is supposed to improve transit (we will see how long that lasts…), and IMO a share should go to NJ transit into manhattan.
      • tetromino_7 days ago
        I have a school teacher friend who commutes by car every day between the Bronx and upper Manhattan (outside the congestion zone - but you said "Manhattan" without any qualifier). Obviously she doesn't pay for parking. Public transportation in her case would be quite inconvenient due to how the subway lines are laid out.
      • kjkjadksj7 days ago
        If that were true congestion pricing would not affect car counts
        • lokar7 days ago
          Like any moderate financial incentive it impacts a minority of people at the margin. For phenomenon like traffic that can make a big impact.
      • shipscode7 days ago
        Tell me you've never lived in lower Manhattan without telling me you've never lived in lower Manhattan.

        Edit: Happy to be downvoted by people who actually live in Manhattan and take 5 seconds out of their day to talk to anybody who works in a local store. Brooklyn transplants can move along.

        • mtalantikite7 days ago
          Yeah, this is the only disagreement I have with congestion pricing too. I have a friend that lives in Tribeca (in the place he grew up in in the 80s) and needs a car to drive to his art studio in New Jersey. I feel like they should get an exemption or at least a heavily reduced rate.

          But my in laws that drive in from the suburbs a few times a year? They can afford the $9.

          • righthand7 days ago
            Your buddy should move to NJ if he needs low cost access to his studio. The roads will be tolled and the price will only go up. The entire point is to reduce the amount of people using the roads for a cheap benefit (ex living in Tribeca one of the most expensive neighborhoods in the city and complaining that you have no low cost access to NJ).
            • 7 days ago
              undefined
          • dml21357 days ago
            I’m unclear on how $9 is not a fair price to drive a car from lower manhattan to new jersey. Public transit would cost at least that much.
            • mtalantikite7 days ago
              I'm not saying it's not a fair price -- I think largely it's a positive to discourage people from deciding to commute into Manhattan by car. I'm in my 40s and only recently got my license, so I'm certainly on team public transit.

              But I am saying that not everyone that lives in the congestion zone are well off office workers, particularly those born and raised in lower Manhattan that have housing arrangements that go back a few decades. An extra $2-300 month in tolls is not nothing for many people. You can't easily bring hundreds of pounds of art and building supplies to your art warehouse in Newark every day on the path train.

              • dml21357 days ago
                That’s fair, I guess I just don’t have much sympathy for that person as from my perspective, they were getting a massive subsidy for a long time, and we’re all better off if we cut off their gravy train. And I say this as a former artist myself — if they need the space, they can move to Brooklyn like the rest of us.
                • lokar6 days ago
                  I see where you’re coming from, but it does assume the American approach to basic housing as an investment opportunity vs a basic need the government should ensure is available and affordable.
            • josephcsible7 days ago
              Because on public transit, you're paying to use someone else's vehicle, and needing to cover the maintenance, depreciation, etc., of it, plus the driver's time. But with your own vehicle, those are all already your expenses, so it's double-dipping to charge you like that at all.
              • const_cast7 days ago
                But it's not double dipping, because the cost of infrastructure for motor vehicles is absurdly high - higher than even a lot of public transportation. Because individual vehicles are horribly inefficient, and require significantly more space per capita. Roads are not free, congestion is not free, pollution is not free. You're used to being subsidized, so when you're not it may seem unfair. But it's not.
                • josephcsible7 days ago
                  > You're used to being subsidized, so when you're not it may seem unfair.

                  It wouldn't be unfair if nobody were subsidized. It's unfair that just cars aren't anymore, but buses, etc. still are.

                  • const_cast7 days ago
                    Cars are still subsidized, just a little less. And public transit is absolutely subsidized, but in a similar position to cars - some of it is subsidized, and some of it you pay. It's not free to ride the bus. To me, it seems fair.
          • lokar7 days ago
            In such a dense and complex place it’s impossible to avoid at least some negative impacts, at least early on. Hopefully transit will improve.
          • ufmace7 days ago
            Why does this friend in particular deserve an exemption or reduced rate? Why don't they do something like take the trains into the nearest NJ suburb and leave their car at the parking lots there, which will probably be free or much cheaper, since they're doing the opposite of most commuters. Then they'd avoid this and all of the other tolls, most of which are much more expensive, and would probably be faster too.
            • mtalantikite4 days ago
              They're a visual artist that is often lugging around hundreds of pounds of supplies/fabricated materials/finished pieces/etc. If they just needed a laptop bag or something that'd be a different story, public transit would work for them. I think they're avoiding the tolls by just working until 2am or so every night.

              I only brought this up to agree that there are definitely working class people that live in the congestion zone and happen to need a car, and the extra $200-300/month does have a real impact on their lives. It would be nice to have taken them into account a bit more.

          • shipscode7 days ago
            Yep. The people who agree with congestion pricing either hate or ignore these people, along with the thousands of lower Manhattan small-business employees, subsidized housing residence that have cars or street park daily.

            I postulate it's because they don't actually live there, or just moved there, if they do actually live there, they'd have to be severely socially inept to never speak to a store or restaurant owner and ask what their commute is like.

            To act as though it affects nobody of moderate or lower income is downright dishonest, when 22% of Manhattan households own one - it's no longer an upper class activity, just a basic tool to get to work.

            • dml21357 days ago
              The subway is also a basic tool to get to work, which even more people use, and we charge a fare for that. So why not for driving?

              The point isn’t that it won’t negatively affect anybody of moderate or lower income, it’s that overall it will positively affect most people of moderate or lower income, because most of those people do not drive regularly into Manhattan.

        • lokar7 days ago
          17th and 6th av
          • lokar7 days ago
            I would (I’ve since moved) worry that less traffic would mean faster cars. As a pedestrian I did appreciate just how slowly cars normally move in Manhattan.
            • selectodude7 days ago
              Manhattan is blanketed in unmarked speed cameras.
    • maest7 days ago
      > vast majority can’t afford to own one.

      Why is that an issue?

      Public transportation and taxis are readily available.