315 pointsby rwmj7 hours ago31 comments
  • nmstoker6 hours ago
    It's good to see some serious arguments for WFH.

    Globally much of the pro-office camp's public position is driven by personal leanings of CEOs who genuinely seem to have made the decisions without evidence, often it's something they're very grumpy about (hardly the best state of mind for good judgement) and often based on the assumption that company productivity is based on workers doing what they do (usually far from the truth, workers in general don't have anything like the same composition of tasks that CEOs do).

    It's unfortunate to that it has divided into camps, as there are bound to be cases/roles/groupings of workers where one approach comes out better and others where it's worse. But very quickly everyone went pretty much for one-size fits all (with a few exceptions).

    • JoshTriplett5 hours ago
      > Globally much of the pro-office camp's public position is driven by personal leanings of CEOs who genuinely seem to have made the decisions without evidence

      In some cases, the pressure is also coming from external to the company, from cities and VCs and similar who care about the commercial real-estate value of now-abandoned offices.

      • gruez16 minutes ago
        >In some cases, the pressure is also coming from external to the company, from cities and VCs and similar who care about the commercial real-estate value of now-abandoned offices.

        That logic seems... questionable. Even if CRE firms are in VCs/investors' portfolios, it doesn't make sense to divert money from your SaaS companies to prop up your CRE firms. In the best case (ie. both sides are owned by you), such transfers are zero to slightly negative sum (from opportunity costs and costs associated with operating an office). In the typical case where you're renting from another CRE company, such transfers are definitely negative. It doesn't make sense to go spend your money to prop up the broader CRE market as a CRE investor, just like it doesn't make sense for you to go out to buy iPhones to prop up Apple shares as an Apple investor.

      • jnordwickan hour ago
        I'm going to need some data to prove this. I keep seeing this claim, but have not seen anything more than conjecture. There are just too many factors for this, and you would have to believe that a company is willing to throw away money for this to happen.
        • EasyMark13 minutes ago
          There are tons of articles out there about mayors/council members/ etc pressuring execs to get butts in office seats for the past few years. I don’t know if that counts as data to you or not, but they are relatively easy to find in a google search.
        • 15 minutes ago
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        • jagged-chiselan hour ago
          They already threw away the money by purchasing real estate and falling for the sunk cost fallacy.

          Or they’re on the hook for a lease for the next five years and it will cost more to break the lease.

          Companies waste money all the time. I don’t think it’s a stretch to think they did or would waste oodles of money on purchasing or leasing their offices.

          • appendix-rock43 minutes ago
            That’s not evidence. It’s as baseless as the other side’s arguments. You’ve just heard it on HN enough times and are parroting it. I assure you that there’s not a person on this website that hasn’t read essentially your exact comment 100 times. OP is saying that one nerd’s reckoning doesn’t constitute evidence.
      • mikeweissan hour ago
        I really don't think this is the case... I believe more than anything it's about the kind of personalities that make up people who are in charge of these decisions... Think about the types of people who are c-suite executives. They are likely people who prefer to be in an office setting.. at least most of the time. I don't think they like it very much coming into an office and seeing it mostly empty... Partly because it diminishes their perceived value as a leader and everything they've worked for but also because they truly believe people work better in person because that's what they've always done and continue to want to do.
        • mewpmewp2an hour ago
          I think that's actually plausible, because yeah, if I was to put myself in their shoes. If someone is looking for status, and people looking up to them, etc, it would make sense that they would get much less that sort of attention if everyone is working remotely. Getting that through the Zoom is not exactly what it would be in real life.
      • Terr_5 hours ago
        > real-estate value

        Separately but simultaneously, there are often local tax-benefits which depend on the company "creating jobs", and that's often defined in a way that means butts-in-offices downtown.

        • RiverCrochet2 minutes ago
          so how is that verified, does the local tax authority come in and visually verify the butts in seats?
        • notyourwork5 hours ago
          Ding ding ding … this is the most overlooked aspect of the RTO/WFH dynamic.
          • mvanbaak2 hours ago
            This might be the nr 1 reason.

            The hidden layoff round is also high on that list if you ask me. They call everyone back to the office, the people that dont want/cant will not adhere, and thus be fired without the companies having to pay severance.

            • notyourworkan hour ago
              Absolutely and no publicly traded company is going to admit it.
          • Terr_4 hours ago
            "RTO is definitely the play: the CEO says all his friends are doing it; activist-investors want RTO for their own porfolios, PR says breaking the lease on our newish HQ is embarrassing while Legal says it makes more work for them; Accounting says we'll pay more in tax unless we can prove X jobs created locally; our middle-managers need it in order to tell if work is happening, and HR notes that we can slim our workforce by prompting a lot of 'voluntary' departures! Seven key stakeholder groups."

            "But will the employees be happy, and will good ones stay?"

            "Seven to one, my friend. They're just grumbling like always."

            • cjbgkagh2 hours ago
              While all of that is true, I wonder how much of it is re-affirmation of a social hierarchy.

              From the bosses point of view RTO is a costly signal that demonstrates how much people want to work for them - signals must be costly in order to be effective. Promoting WFO as more productive and less costly destroys the signaling aspect. Perhaps workers could offer other costly signals - maybe regular arduous in person team building exercises that management can show their friends photos. I really can't think of many alternative socially acceptable costly signals that can be required from employees which is probably why RTO continues to remain so popular.

      • mewpmewp22 hours ago
        I keep seeing this being brought up, I haven't researched it too much, but it's a bit hard for me to believe that this could truly be the case, that there's such huge influence from commercial real estate owners on CEOs of much larger companies? What causes them to have such power over large companies?
        • an hour ago
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        • coliveiraan hour ago
          The pressure is not from smaller RE companies, is from the biggest banks who control the comercial debt and see the writing on the wall. The banking industry can exert indirect pressure on lots of tech investors. Similarly for politicians in large cities and states who can control the tax side of the equation.
          • gruez12 minutes ago
            > is from the biggest banks who control the comercial debt and see the writing on the wall.

            Okay but surely given all the pro-wfh people, you'd think at least someone would leak memos of banks pressuring lenders to institute RTO policies?

        • brandonmenc2 hours ago
          It's not like, a direct marching order.

          It's just a general attitude that has filtered around C suites or whatever. Go watch any daytime cable news investment shows and you'll see it.

          Just run of the mill cohort thinking. No big conspiracy.

          • gruez11 minutes ago
            >Go watch any daytime cable news investment shows and you'll see it.

            As in "we need to RTO to prop up commercial real estate" specifically, or something more general like "we need to RTO to increase collaboration" or whatever?

          • mewpmewp2an hour ago
            I'm not from the US, so I don't have direct sight into all of that. Luckily, I think there's many start ups and other companies who are valuing and all in on the remote work. I haven't felt the risk at my company to have a strong urge of getting people return to the office.
            • an hour ago
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      • kvmet5 hours ago
        Is this actually happening? I have seen this idea thrown out a lot online but it always feels like a conspiracy theory to me (akin to "fine art is a tax write-off")
        • azemetre4 hours ago
          This is the case for the city of Boston. The city derives the vast majority of its budget from commercial property taxes, it's why residential property taxes are so low in the city.

          Use to work for a company that was literally told by the city that if they don't have X amount of people in the building they will lose their tax incentives they got for having the company there. The company slowly mandated hybrid then RTO everyday in about 6 months. Got out 2 weeks before it was implemented. My coworkers were extremely jealous that I got a WFH job.

          Doubt Boston is alone in these propositions

          • kortilla3 hours ago
            Why would the city care about number of people in the office if they are deriving the money from commercial property taxes?
            • azemetre3 hours ago
              I don't understand the complete calculus but Boston is facing a $500mil shortfall and the mayor is increasing taxes to makeup the shortfall:

              https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report/boston-reside...

              I think part of the equation is that less people are going into the office so values of buildings are going down, less people in downtown the less money that goes to all the restaurants/shops/stores during the week.

              I can't speak for other cities since I don't live in them but Boston has never really recovered from the pandemic in terms of office workers.

            • mvanbaak2 hours ago
              - public transport - spending money in local stores - spending money on housing - spending money on local child care - etc etc etc
            • bongodongobob2 hours ago
              Why would the city care if no one is working downtown?
              • EasyMark9 minutes ago
                Because that’s what feeds local businesses especially shops and service oriented jobs. I’m not saying I care that happens because remote workers can do that closer to their home so it’s a net zero game, but not in the eyes of business owners downtown or the mayors of said downtowns.
              • graton2 hours ago
                People being downtown are people more likely to spend money downtown then someone who lives in the suburbs and doesn't come to downtown. Therefore more sales taxes collected, more businesses in downtown, etc...
              • coliveiraan hour ago
                It's not just downtown that matters, it is the total population living in the city. People working from home will live away from Boston or other major cities. If they need to work in a downtown office the same people will be forced to live in Boston or close by.
              • insane_dreamer2 hours ago
                Ends up destroying downtown (downward spiral)
        • finnh5 hours ago
          I think it explains some of Amazon's choices, as they made multibillion dollar bets on office space and real estate in Seattle.
          • coliveiraan hour ago
            Yes, Amazon needs people to fill their expensive offices in Seattle, or otherwise explain to investors that they wasted billions of dollars building new offices that were used less than 5 years.
        • longnt805 hours ago
          feel like that to me too

          I bet there are some incentives in there but it's not the whole picture. It's probably the combination of many things but mostly management that don't know how to manage people remotely, or they started to realise that most middle manager positions are obsolete/unnecessary.

        • JoshTriplett5 hours ago
          The conspiracy theory version is that it's the sole cause, rather than one of many causes.
    • j452 hours ago
      The issue seems to be less about wfh or not.

      It’s just how well does a company culture support distributed work (many locations) or not.

    • datavirtue6 hours ago
      We simply are not going back, period. They are fighting the trend. Ask your analysis team and marketing about what happens to people that fight the trend.
      • A4ET8a8uTh04 hours ago
        If I am called back, I will come in, but only for as long as it takes me to move onto something else. It really is that simple.

        On the other hand, executives are clearly banking on a good old-fashioned recession to rein in the unruly and ungrateful employees.

    • lowbloodsugar5 hours ago
      [flagged]
      • notyourwork5 hours ago
        I don’t follow the male, female, disabled person argument at all.
        • lowbloodsugar2 hours ago
          The canonical example would be it's hard to have a serendipitous conversation with your male colleagues in the mens restroom if you're female.

          That's the obvious one. Then we get to styles of conversation and engagement. I've had to defend promotions for female engineers from criticism based entirely on their communication. "She is not assertive enough." Ok, is she highly effective at her job? Yes. Ok, then what the fuck are we talking about?

          And always what we're talking about is men communicate a certain way, and women don't, and the men don't want to have to change.

          To answer the disabled question, there was a flight of stairs at the office, and the meeting would end and people would just head up the stairs. Except the dude in the wheelchair. I'm autistic and I have light sensitivity, and after a meeting in a nice bright window office, I am exhausted and don't want to engage in social rituals.

          My point is that the examples that tech leaders give as the reason to go back to the office are simply male social rituals, held up as "how we have good ideas and develop new hires". They're not. They are all managers performing post-hoc rationalization theater And if those were the goals, they'd figure out an effective way to meet them that's better than "chatting to john while taking a leak".

          And the most galling thing is that every single one of my most impactful career moments didn't involve having a serendipitous conversation. It involved researching things I was interested in.

          I am for nerds and against tech-bros.

          • notyourworkan hour ago
            I’m sorry but rude people exist everywhere and it’s not a tech thing. I’ve been in big tech for over a decade and I don’t have conversations in the bathroom. If you think WFH reduces these bro-relationships, you are being naive and they just become less accessible.
  • throwaway9182995 hours ago
    I am literally at least 10x when I work from home.

    I have ADHD and through years of discipline, cultivating my workspace to suit my needs, and hard work I can be productive most of the day in the zone without (much) sidetracking.

    Literally impossible for me to do in the modern software dev sweatshop.

    I also make more money, can spend more time with my family because I don’t commute, and plenty of other positives.

    I love the work, I enjoy working with my colleagues and I can set my own boundaries by setting office hours and scheduling meetings. There is very rarely anything that derails my day anymore. Everything is much better documented because everything must live in confluence or Jira or it doesn’t exist. The company saves tons of money on real estate.

    If you can change your processes and workflow to take advantage of tools that suit remote work, it’s superior in basically every way.

    Pry it from my cold dead hands.

    • hirvi742 hours ago
      I am the exact same way.

      I tend to be more on the hyperactive side, and I am far less distracted when I work from home sheerly because there are not others for me to go talk to.

      I also have noticed that I tend to suffer from less mental fatigue in general when working from home. The only issue with working form home is that I tend to work longer. I might hyperfocus and pull at 12 hour day or something, but I try not to do this.

    • ahimthedream2 hours ago
      You are the anomaly, not the norm. WFH takes discipline, work ethic and honestly the ability to manage a work life balance. Doing this is hard, like you said.

      Problem is most people aren’t disciplined:)

      • AndrewDavis2 hours ago
        I'm substantially more productive at home. Not for any single reason, but as a result of small things coming together, for example.

        More sleep. I can set my alarm 15 minutes before I start work instead of an hour and a half. So I'm more refreshed.

        Commuting is mentally draining.

        I get sick less. Less often as a sardine in a tin can. More sleep probably helps too.

        Less distractions. There's just me in my home office room, at work there are 3 other people right next to me and a dozen within ear shot.

        I get home stuff done during work breaks. When I step away from my desk at work I do so because I need a break from what I'm doing, not a break from everything. But there's nothing else to do at work so I sit and do nothing. At home i: - unload the dishwasher - walk to the shops to buy items for dinner - sit in the park

        And I find doing those things more refreshing than sitting in the break room staring into space, or walking through the city in the noise of cars everywhere.

        So when I step back to my desk, at home I'm more refreshed ready to get back into it.

        This also means when I finish work for the day, in office it's another hour or so to get home and then do chores. Vs at home I finish work and I can go for a walk in the park because I've done my chores already.

        So I'm happier and less stressed. Which leads to less fatigue and burn out. So I'm ready to go again the next day.

      • heyonian hour ago
        Every system in place for measuring output and bringing transparency to work done by office workers/software developers finally make sense in the context of working from home.

        Either your tickets get done or you have a really good explanation for why they haven't but because you dug into the problem are able to display deep knowledge of the problem.

        Discipline has nothing to do with this. Your work will have expectations and deadlines and they will either be met or another human being will grade you with an F. Whatever human trait causes people to do work under those circumstances might be shame, fear, social pressure manifesting itself as work output, I can say for certain it isn't discipline.

      • hirvi742 hours ago
        > WFH takes discipline

        That is bizarre to me. I find the office takes far more discipline. Do people really get that distracted at home? What is so distracting?

        • tiborsaas21 minutes ago
          Office is an external discipline forced on you while WFH is an internal discipline no one watching over your shoulders, that's the difference.

          For an undisciplined person anything can be distracting: birds chirping, picking up a delivery, cooking, a friend dropping by, daily chores like washing, organizing things, etc... it's an endless list really.

        • dgunayan hour ago
          I don't have too much of a problem with it but there are some obstacles depending on your home life.

          My wife is hybrid, and on the days she's working from home I have to be firm about boundaries or I'll get significantly less done than on the days where it's just me. If you have kids, or live with your parents, I imagine it presents similar challenges. My sister moved back in with my father in 2020 due to the pandemic, and he was bizarrely disruptive to her work despite _also_ being remote. I'm not saying offices don't have this problem too (many such stories of loud and obnoxious coworkers), but it can be harder to have these conversations with loved ones.

          Lots of people live in distracting, annoying places. If I open my window, I will hear some idiot gun it off the line in their straight-piped car from the stoplight near my apartment, several times an hour. There is a constant din of tire noise from the nearby freeway. The firemen at the station down the block do their thing every now and then. If I close my window, it regularly reaches 78F+ in my apartment. I have been battling property management to fix my A/C for months now, and every HVAC technician they send does nothing to fix the problem. My old neighbors used to play shitty music during the day.

          Especially in HCOL places with mega-offices where these RTO mandates often stem from, sometimes it really is just easier to work in an air-conditioned office where you can get free coffee, snacks, and maybe some quiet if you're lucky or can slink away to an unused meeting room.

          I 100% agree with you though that, at least for me, the discipline of getting up early in the morning, being well groomed and presentable, and battling traffic both ways is greater for me than taking steps to make myself comfortable and productive at home.

        • Foobar8568an hour ago
          I have discipline problems but when I am on site, my days are more filled with bullshit, e.g. random conversation over projects that lead nowhere, background conversations on unrelated topics, explaining stuff that aren't worth it, coffee breaks etc.

          So while I believe it helps in term of team cohesion and for this purpose, on site is better, in term of productiveness it's a net negative.

      • Spivakan hour ago
        I'm not disciplined at all when it comes to my work and I'm still massively more productive at home. What are you talking about?

        Having non-work activities that are fulfilling like cooking/cleaning to break up the work to get out of the rut of brain-fry is so nice. Having non-work non-screen things to at work is so necessary.

    • mewpmewp22 hours ago
      Yeah, at present I can't even imagine going back to the office. It feels almost crazy to me to go back to work in the office. Such a waste of time and efficiency.

      Wasting time on looking proper, having to do everything at certain time, spending arbitrary hours at work even if there's nothing productive left to do, I would feel guilty leaving early so I just waste time in the office etc. At home I never have to "pretend work".

      Weird how Covid overall worked out so very well for me. I wonder where I'd be without it. Of course it wasn't a positive event on the whole, but I can't lie that there weren't any positives.

  • THENATHEan hour ago
    I love work from home, but I can’t help but feel like its only real benefit is removing a lot of the overhead from jobs that are already considered overhead. Agree with this next part or not, it isn’t really debatable: to the average person (which we aren’t), basically anything that can be done on a computer from home is overhead.

    Coding in the office? Takes up a lot of office space and commute time and energy.

    Finance department? Takes up a lot of office space and commute time and energy.

    Basically anything HR related? Takes up a lot of office space and commute time and energy.

    Middle managers? Takes up a lot of office space and commute time and energy.

    Graphics designers and the like? Takes up a lot of office space and commute time and energy.

    Basically every job that has been moved to WFH should have been that way since computers became widespread, and it is essentially a problem that they weren’t WFH already. If it can be done entirely on a computer, it should be done from home. Leave the office space for housing and jobs that can’t be done from the comfort of one’s underwear.

    • iamthemonster16 minutes ago
      I'm an engineer in the process industries (oil/gas) and we are constantly collaborating and running stuff by other engineering disciplines with different knowledge to us, and coordinating with management, logistics, maintenance, operations, commercial and contractors. Isn't there a similarly high level of interdisciplinary communication involved in coding? How do you keep up the quality of communication?

      (in my industry in Western Australia we essentially never did work from home because we were Covid-free)

      • fy207 minutes ago
        There is, but remote-first companies have learnt the skills to communicate this effectively without requiring members to be face-to-face or require hours of meetings.

        That's what I see causes the biggest push-back against WFH: upper management who don't know how to communicate without being in-person, so they assume WFH is bad.

  • jnordwickan hour ago
    The title of the article doesn't match the rest. Productivity is getting more from the same inputs, not getting more with more inputs.

    First, there is very little data and just a couple conjectures thrown around. There isn't much substantive evidence of what it claims.

    Second, even if people aren't commuting, it just assumes people work the same hours, but many people are probably working longer hours so you can't tell the impact on WFH on productivity.

    Third, it doesn't look at outputs at all, especially the output of the company. While some (or even all) individuals might produce more, the group as a whole will have less communication and each employee might have less context of what else is going on in the company, so much of their contribution might not align as well with company objectives. Management of all the individuals would be more difficult and the company would be less of a team. This would support the idea that the increased productivity is only available to well managed groups. I think this sounds much more likely.

    Fourth, much of the increase explained is from widening the labor pool. It explicitly mentions those with disabilities, stay at home mothers, and larger geographical inclusion. This isn't increasing productivity, just increasing the labor input.

    This is more an opinion piece with some hand waving than actual proof

    • dangerlibrary37 minutes ago
      > This is more an opinion piece with some hand waving than actual proof

      Pot, meet kettle. Kettle, this is pot.

  • itohihiyt2 hours ago
    I currently work somewhere where I can't WFH. And as a counterpoint to pretty much everyone here I prefer it. My last role I was able to WFH.

    Reasons I prefer going into the office:

    - when work is done, I leave, and it's done.

    - not using my resources (electricity / broadband / etc) for work.

    - easier interaction with colleagues.

    I liked it at the start, and liked the flexibility, but after a while hated that my home was also my workplace. I also found it was too easy to do unpaid overtime from home. After a while my productivity fell.

    Caveat is I live within cycle distance to work. I hate commuting too, and wouldn't do more than 30 minutes.

    • seadan83an hour ago
      > when work is done, I leave, and it's done

      This might speak to the whip I have worked under, rarely has this been the case for me. Just demanding jobs with too much to do. Office is where you go in super early (or WFH super early) to focus for two hours, then office to do a bunch of meetings and unfocused work, and then home is where you get to pick back up for the real work. One gig, I'd call in wfh simply because I was working before commuting and got too carried away (ie: late) for it to actually be worth going in.

      I very much agree with the potential drawbacks. Not having a twice daily 40 minute bike ride was a very major adjustment.

    • erik_seabergan hour ago
      > when work is done, I leave, and it's done.

      To quote Dilbert:

      > Now let me get this straight. The time I spend in the shower actually thinking about solving problems is not "work." The time I spend at the office attending meaningless meetings is "work."

      • mgfist44 minutes ago
        It's a mental separation kind of thing. When I've had jobs where I work at an office, I am able to mentally leave work at work. When I've worked from home, I struggle to do that and end up thinking about work when showering or doing dishes.
        • erik_seaberg10 minutes ago
          As a salaried long-term IC, I can't say anything constructive.
    • BadHumans2 hours ago
      I'm not trying to tell you that liking the office is wrong but most of what you said here applies to WFH. When I finish working, my laptop gets put in a bag and not taken out until I start working again and colleague interaction while remote is going to vary based on how your invested your company is in remote work. As far as your home being your workplace, you could always rent a cheap office to work from. The co-working space around me offers private offices for a few hundred a month.
      • itohihiytan hour ago
        Hang on, why would I rent office space, to WFH? I don't mean to be blunt but I this seems ridiculous.

        > I'm not trying to tell you that liking the office is wrong but most of what you said here applies to WFH.

        I'm not saying WFH didn't work for me so is doesn't work for everyone. For me though as soon as the novelty wore off I found it a bad experience. Certainly for me none of it applied.

        If it works for you I'm happy for you. For me I like that clear separation where it's not easy to slip into working beyond your time.

        • BadHumansan hour ago
          > Hang on, why would I rent office space, to WFH? I don't mean to be blunt but I this seems ridiculous.

          >If it works for you I'm happy for you. For me I like that clear separation where it's not easy to slip into working beyond your time.

          You answered your own question. The article is using work from home as a catchall term for remote work but not everyone who works from home wants to literally work from home. Some companies will even reimburse you if you want to get a membership at a co-working space.

          • itohihiytan hour ago
            If I did I can't see it.

            You'll have to forgive my ignorance for assuming we were talking WFH instead of remote working. I got confused when it stated work from home instead of remote working.

            Either way "some companies" ain't mine, and I'm not being out of pocket for work.

            • dublinbena minute ago
              >and I'm not being out of pocket for work.

              Are you paid for the time spent commuting? Are your transportation expenses fully reimbursed?

  • ChrisMarshallNY6 hours ago
    > is highly dependent on how well it’s managed.

    That's the kicker, right there.

    I am kind of in despair, at the quality of tech managers; especially "first line" managers, these days.

    • sevensor6 hours ago
      I see an absolutely shocking number of managers promoted from the IC ranks, who not only have no preparation for management, but no experience at any other company.
      • ChrisMarshallNY6 hours ago
        In the (US) military, the sergeants run the army. NCOs are highly-trained, and have been the secret of managing battlefield chaos, for generations.

        They don't do strategy, but they do tactics, like nobody's business, and are often highly valuable input into development of strategies. They are given tremendous agency, and are highly trained. The military does a great job of training and retaining highly-experienced, and highly-skilled NCOs.

        First-line managers have a similar role, but they are treated like garbage by their superiors, and consider their position a "necessary evil," towards higher ranks. They don't like their jobs, and want to get out, as quickly as possible.

        In unions, foremen are often quite happy with their roles, and don't really want to go beyond (they wouldn't mind more perks and pay, but they like their jobs).

        Like bad tech career ladders, the manager career ladders are also pretty terrible.

        • ryandrake6 hours ago
          > First-line managers have a similar role, but they are treated like garbage by their superiors, and consider their position a "necessary evil," towards higher ranks.

          This is because most companies don't have a promotion track above "Senior Software Engineer" that doesn't involve people-management, which is an entirely different job. It's as if you ran a restaurant and in order for your highest rated chef to get promoted, he had to learn how to make kitchen cabinets. You'd have a bunch of people who loved cooking but had to build cabinets instead because that's the only way their career could grow.

          And even at the BigTech companies who claim to have "parallel" technical promotion tracks that don't involve people management, it's often not truly parallel. If you work in one of these companies, count how many Directors and VPs are in your company, and then compare it to how many technical people there are at equivalent levels who are not managing people. I bet there are at least 10x as many Directors and VPs if not 100x than super-senior-staff-ultra-mega Engineers.

          • lokar5 hours ago
            When I did a check in about 2018, almost all (like, all but 2-3) of the Distinguished engineers at Google were actually Sr Directors with vanity titles (DE was considered better then Sr Dir). Most 50+ person orgs with multiple managers working under them.
          • ip265 hours ago
            Counter argument: if we accept the military example as doing leadership/management well, you can say the same about their career track. Far as I can tell, there’s no “IC” track above Corporal, which has an average age of 21yo.
            • lokar5 hours ago
              IMO the bigger difference is there is no direct path from NCO to officer. If you are enlisted and you want to be an officer, there is no standard path for that, no promotion from NCO to office. And officers never serve as enlisted solders. Fighting and leading are two different jobs, done by different groups of people

              I sometimes wonder if the police would be better off with that model.

              • coredog645 hours ago
                Enlisted =>college (via GI Bill) => ROTC/OCS
                • lokar5 hours ago
                  Yeah, exactly, there is a path, but it sort of involves quitting the army
                  • Clubber2 hours ago
                    I believe most contracts are 4 years active, 4 years reserves, so you can easily get a degree in the 2nd 4 years without leaving the military.
            • dugmartin2 hours ago
              I believe this was the reason the warrant officer rank was created.
            • master_crab2 hours ago
              Not really. Command Sergeant Majors technically dont lead anyone. They are just advisors. Plenty of other senior NCO positions in the army are just staff advisors as well.

              Granted, to rise up the ranks in the NCO corps ultimately requires holding leadership positions, but it’s kinda ironic that the most senior NCOs are really just advisors.

          • nine_zeros6 hours ago
            > And even at the BigTech companies who claim to have "parallel" technical promotion tracks that don't involve people management,

            And the promotion to upper technical levels involves - once again - larger influence over people as opposed to technical growth.

            • ants_everywhere25 minutes ago
              It seems reasonable that eventually it's easier to parallelize instead of having a single unit just do more stuff.
            • gradstudent5 hours ago
              In my experience, there is not much technical growth as you go upward because there's not that much need for technical depth. What most companies need is armies of low and intermediate programmers churning out various kinds of CRUD apps. There's a bit of scope to be a "senior" grunt, and there may even be some very small number of "architects" above that but generally what's needed is people to manage the grunts and senior grunts.

              Further technical growth requires something like a PhD, and even then, that just makes you a grunt on a new (=academic) ladder, which has the same structure as before.

          • User235 hours ago
            Now I know little about kitchens, but I’m under the impression that the entry level job is pretty much just following instructions, chopping things up, etc. And as you rise from there, yes you get responsibility for those beneath you doing their jobs. The sous chef is responsible for seeing that whatever you call the choppers are doing their job, and the head chef is basically boss of the kitchen (and often also an owner).

            Viewing “people management” as some kind of job is an org smell. Every job involves working with and coordinating with other people. The difference is fundamentally one of relative authority.

            Thanks to Conway’s law, among other reasons, even a “non-technical” CEO is acting in at least some kind of an engineering capacity.

      • alphazard6 hours ago
        You are describing the best kind of manager for two reasons:

        1. They understand what their reports do, can mentor the less experienced ones, and are a competent peer to the more experienced ones, rather than an obstacle.

        2. If they turn out to be bad managers, there is a low stakes, no hard feelings, path for them to go back to being an IC. There is a huge aversion to firing people, so bad managers who can't do anything else tend to stay around creating problems much longer than bad managers who can also contribute.

        Your presentation of "experience" and "preparation" as the most important things for a manager is typical gatekeeping that we see from the bureaucratic class--parasites without any real skills.

        • sevensoran hour ago
          Strange that you’d say that. What I’ve seen is that promoting homegrown ICs to line management is a favored strategy of nontechnical MBAs in upper management. Any large organization is bureaucratic. Given the intensely bureaucratic record of communist governments, your invocation of Marxist rhetoric here is frankly laughable.

          What promoting inexperienced managers from within does is place them at a tremendous informational disadvantage. Never having worked anywhere else, they don’t understand the coded language of bureaucracy and they have no perspective on what constitutes normal behavior. This gives the MBA latitude to abuse them as pawns in organizational power games they don’t understand, until they either burn out or wise up.

      • whatshisface6 hours ago
        There is no guaranteed way to create managers from scratch, business specialists don't understand the technical facts well enough to resolve the kinds of disputes that arise at the project manager level, and as you observe ICs are not always inclined to make other people's work their primary concern.
        • datavirtue6 hours ago
          It's an outdated arrangement. All you need are respected VPs that know their area and foster collaboration toward ideal technical/operationl goals in line with the business objectives. If your approach is invoking fear and exhibiting aggression to drive outcomes you have already lost half of the productivity battle. Jaime Daimon is the new Jack Welch. Too busy looking good and laying down the law to focus on innovation.
          • 6 hours ago
            undefined
      • JoshTriplett5 hours ago
        I've encountered both good and bad managers who were promoted from individual contributors. A key difference is whether they wanted to be in management, or whether they found themselves forced into management because there wasn't a good technical leadership ladder or a good opportunity to climb it.
      • jackcosgrove3 hours ago
        That's inevitable given how quickly the ranks of software workers have grown in the past 20 years.
      • torginus5 hours ago
        I wonder, what do you see as a desirable alternative?
    • THENATHEan hour ago
      My boss recently sent me from 5 days in office to 3, and on those two days WFH I get basically nothing done. Not because I don’t try, but my position in a small company is structured in such a way that I essentially work with my boss as her right hand, so if she isn’t there to guide me or give me tasks I essentially don’t work.

      I am not sure if that is a failing of her management, the job we are doing, or the industry we are in, but the lack of being able to bug her about things is essentially cutting into my bottom line.

      • winwang14 minutes ago
        Typically WFH would expect you (or your boss) to have availability similar to being in person, though?
    • eikenberry5 hours ago
      This is just as true in office. A bad manager is a bad manager no matter where they manage.
  • l33tbro5 hours ago
    I despair a little at this. If I can do my job at home, then surely somebody can do it in the global south in tandem with AI for peanuts. Client-facing stuff gets centralised to a smaller team of specialists, and the ship gets much tighter.

    How long until megacorps and SMEs actually execute this reality? The management class and their unnecessary underlings like me have only been so resilient because companies are still on the last days of this post-covid efficiency wave, coupled with the buffer of capital from the money that was created in the last few years.

    I'm usually not a doomer, but it's hard to see a way around the next downturn not creating irreversible culture change through AI offshoring and mass layoffs.

    • ggm5 hours ago
      There are latent questions in your response. The fear is justified but equally, viewed from a distance, what is the "worth" of your price point, if the same job can be done and lift somebody out of poverty in the developing world?

      I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm asking what an economist or social historian might say, much as if a Lancashire cotton worker asked if his job was disappearing into cotton factories in Bangladesh.

      I share your fears btw. I'm just less sure I "deserve" the pay for my disappearing role(s)

      • THENATHEan hour ago
        In the modern sense, this is very much a “I don’t want to do labor” issue. If all of the WFH jobs get sent overseas, the only thing left to do here is stuff that cannot be done on a computer from home, like construction, fabrication, forestry, food service, etc to name a few. A lot of us coder/designer/techy types are somewhat privileged in the idea that we can get paid a reasonable to high wage for doing something that is physically non-demanding and essentially only commands its price tag because of schooling and brainpower.

        I can imagine a lot of us are going to get very angry if we suddenly have to haul Sheetrock for a living.

      • l33tbro5 hours ago
        Completely agree. And it is funny how we put so much emphasis on developing our skills and abilities, when really our actual value is always determined by the market.

        I'm personally at peace with that, and would have a pretty hard time arguing against the logic of off-shoring my job. However, it's also rational to want to hold onto a favourable environmental niche for as long as possible!

        • sjsisibdjcj4 hours ago
          How has western society completely forgotten the point of a country? It is not the to create the most efficient economical configuration for routing wealth from the masses to the capital holders. Your value is not determined by the market, and those who tell you it is are only looking to exploit you.

          There are people out there who haven’t succumbed to the nihilistic poison of modern liberalism, though the people in power have run a very successful propaganda campaign to convince you they’re evil (and I’m absolutely not talking about staple green cards to diplomas trump).

          • wsintra20224 hours ago
            Can you explain this comment again? It intrigued me but I haven’t the foggiest what you are hinting at.
    • master_crab2 hours ago
      Bingo! (Mostly, the AI stuff is a bit overblown)

      This is already happening by large margins. Companies hiring contractors in India or Brazil to do the work that a full time employee used to do.

      If WFH can be done in Arizona, it can be done just as easily in Colombia for half the price.

    • hu35 hours ago
      I think you're onto something.

      Even Indians are losing their IT jobs to Vietnamese. [1]

      The squeeze is real.

      Good time to start a business I guess.

      [1] https://www.reddit.com/r/developersIndia/comments/1eckee9/oh...

    • bvirb4 hours ago
      > Going from 10 to 10,000 qualified candidates for a position allows a far more productive match

      Yeah going from 10 to 10k qualified candidates means wages go down. As companies get better and better at WFH the pool gets bigger and bigger.

      Personally I think some industries will go this way and others will go RTO, depending on how competitive they are (especially around R&D). Wages for relocation/RTO will end up rising.

      On the flip side: I've heard people saying software is going to be offshored and has no future at least since the 90s dot-com bust, they were still saying it in the 2000s when I was in school, so I'm skeptical that the growth of WFH will overcome all the barriers to global hiring.

      Ultimately I think WFH wages will go down/stagnate (of course w/ higher quality of life for many) and companies that want it will have to pay significantly more for someone willing to RTO.

      I also think it only takes one unicorn to say "we did it by having everyone RTO!" to flip everything back around.

    • JTyQZSnP3cQGa8Ban hour ago
      I don’t understand this argument. It was called “outsourcing” 20 years ago when there was no AI.
    • perryizgr831 minutes ago
      > If I can do my job at home, then surely somebody can do it in the global south in tandem with AI for peanuts.

      This argument can be made for in-office work too. Offices in the "global south" are much cheaper to operate than in the first world. If the work involves interacting with computers connected via the internet, it can be done from any office.

    • tolerance5 hours ago
      This was the perspective I was looking for to respond to my innate suspicions caused by the source of this post. Who are they signaling toward?
    • buildfocus4 hours ago
      Offshoring & distribution of remote work may be bad for you but very very good for humanity.

      There will still be local opportunities and huge benefits of being in the first world due to better education and networks. Those benefits will be diluted by remote work/offshoring increasing, and others will benefit due to that.

      Probably the increased productivity itself will boost everything for everybody (better matches of employees & employers = higher productivity & cheaper products everywhere... eventually) but in times of change it can be rough in the short term if your income depended on a tightly protected market and the protection just disappeared.

    • Clubber2 hours ago
      >If I can do my job at home, then surely somebody can do it in the global south in tandem with AI for peanuts.

      >How long until megacorps and SMEs actually execute this reality?

      You don't have to wait long, it happened around 20-25 years ago.

      • erik_seaberg13 minutes ago
        They tried remote body shops, which was a disaster (we had "tested deliverables" that didn't compile). This time there seems to be more emphasis on opening your own remote office and hiring the strong candidates there.
    • tikhonj5 hours ago
      I mean, if you can do your job in-office, then surely somebody in the global can do it in their office? Or what if somebody could do your job in a branch office rather than in HQ?

      Is your only differentiation really just being able to physically interact with management?

    • 4 hours ago
      undefined
    • beaconify5 hours ago
      Hope for new job roles. A race to automate all the things needs a lot of human effort!

      As for location... yeah shit may change. But hey at least we give poor countries a fishing rod not a fish. They get richer and you could always go live in cambodia. Digital nomad becomes something normal people do. Not travelling is for the rich!

  • theendisney413 minutes ago
    I think we have to go from the factory village to the village factory and start designing/building houses to work from.

    Examples excluded on purpose. :)

  • atomicnumber36 hours ago
    Now we'll get to see which is more powerful: the invisible hand of the free markets, or the human tendency of power to accrete with autocrats, who seem to struggle immensely with the idea of letting people have the freedom to control their work environment and hours.
    • scottyah6 hours ago
      It'll be determined by who can effectively train the next generations of employees.
      • datavirtue6 hours ago
        If that's what the market wants.
    • tomrod6 hours ago
      I hope for WFH or hybrid to win the day.
    • A4ET8a8uTh04 hours ago
      Honestly, that I can't find that bet on polymarket is beyond me.
      • maxbond2 hours ago
        How would that contract resolve? Who may authoritatively declare a winner?
  • WheelsAtLarge5 hours ago
    This paper is the first one I've read that outlines a pretty good case as to why WFH is beneficial to both workers and society. I encourage everyone to share it with others.

    WFH productivity is a matter of management. Pre-covid my company tried it and found that productivity declined. Also, the managers found it hard to trust that some of the workers were working and not doing other things.

    Working at the office has its drawbacks too. As a developer, the worst one for me was working in an open area. It's extremely hard to concentrate without having to function like a hermit and alienating fellow workers.

    I think some of that is still the case, but if managers define realistic expectations, I don't see why WFH can't continue to work. It's more work for management at the start but in time, as management and workers get accustomed, it will work out.

    It seems to be a win for employees and companies.

  • roland353 hours ago
    Number one benefit to companies to allow WFH: they can pay me a senior level pay for staff level seniority, and I still come out ahead living in the Midwest versus moving to SF or NYC.
    • SunlitCat3 hours ago
      Aren't there some companies that consider this (where the employee lives) when calculating their salaries?
      • hotspot_one3 hours ago
        I see this alot. Has always struck me as very unfair.
        • mvanbaak2 hours ago
          it is unfair, but it's very common.

          also, we are very hypocritical about it. When it is about india etc, we (us and western europe) think it's normal to pay less, but when it's about different regions within our own countries, we think it's unfair.

          In an ideal world, we would pay everyone based on role and output, but this is not how the world economy works at the moment. Dont ask me to explain, because I also dont know all the details, but it is reality

        • lolinder2 hours ago
          I'm in a company that doesn't do this—everyone gets paid the same amount, which is way above average for most of the country—and some of the Californians are actively lobbying for location-based pay.

          I don't think they realize that they're actually lobbying for most of the company to get a pay cut so they can get a greater percentage of the total salary budget, but that's what it would amount to if they got their way.

          • 24 minutes ago
            undefined
          • erik_seaberg21 minutes ago
            They expect you to compete with nearby employers. If not, you should hire from less active markets and probably go more remote.
            • lolinder10 minutes ago
              The company is fully remote and only a tiny fraction of us live in CA. Most are distributed throughout the lower-density regions of the country and are very happy with our pay rates.
      • mvanbaak2 hours ago
        most are
  • dboreham39 minutes ago
    I've been much more productive working at home since the 1980s, when we had to use a dolly to take the computer and CRT monitor out the office to the trunk of the car, home for a few days to get some peace to focus.
  • hu35 hours ago
    I love working from home and I plan to keep doing it.

    But I can't deny that when a coworker needs help, rolling my chair next to theirs in office allows for a much larger bandwidth of knowledge sharing.

    On the other hand my production skyrockets at home.

    • witx4 hours ago
      How is that different from just making a call? It's much faster and you can both be looking at your respective screens with the same information
    • rumblefrog2 hours ago
      My experience aligns with this as well. I work hybrid, and if a coworker needs help, I would go to the office rather than staying home & online.

      There's something about the lack of cues that makes online conversations' flow more challenging and harder to read. In person, Visual cues like body language & facial expression helps signal when someone is about to speak, and that helps me tremendously.

    • beaconify5 hours ago
      I am not sure. Remote working allows you to instantly pair with someone. No shuffling keyboards. There are a lot of software tools that help. Things like Loom let you async stuff.

      What isn't is as good is social connection. I have not seen going out to a restaurant emulated well remotely.

      • tomjakubowski5 hours ago
        Zoom's latency is a killer. It is still harder to have the kind of natural back and forth conversation I'm used to having in meatspace pairing. Maybe I should try Discord.
        • waveBidder3 hours ago
          maybe I'm just super used to it at this point but I don't really notice any friction in 1-1's. larger groups there's some (4+), but tbh it's not that much worse than the friction of that size in person
        • beaconify2 hours ago
          Havent noticed that even on international calls. But it might depend on the type of convo. Latency for talk seemed a problem last in the 2010s skype era. Latency in what is shown on a screenshare.... yeah! A problem.
          • hparadiza few seconds ago
            Maybe it's because I have fiber at home with Wifi6 but I never experience this lag.
    • mettamage2 hours ago
      I've found that Tuple and (if people are okay with it) screen recording makes me more productive from getting knowledge transfers at home. Whenever the CTO would go on a tangent, that tangent was recorded. I'd rewatch those recordings and learn a lot more than if I'd had just been sitting next to him IRL.
    • schwartzworld4 hours ago
      One on one knowledge sharing is the worst kind though. I can’t search through your verbal conversations.
      • azemetre4 hours ago
        That's fair but there's something to be said of physically being around someone constantly and learning off of each other. It's how I learned vim, it's how I learned about neovim, it's how I learned about the majority of command line tools I use everyday.

        That being said, I do WFH and cherish the job for allowing me so but I wouldn't have a problem going into an office if it was a 30 minute walk from where I live. I feel like most people hate their commutes than working in an office.

        If we could all be a 10 minute walk from the office, would more people work in them? I'd think yes, absolutely yes.

  • purple-leafy6 hours ago
    Work from home makes me LOYAL to a company, and makes me work my arse off! If you want to keep good employees, give them agency.

    I do hybrid, I’m half-half from home and in the office. I work so hard when I work from home, and I’m so happy when I work from home, my desk is setup how I need, I get free coffee, I can listen to music, my dog sleeps on the bed. Most importantly, more of the work gets done.

    I think the option to go into the office (on your own accord) is important. The main pro of the office is I can talk to team-mates and do learning sessions with them (the juniors).

    But I do these as well from home every day too.

    Unfortunately my work place is putting in place a 4 day in the office mandate, like we are children. All it does is make me want to look for jobs that respect employee agency.

    • swatcoder5 hours ago
      Yes, as a well-paid, introverted, technical contributor who is internally motivated by their craft, with the luxury to afford good working space and at a moment in one's life where home haunts feel secure and supportive, you can't beat it. Like any tradesman in history keeping up their own shop, it's really quite empowering. I've been doing it for pretty much all of a very long career.

      But it's worth keeping in mind that there are a lot of implied constraints there, and that the industries that drive the society we live in often rely on making the best of people who can't meet all those constraints.

      There are people whose jobs need them work with other people dynamically, extroverts who need to be around others with a common aim to thrive, people with compensation to meager to carve out an effective home office, people who need on-site facilities, people with chaotic or draining home lives, etc

      It's very easy to talk about why remote work can be extremely rewarding for some, but the big picture of a business or an industry needs to balance a whole bunch of other concerns -- some intrinsic and some simply inertial.

      It's just not a single, simple topic where we can project our own experience as if it was universal.

      • purple-leafy5 hours ago
        That’s fair, it’s definitely not as clear cut as some make it.

        Anecdotally my team juggles all this well - we are relatively shielded from the rest of the business as our own unit.

        Within our team or 15, we have introverts, extroverts - and some work from home alot (me etc) and others come into the office.

        But no one in the team, not even the leaders think the RTO is the right call.

        I’m lucky our team leads are intelligent to form their own opinions, and they are happy with having it both ways - it works for us

        • brailsafe4 hours ago
          > I’m lucky our team leads are intelligent to form their own opinions, and they are happy with having it both ways - it works for us

          Absolutely wild that you seem to have been downvoted for essentially just saying that you like working with people who thrive because you give them agency and that nobody's happy about being treated like children.

          Doing the opposite—micromanaging people—is how you create distrust and poison your productivity.

          When I got my first corporate dev job, everyone thought it was weird that I kept desperately looking for my own quiet space to perform the work I needed to do, instead of just sitting in the cube where my shitty assigned computer was. I'd go out into the lobby, or the cafeteria, or an empty room, and be able to get in the right headspace for hours long focus. I ended up burning out at that job, because I'd constantly be interrupted and underwater trying to get things done. People should have the options available to find an optimal path toward meeting their expectations.

      • lazyasciiart5 hours ago
        > But it's worth keeping in mind that there are a lot of implied constraints there

        Amazon, Salesforce, etc should all fit well within those constraints. And nobody is suggesting that we ban offices - just stop pretending that all of us fit into those exception buckets.

      • kortilla3 hours ago
        So fuck all of the people who work from home and RTO is good?

        All of what you said does not support any blanket return to office policies.

    • Olumde4 hours ago
      I WFH 100% of the time. This allows my spouse and I to work. Without this one of us would have to leave the workforce to take the children to school. But because I WFH I can do the school runs and I realize I have it so good, it makes me unwilling to consider any other potential job offers.

      And BTW, because I don't have to commute 3 hours like I used to I can now work as late if a task requires me to. So yeah the ability to WFH makes me LOYAL.

      • sroussey3 hours ago
        You originally chose a job with 3hr of commute?
      • oangemangut4 hours ago
        just curious how this works, do the kids just need a lift home and you can continue to work? Just wondering how you fit a full day in even with WFH (asking because both spouse and I are 3+ days in office and pickup/drop off kinda happen before/after the work days so WFH isn't make a big difference for us, personally)
        • 3 hours ago
          undefined
      • mvanbaak2 hours ago
        with a commute like that I hope travel time is work time
    • criddell5 hours ago
      I think framing the WFH argument in terms of productivity is a bad idea. It’s difficult to win that argument and it might not even be true.

      Instead, call it a benefit, like paid vacation or health insurance.

      Nobody argues that employers contributing to an employees 401(k) plan is good for productivity. They do it to attract and retain talent.

      • ozim5 hours ago
        Benefit for the employee can be cut off any time.

        Benefit for the company will go on forever.

        I will stay on the ground where WFH is benefit for the company. That is what I believe and I want everyone to believe and I do not care what any kind of research will say. Just if employees will force it in that way it will be.

        • rgblambda4 hours ago
          Consistency and stability is a benefit to the company, but execs still periodically fuck that up for no reason with random reorgs.

          Though I agree that framing WFH as a productivity gain makes RTO in the name of productivity harder to sell.

        • azemetre4 hours ago
          Benefits can be enshrined in law, you should see what European countries have legislated at the benefit of workers some time.
          • ipaddr4 hours ago
            But they won't and it will be limited if anything makes it into law.
      • brailsafe4 hours ago
        It's not difficult to win at all, if I'm more productive at home, I'm more productive at home, and a smart employer would enable me to choose that. If I'm not, I'd like to have an external space, perhaps the office, to go to and be productive. A stupid employer would ignore their employees and just decide that the office is a universal good.

        Now, if you're saying that it's a difficult argument to win with an existing employer who's mandated RTO (rather than a difficult argument to win in general), I'd agree, but I'd say that's true for nearly any argument at any sufficiently traditional, large, or bureaucratic company, about anything. The same place where it'd be difficult to argue for WFM is the same place where it'd be difficult to argue for better pay, dimmer lights, a change in ambient room temperature, less meetings, different duties, less overtime, the use of a mac vs windows pc, a different chair, or any other kind of benefit package, because these decisions get made and then applied without consulting anyone lower in the org chart until those people leave the company and come back asking for them as terms. That's the nature of those hierarchical structures, it's what allows mass layoffs it's what takes agency away from people, nearly by definition.

      • kortilla3 hours ago
        The point is that it isn’t a benefit if it’s productive for the company to.

        It’s like calling “allowed to use a computer” a benefit.

      • purple-leafy5 hours ago
        I think though, that for hybrid or work from home to win in the shared mindset - productivity has to be accounted for.

        It feels like employers that switch to RTO office mandates do so on a “hunch” that WFH is less productive. At least that’s what my company is doing. They have not shared any stats that hybrid work has affected outcomes. Yes the company was down in outcomes for 2 quarters, but that’s mostly related to consumers not spending + inflation + economic instability.

        Because the board need a more tangible boogeyman to point to, they blame the “lazy work from home ethic”.

        But I’m yet to see ANY evidence that hybrid work decreases productivity or outcomes. In fact, I strongly believe, and could probably produce evidence, that Hybrid work ensures better workplace outcomes on average in a vacuum.

        Employee agency -> less stress, more loyalty -> better outcomes

        • rgblambda4 hours ago
          Think it was the FT that reported, there's no data indicating RTO improves productivity. It is being done either on a hunch or as a form of stealth layoff.
      • theshackleford3 hours ago
        > and it might not even be true.

        And even if it is, it rarely matters.

        During my time as an executive, the CEO of the company pushed for a return to the office despite widespread success with remote work during COVID. He personally disliked WFH, even though productivity data from every team showed improvements, and employee surveys were overwhelmingly in favor of continuing remote work. A small minority preferred the office, which was understandable, but the overall results were clear: WFH was beneficial.

        Despite this, the CEO disregarded the data and announced that employees wanted to return, citing a need for in-person collaboration and productivity improvements—claims that directly contradicted the evidence that had been gathered. His decision was based on personal bias and gut instinct rather than the facts.

        This led to significant fallout. As executives like myself left, key engineers followed, resulting in a mass exodus of talent and customers. Within two years, the company was a shell of its former self and was ultimately sold off for a fraction of its value to some shit kicker PE firm.

        Also funny, was that the CEO had always hated WFH, even prior to Covid, even though he himself was always happy to exercise it personally. Even whilst doing WFH himself though, his opinion of anyone else WFH had always been that any of them claiming to actually work was "full of shit" and "taking the piss" and in fact doing absolutely nothing. This of course did not apply to him because he was an executive and executives are different.

    • wsintra20224 hours ago
      Where you getting that free coffee from? I work from home but still have to pay for mine, although did recently get a good deal in sprouts in that yellow sticker section. Real good deal! But not free ;)
      • oxidant4 hours ago
        Not OP, but less than a dollar for a great espresso that I don't have to wait in line or walk further than 100 feet for is practically free, especially considering the opportunity cost of the time it would take me to walk to the cafe at the office.
    • roland354 hours ago
      Free coffee? Dang, I have to buy mine at the grocery store :) at least I can drink my loose leaf tea at home though!
    • tomrod5 hours ago
      What do you do?
      • purple-leafy5 hours ago
        I’m fortunate to be a software engineer, I have about 4yoe and mainly work on frontend code.

        But it’s been a very long road from being a university dropout, to getting an Electrical Engineering degree, and then transitioning to Software mostly in my spare time

    • A4ET8a8uTh04 hours ago
      I will offer a counter-example despite being very much pro-wfh.

      In my little corner of the universe, the company, its execs and some rank and file, who appear to genuinely either want to be in office or appear to bosses ( or both ) are not super keen some of the vocal anti-rto people showing others that they too could stay home, leave early.. you know, all those things management did not that long ago.

      And the thing is, for me anyway, paradoxically I am waiting for the other shoe to drop by and, as a result, genuinely doing as little as possible ( 'cept for the ridiculous projects, can't do much about those ).

      Companies had it. They had their gay little compromise in the form of hybrid, which I hated anyway. And now I am just saying meh. Funny thing is, I am clearly not the only one.

      • candiddevmike4 hours ago
        > gay little compromise

        What an odd phrase.

        • A4ET8a8uTh04 hours ago
          It really isn't. For me, hybrid is genuinely the worst of both worlds. My internal sleep rhythm is screwed each week, just because someone had a bright idea that today will be everyone in office day ( and unsurprisingly almost never is.

          I get what the companies are doing. Hell, blind monkey can see what they are doing. Scale back full WFH and claim compromise and flexibility by, but also slowly putting in more required days in office and token flexible day at home ( and in Amazon's case -- full RTO ).

          If you are objecting to the particular use of the world gay, then I might be just betraying my age, where gay used to mean lame.

          • oxidant4 hours ago
            "gay" in that sense is a pejorative against homosexual people. You could almost make it work with the original definition though.

            From Wikipedia -

            > Gay is a term that primarily refers to a homosexual person or the trait of being homosexual. The term originally meant 'carefree', 'cheerful', or 'bright and showy'.

  • spatley4 hours ago
    In my field of IT consulting I find the opposite to be true. Developing a shared understanding of client challenges, getting leaders to make and follow through on decisions, and learning our way around customer ecosystems takes forever over Teams, slack, or email.

    If we knew exactly what needed to be done and were just cranking code I see how solitude works. But the constant streams of low bandwidth meetings to make decisions is brutal.

    • theshackleford3 hours ago
      > getting leaders to make and follow through on decisions, and learning our way around customer ecosystems takes forever over Teams, slack, or email. If we knew exactly what needed to be done and were just cranking code I see how solitude works. But the constant streams of low bandwidth meetings to make decisions is brutal.

      When I was doing that work, even in office, all of those things took place over IM, email or remote meetings anyway.

      My customers were not in the same building as I was. The vast majority of senior management were not in the same building as I was.

      Sure sometimes I might go out to the client in person, and sometimes they may have come in to see me. But the vast, vast, VAST majority of it already took place remotely. And how could it not in a global business?

  • mullingitover5 hours ago
    I would wager that there's a dead sea effect happening at these 'my way or the highway' RTO companies.

    Top tier, upber-productive, marketable talents don't have to tolerate bullying, even in a weak employment market. So the companies pushing RTO the hardest see their hardest to replace talent evaporate quickly, and their most desperate (but thoroughly demoralized) staff cling on for dear life. Not as a rule, but definitely a tendency.

    Meanwhile the most flexible companies can pick up talent easily, picking and choosing and building very tough rosters for quite reasonable prices.

    • BhavdeepSethi5 hours ago
      > Meanwhile the most flexible companies can pick up talent easily, picking and choosing and building very tough rosters for quite reasonable prices.

      While it sounds good on paper, hiring decent remote folks for a company is actually much harder, especially if you're a startup. It's way easier taking a bet on someone local where you don't have to second guess how productive they are. For similar interview performance, most companies would prefer folks who can come to office instead of full remote. Obviously, there are companies who have made it work (eg. Gitlab) for a long time, but I'd say they are the exception rather than the norm.

    • closeparen3 hours ago
      I do think there will be significant remote competition in the middle 50% ($101k-$167k) range [0], and at a given price point in this range the best candidates will be able to demand remote. But top talents can only get paid close to their market value at a few dozen companies structurally capable of affording them. These companies are competitive in the sense that they throw around a lot of money, but they tend to make HR decisions as a herd. Partly because they benchmark against each other, partly because they all copy Google and Facebook, partly because they illegally collude [1]. That's why everyone's waiting to see whether Amazon's move to 5 days starts a stampede.

      For now there are notable holdouts, like Netflix and Airbnb, that pay in the levels.fyi scale but are still remote friendly. The other FAANGs are already at hybrid. If Netflix, the remaining FAANG-adjacent holdouts, and the HFTs go RTO then that is pretty much it for your chances of earning $300k+. It may still be worthwhile to leave comp on the table in exchange for the lifestyle and cost-of-living benefits, of course.

      [0] https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes151252.htm

      [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-Tech_Employee_Antitrust_L...

  • langsoul-com2 hours ago
    Tell that one to Amazon. It's really not all about productively.

    There's more incentives for large businesses, whether that's tax breaks, existing office space obligations or just the feeling of lording over the workers.

    I don't think that will change too much. A remote company has to be fundamentally remote on all levels otherwise it'd fall apart. That kinda buy in is difficult and usually companies who start remote work best like that. As everyone has already self selected for remote work.

  • atleastoptimal6 hours ago
    Companies that require RTO, if they actually want their employees to return to office, should prioritize in their messaging the objective benefits/cost to working in the office. No vague-speak, no shaming people claiming that workers "don't work" at home, but rather objective analysis on what exact benefits they seek to accrue by mandating that work that could be done anywhere in the world must be done in separate rooms of a large corporate office space.

    Since most companies that are enforcing RTO aren't doing this, it only makes sense that it is a covert mass layoff. They just want people to quit because they were planning on culling the herd anyway, and would prefer it be a self-selection of those who aren't willing to put up with bullshit.

    • dalyons5 hours ago
      It’s an open secret that there is no data that supports RTO. If there was, at even one company, it would be screamed from the rooftops.

      (I don’t believe it’s all covert layoffs either - it’s imho the more banal reason of c-level personal feelings and groupthink)

      • montagg5 hours ago
        Executive brain worms are real. They see each other do things, and they want to be like each other, so they feel safety in numbers, untethered to the data.

        My company only stopped a strict company-wide RTO when they saw how much senior talent they were losing, and leaders were taken by surprise.

        • 3 hours ago
          undefined
  • cebert2 hours ago
    I’d love to see a study on the carbon and energy impact of WFH vs commuting to an office. I would assume that for knowledge workers, WFH would be more efficient.
  • GoToRO5 hours ago
    no, please, I want to be in office and hear the coffee machine grinding coffee for everybody in the office /sarcasm
  • from-nibly3 hours ago
    Articles like this are talking past the RTO mandates. Ignore what the mandates say in the emails. They are trying to lay people off without suffering the PR downsides. They do not care how productive you were or are going to be. They need to fix the balance sheet for the next quarter, THEN they can worry about productivity.
    • bongodongobob2 hours ago
      No. Most businesses implementing RTO just want people back in the office, take the tinfoil hat.
  • seanvelascoan hour ago
    i definitely know myself that i'm less productive working from home than working on the office. the commute (or the ritual of it) and the different environment makes all the difference.
  • gnulinux9962 hours ago
    I'd really like to see how the American libertarian copes with the return to office mandates.

    I've had a lot of American colleagues that do not wish to return to office, the types that believe in "freedom", "individual responsibility" and "if you do not like the job go work somewhere else".

    As the employers are closing in on them, they slowly start to understand that unless they collectively punch back they _will_ yield sooner or later.

    They are still on their pleading / "negotiating" phase at the moment, but let us see.

    • Clubberan hour ago
      >I'd really like to see how the American libertarian copes with the return to office mandates.

      The American libertarian will just move to a job that allows remote.

      >As the employers are closing in on them, they slowly start to understand that unless they collectively punch back they _will_ yield sooner or later.

      Believe me, companies stand to lose a lot more with an empty dev team than any dev stands to lose moving to another company. RTO companies better have some damn good reasons to work there if they require asses in seats. Companies that don't (most) will struggle and wither.

  • Scoundreller6 hours ago
    15 second cities now!
  • CapeTheory6 hours ago
    Take that, Jassy.
    • toomuchtodo6 hours ago
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck%27s_principle

      > A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.

      • zeusk6 hours ago
        It's an open secret that it is no longer day 1 at Amazon.
        • axpy9065 hours ago
          It’s like day 22.
        • 6 hours ago
          undefined
        • beaconify5 hours ago
          What does that mean (genuine question?)
          • CapeTheory4 hours ago
            Amazon used to pride itself on behaving like a (very big) startup, trying to be scrappy and focused - but now it has very definitely joined the league of ordinary corporations.
      • mullingitover5 hours ago
        I've definitely heard this as "Science progresses one funeral at a time" before.
      • nostrademons5 hours ago
        A corollary is that they existing big-tech companies will never embrace remote work. You need to start new companies which are remote-first and then replace big tech with them.
        • staunton5 hours ago
          I don't think that's a useful generalization. It's pretty clear that company culture changes over time (in tandem with changing management and workforce).

          The point of the Planck quote is that many people (especially the "important" people) have large egos and therefore (among other reasons) are unwilling or unable to change their minds and learn new things. This then significantly hinders progress.

          The equivalent to your claim in science would be something like "particle physics cannot change, you need to let it die and start a new scientific discipline" (I guess you'll find some people who think that but I don't).

          • 4 hours ago
            undefined
  • th3d0t0r2 hours ago
    never forget, that a need exists for people to travel ... working from home reduces the profit of the oil lobby significantly ...

    i am sorry to point this out ... but its a primary driving point!

  • th3d0t0r2 hours ago
    never forget that a need to return to office exists ...

    its a need to travels ... to consume fossil fuels and to benefit effectivly some sharhe holders ...

    its A primary reason.

  • m3kw95 hours ago
    All I know is some people like it some don’t. It’s based on the environment they have at home. Some people’s home and psyche isn’t good for wfh for various reasons
    • theshackleford3 hours ago
      > All I know is some people like it some don’t. It’s based on the environment they have at home. Some people’s home and psyche isn’t good for wfh for various reasons

      Equally;

      In office work, all I know is some people like it some don’t. It’s based on the environment they have at the office. Some people’s office and psyche isn’t good for in office work for various reasons

      I worked for a firm at one point that prior to acquistion, was filled top to bottom with people that enjoyed a quiet working environment that allowed them to think and do deep work. We were an engineering heavy firm doing complex work for large multinationals. I'll admit it was shocking to me when I first joined, you could have heard a pin drop in this place, it took me quite some time to adjust to it, but in time I did.

      After the original founders decided they wanted to move on and so sold up, we merged with another org that was the opposite. The office became a place of multiple indepedent bluetooth speakers blaring music all day, teams of people walking around from desk to desk and holding incredibly loud non work related conversations at random next to people trying to do deep work, everyone was crammed closer together to assist in "collaboration" etc.

      One by one, all of the original staff departed as the office had for them become a living hell that destroyed their ability to do deep meaningful or productive work. They didnt dislike their co-workers, they were not against some occasional social interactions, but ultimately, they were engaged with what they did and just wanted a good environment to do it in, an environment that was removed from them by force and thus too was their capability to be as productive as they once were.

      Some people do better work from office as you note due to the environment they have at home and their psyche, but the exact opposite is also true for a not insignificant amount of people.

      The problem is that business is going to pretend only one of these groups exists.

  • axpy9065 hours ago
    @Andy Jassy
  • dsjoerg6 hours ago
    [flagged]
  • MaintenanceMode4 hours ago
    Duh....