20 pointsby rntn8 months ago1 comment
  • BLKNSLVR8 months ago
    For me the most interesting thing is the seeming rush to buy new cars before the tariffs cause significantly increased prices, where the interesting part will be whether new car sales absolutely crash in the next quarter or two.
    • danans8 months ago
      That would just be a demand shift. The bigger risk is whether people who might have otherwise bought a new car keep their current car because of recession and stagflation fears.
      • BLKNSLVR8 months ago
        Yes, what I didn't say clearly enough was: will the 5% uptick in Q1 be followed by a much more than 5% downtrend for Q2 onwards.

        We can but wait.

        • recursivecaveat8 months ago
          In economics they call them "durable goods". The demand is usually extra reactive to price changes because you can choose when to replace it in a wide band of time.
        • fzzzy8 months ago
          Plus the uptick will make the downtick numbers look even worse